New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction, 9/9/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026

Location: Lumen Field in Seattle, WA

TV: NBC

Odds-Point Spread: Patriots +3.5

Total-Over-Under: 44

The New England Patriots (14-3 last year) are hitting the road to Lumen Field on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the Seattle Seahawks (14-3 last season). Seattle is 3.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under is set at 44.

The New England Patriots ended the season having notched a 14-3 mark. In their last game, the Patriots stepped onto the field against the Seattle Seahawks and took a loss by a score of 29-13. Drake Maye connected on 27-43 with 295 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 79.1 and ended the contest with 2 interceptions. Drake Maye was the rushing leader for the Patriots with 5 carries for 37 yds (7.4 yds per attempt). Mack Hollins averaged 19.5 yds per reception by totaling 78 yds on 4 receptions. The New England Patriots ran the football 18 different times and accounted for 79 yards, which earned them an average of 4.4 yards per carry. In all, they tallied 61 plays which converted into 331 yards. New England allowed 19 completions on 38 tries for 194 yds, and a completion rate of 50.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Patriots gave up 141 yds on 32 attempts, which calculates to 4.4 yards per run allowed.

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If you examine putting the ball in the endzone, the AFC members held an average of 28.8 points per game. As a unit, they had an average of 128.9 rushing yds, which had them ranked 6th in the NFL. The Patriots earned 6,449 yards last season. New England had a total of 206 first downs offensively, and they were called for 99 infractions for 854 total yards. They turned the football over 16 times (8 picks and 8 fumbles). New England collected 31 touchdowns via the pass and 22 touchdowns via the run.

The Patriots were 4th in pro football with reference to the other team scoring points, conceding 18.8 points per contest. The opposition ran for 4.2 yards per rushing attempt and 101.7 running yards per contest for last season. If you're looking at passing yards, the Patriots allowed 3,290 total yards which had them ranking 9th in professional football. They allowed 193.5 yards per contest through the air, and conceded a completion rate of 66.4%. Altogether, they relinquished 295.2 per game, which was 8th in football. They allowed 25 touchdowns through the air, along with 11 by way of the ground game. Altogether, they surrendered 1,729 yards on the ground through 17 outings last season.

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The Seahawks concluded the year having accrued a 14-3 mark. When they last stepped on the football field, the Seahawks got the victory with a final of 29-13 against the New England Patriots. Sam Darnold (1 TD) finished the contest with 202 yards on 19-38 through the air while his quarterback rating was 74.7. He didn't toss any picks and his Y-A was 5.3 yards. Cooper Kupp was the best receiver for the Seahawks, hauling in 6 balls for 61 yds (10.2 yds per reception). Kenneth Walker III carried the football 27 times for 135 yards, walking away from the game with 5.0 yards per carry for Seattle. The Seahawks finished the game with a total of 335 yards on 70 plays (4.8 yards per play). Seattle rushed for 4.4 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 141 yards on 32 carries. Seattle gave up 18 rushing attempts for 79 yards (4.4 yds per rush). The Seahawks pass defense gave up a completion rate of 62.8%, surrendering 252 yards on 27 for 43 passing.

If you're looking at putting points on the board, the Seahawks sat 3rd in the NFL, holding an average of 28.4 points per outing. Last season, the Seahawks racked up 3,877 yards through the air and had an average of 228.1 yards through the air per contest, ranking them 8th in the NFL. They held an average of 123.3 rushing yards per game, and carried the football for 2,096 yards. The Seattle Seahawks held an average of 351.4 yards per contest, which ranked them at 8th in pro football. The Seattle offense conceded 793 total yards on 100 penalties, which had them ranking 25th in professional football with reference to helping out the other team. They conceded 15 INTs while surrendering 13 lost fumbles, and tallied 179 1st downs as an offense.

They surrendered 20 touchdowns by way of the pass as well as 193.9 yards via the pass per game, which was 10th in football. Seattle relinquished a total of 1,563 rushing yds (91.9 yds per outing), and 9 touchdowns via the rush for last year. The D tallied 25 takeaways (7 fumbles forced and 18 INTs) last season. On the whole, they granted 292 pts. The Seahawks defense participated in 1,065 plays from scrimmage, which was 23rd in football. The Seahawks surrendered 17.2 points per outing, which had them ranked 1st in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Patriots-Seahawks NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots +3.5

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