Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears Prediction, 11/8/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears

Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026

Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC

Odds-Point Spread: Bears -6.5

Total-Over-Under: 46.5

Soldier Field is the site where the Chicago Bears (6-2) will attempt to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5) on Sunday. Tampa Bay opens this contest as 6.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under comes in at 46.5.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers come into this game holding a record of 3-5 for the year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Buccaneers played the Atlanta Falcons and walked away with a win by a score of 16-0. Baker Mayfield went 7-11 with 64 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 109.7 and walked away from the contest without throwing a pick. Bucky Irving was the rushing leader for the Buccaneers with 27 totes for 170 yds (6.3 yards per carry). Chris Godwin averaged 6.8 yards per catch by totaling 27 yards on 4 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ran the football 56 different times and totaled 324 yards, earning them an average of 5.8 yards per carry. When all was said and done, they had 59 plays for 322 yds. Tampa Bay allowed 8 completions on 24 attempts for a total of 125 yds, and a completion rate of 33.3%. When it came to stopping the run, the Buccaneers gave up 99 yds on 28 tries, which is an average of 3.5 yards per run surrendered.

The Buccaneers have accrued 2,400 yards for this campaign. Tampa Bay has recorded 58 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 55 penalties for 404 yds. When you look at scoring points, Tampa Bay has notched 6 passing TD's and 9 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the ball 12 different times (7 INTs and 5 lost fumbles). Offensively, they are averaging 168.6 running yards putting them 1st in the NFL. When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have an average of 22.3 points per outing.

With reference to passing yds, the Buccaneers have allowed 1,647 yards, putting them 14th in the NFL. They have yielded 205.9 yards per outing through the air, and are relinquishing a completion% of 62.2%. On the whole, they have surrendered 640 rushing yards through 8 matchups for this campaign. They have yielded 10 touchdowns through the air, as well as 3 touchdowns via the rush. On the whole, they are giving up 285.9 yds per game, which ranks them at 3rd in the NFL. The opposition is running for an average of 3.6 yds per rushing attempt and 80.0 running yards per game so far this season. The Buccaneers currently rank 5th in professional football if you analyze their defensive abilities, yielding 18.9 PPG.

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The Bears head into this matchup 6-2 so far this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Bears took home the win by a final score of 34-17 when they played the Seattle Seahawks. Caleb Williams (1 TD) walked away from the game with 247 yds on 24-34 passing while his quarterback rating was 101. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y-A was 7.3 yds. D'Andre Swift carried the rock 27 times for 69 yards, finishing the contest with 2.6 yds per carry for Chicago. Luther Burden was one of the featured targets for the Bears, bringing in 7 balls for 56 yds (8.0 yards per reception). Chicago ran for 3.6 yards per tote, finishing with 126 yards on 35 attempts. The Bears finished the game with a total of 363 yds and they ran 69 plays (5.3 yards per play). The Bears secondary allowed a completion percentage of 50.0%, surrendering 171 yards on 17 for 34 passing. Chicago surrendered 19 rush attempts for 81 yds (4.3 yards per rush).

If you look at their ability to score points, the Bears currently sit 8th in the league, maintaining an average of 26.8 points per outing. Over the course of this season, the Bears have thrown for 1,892 passing yards and hold an average of 236.5 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 13th in pro football. They have an average of 150.8 rushing yds per outing, and have carried the ball for 1,206 yards. The Chicago Bears have an average of 387.3 yds per contest, which is good for 3rd in the league. The Chicago offense has relinquished 496 yards on 63 violations, putting them 5th in the NFL if you're looking at giving up free yards. They have compiled 5 interceptions while allowing 7 fumbles lost, and have been able to record 97 1st downs.

They have relinquished 13 touchdowns via the pass and 219.0 yards via the pass per outing, which ranks them at 14th in the league. Chicago has conceded a total of 694 rushing yds (86.8 yards per contest), as well as 6 touchdowns to runners over the course of this season. The defense has notched 11 turnovers (6 fumbles forced and 5 picks) over the course of this season. Overall, they have given up 160 points. The Bears defense has been on the field for 407 plays, which ranks them 1st in the league. The Bears are allowing 20.0 points per outing, which ranks them at 8th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers-Bears NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bears -6.5

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