Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 9/27/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Buccaneers +1.0

Total-Over-Under: 42

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-2) will take on the Minnesota Vikings (2-0) at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday. Tampa Bay opens this contest as 1-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under has been set at 42.

The Minnesota Vikings come into this game holding a record of 2-0 for the year. In their last contest, the Vikings played against the Chicago Bears and earned the victory with a final of 9-3. Carson Wentz finished 11-20 with 143 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 77.7 and ended the game with no picks. Aaron Jones led the offense in rushing for the Vikings with 23 attempts for 105 yards (4.6 yards per carry). Justin Jefferson averaged 18.3 yds per reception by accumulating 55 yds on 3 receptions. The Minnesota Vikings rushed the ball a total of 28 different times and totaled 119 yds, which had them averaging 4.3 yds per carry. For the game, they ran 48 plays which gave them a total of 246 yards. Minnesota surrendered 20 completions on 35 attempts for a total of 163 yds, and a completion percentage of 57.1%. On the ground, the Vikings gave up 134 yds on 31 attempts, which calculates to 4.3 yards per run surrendered.

In terms of scoring points, the NFC North representatives average 24.0 points per game. Collectively, they average 113.0 rushing yards putting them 12th in the league. The Vikings have collected 485 total yards so far this season. Minnesota has accumulated 14 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 6 infractions for 40 total yards. They have coughed up the ball 1 time. When analyzing putting the ball in the endzone, Minnesota has earned 3 passing touchdowns and 2 ground TD's.

The Vikings are 4th in the league if you examine their opponents scoring, yielding 12.5 PPG. They are giving up 3.8 yds per running attempt and 100.0 rushing yards per contest for this campaign. Regarding pass yards, the Vikings have granted 516 yds, which has them sitting 28th in football. They have given up 258.0 total yards per contest via the pass, and are conceding a completion rate of 53.2%. In total, they are giving up 358.0 total yards per contest, giving them a rank of 25th in the NFL. They have granted 2 touchdowns through the air, but no TD's on the ground. Overall, they have granted 200 yards on the ground through 2 outings over the course of this year.

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The Buccaneers step onto the field with a record of 0-2 over the course of this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Buccaneers went home defeated by a final of 23-19 when they faced the Cleveland Browns. Baker Mayfield (1 TD) finished the contest with 182 yds on 21-34 passing while his QB rate was 73.4. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.4 yards. Bucky Irving carried the ball 17 times for 89 yds, ending the game with 5.2 yards per carry for Tampa Bay. Tez Johnson was a featured target for the Buccaneers, snagging 1 balls for 49 yards (49.0 yds per reception). Tampa Bay ran the ball for 5.5 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 137 yards on 25 carries. The Buccaneers finished the contest with 313 yards on 59 plays (5.3 yards per play). The Buccaneers pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 80.0%, surrendering 223 yds on 24 out of 30 through the air. Tampa Bay conceded 23 attempts on the ground for 44 yards (1.9 yards per rush).

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Buccaneers are 16th in the NFL, with 23.0 points per outing. On the season, the Buccaneers have earned 369 passing yds and have an average of 184.5 passing yds per contest, giving them a rank of 23rd in the NFL. They have an average of 113.0 rushing yards per contest, and have run for 226 total yards. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers maintain an average of 297.5 yds per contest, which has them sitting 20th in football. The Tampa Bay offense has conceded 101 total yards on 14 penalties, ranking this team at 17th in the NFL with reference to helping out the opposition. They have compiled 1 interception while giving up 4 fumbles, and have obtained 19 1st downs offensively.

They have granted 3 touchdowns by way of the pass in addition to 234.0 pass yds per contest, giving them a rank of 21st in football. Tampa Bay has relinquished a total of 150 running yds (75.0 yards per contest), as well as 1 touchdown to rushers on the campaign. The defense has accumulated 1 turnover over the course of this year. All in all, they have allowed 56 points in total. The Buccaneers defense has been on the field for 118 plays from scrimmage, which is good for 18th in the league. The Buccaneers are giving up 28.0 points per contest, giving them a rank of 26th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Vikings-Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Buccaneers +1.0

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