New York Jets vs Chicago Bears Prediction, 10/4/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: New York Jets vs Chicago Bears

Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026

Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Bears -3.5

Total-Over-Under: 42.5

The New York Jets (1-2) are on their way to Soldier Field on Sunday where they will compete against the Chicago Bears (2-1). Chicago opens this matchup as 3.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 42.5.

The New York Jets step onto the field holding a record of 1-2 on the season. In their last contest, the Jets played against the Detroit Lions and ended up losing by a score of 31-24. Breece Hall led the offense in rushing for the Jets with 13 carries for 32 yards (2.5 yards per attempt). Garrett Wilson held an average of 10.7 yds per catch by recording 107 yards on 10 receptions. Geno Smith went 31-37 with 321 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 129.8 and finished the game with no picks. In the running game, the Jets gave up 131 yds on 30 tries, which calculates to 4.4 yards per rush allowed. New York allowed 25 pass completions on 32 attempts for 250 yds, and a completion percentage of 78.1%. On the day, they had 56 plays which gave them a total of 335 yds. The New York Jets ran the football 19 different times and tallied 58 yds, which is an average of 3.1 yds per carry.

The Jets have racked up 987 yards this season. New York has earned 34 1st downs, and they have committed 25 infractions for 234 yards. In terms of getting in the endzone, New York has racked up 4 passing TD's and 3 running touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 1 time. Offensively, they're averaging 92.3 rushing yards which ranks 26th in pro football. If you look at putting the ball in the endzone, the New York Jets are averaging 21.3 points per contest.

If you look at pass yards, the Jets have relinquished 513 yds, putting them 3rd in the league. They have surrendered 171.0 yds per contest through the air, and are granting a completion percentage of 64.5%. On the whole, they have relinquished 262 rushing yards through 3 outings for the season. They have yielded 5 touchdowns via the pass, as well as 2 touchdowns to runners. Altogether, they are relinquishing 258.3 total yards per contest, ranking this team at 2nd in professional football. They are allowing 4.2 yards per running attempt and 87.3 running yards per contest over the course of this season. The Jets are 12th in football in terms of their opponents scoring, surrendering 20.3 points per game.

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The Bears come into this game with a record of 2-1 over the course of this season. In their last contest, the Bears took home the win by a final score of 27-7 when they played the Philadelphia Eagles. Case Keenum (2 touchdowns) ended the game with 247 yds on 24-34 passing while his quarterback rating was 110.8. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y-A was 7.3 yds. D'Andre Swift ran the ball 20 times for 84 yds, finishing the game with 4.2 yds per carry for Chicago. Kalif Raymond was featured in the passing game for the Bears, hauling in 6 passes for 90 yds (15.0 yards per catch). Chicago ended up running for 3.7 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 128 yards on 35 attempts. The Bears finished with a total of 375 yards while they ran 69 plays (5.4 yds per play). The Bears pass defense gave up a completion rate of 61.5%, surrendering 141 yds on 16 for 26 passing. Chicago allowed 19 run attempts for 107 yds (5.6 yds per carry).

The Chicago Bears hold an average of 408.0 yards per contest, which ranks them 3rd in football. They have an average of 184.3 rush yds per contest, and have run for 553 total yards. They have allowed 1 interception while granting 2 fumbles lost, and have been able to earn 34 first downs. The Chicago offense has granted 160 yds by way of 25 infractions, putting them 6th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. This year, the Bears have compiled 671 passing yds and hold an average of 223.7 passing yds per contest, which has them sitting 15th in football. If you look at their scoring prowess, the Bears currently rank 6th in professional football, with an average of 29.7 points per contest.

They have granted 3 touchdowns via the pass along with 207.0 passing yds per contest, which ranks them 13th in football. Chicago has surrendered a total of 351 rushing yds (117.0 yards per outing), and 3 touchdowns by way of the ground game over the course of this year. Their defense has attained 6 takeaways (3 fumbles forced and 3 INTs) on the season. In total, they have surrendered 53 points in total. The Bears defense has participated in 160 plays from scrimmage, which ranks 1st in pro football. The Bears are relinquishing 17.7 points per contest, ranking this team at 7th in professional football.

Who will win tonight's Jets-Bears NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Bears -3.5

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