Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, 9/13/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026

Location: Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Buccaneers +4.0

Total-Over-Under: 50.5

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9 last year) are on their way to Paycor Stadium on Sunday where they will meet the Cincinnati Bengals (6-11 last season). Cincinnati is 4-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 50.5.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers wrapped up their year having a 8-9 record. In their last game, the Buccaneers stepped onto the field against the Carolina Panthers and walked away with a win by a score of 16-14. Bucky Irving was the rushing leader for the Buccaneers with 26 carries for 85 yards (3.3 yds per carry). Cade Otton averaged 13.4 yds per reception by accounting for 94 yds on 7 catches. Baker Mayfield connected on 16-22 with 203 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 97.3 and ended the contest with 1 pick. In the running game, the Buccaneers gave up 19 yards on 14 tries, which calculates to 1.4 yards per run allowed. Tampa Bay relinquished 24 pass completions on 35 tries for a total of 266 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.6%. In the game, they had 64 plays which gave them 338 yds. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ended up rushing 42 different times and totaled 140 yards, which had them averaging 3.3 yds per attempt.

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The Buccaneers tallied 5,447 total yards for the prior year. Tampa Bay earned 174 first downs as a unit, and they were called for 95 penalties for 737 total yards. Tampa Bay compiled 26 passing TD's and 13 rushing TD's. They surrendered the ball 16 different times (11 INTs and 5 fumbles lost). Collectively, they sat at 114.5 rushing yds, which ranked them 21st in professional football. If you look at scoring points, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers held an average of 22.4 points per contest.

The Buccaneers sat 20th in the NFL if you're looking at the other team scoring points, relinquishing 24.2 points per contest. They gave up 4.3 yards per rush and 99.1 rushing yds per outing for last year. When talking about pass yds, the Buccaneers allowed 4,049 yards which had them ranking 27th in football. They surrendered 238.2 yds per outing through the air, and allowed a completion% of 66.7%. In total, they granted 337.2 per contest, which ranked them at 19th in pro football. They allowed 30 passing touchdowns, and 16 on the ground. Altogether, they surrendered 1,684 yards on the ground through 17 outings last season.

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The Bengals ended the year having accrued a 6-11 mark. The last time they took the field, the Bengals took a loss by a final score of 20-18 against the Cleveland Browns. Joe Burrow (3 touchdowns) finished the contest with 236 yds on 29-39 through the air while his QB rating was 104.2. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.1 yards. Chase Brown ran the football 13 times for 72 yds, walking away from the contest with 5.5 yards per carry for Cincinnati. Ja'Marr Chase was the best receiver for the Bengals, catching 8 throws for 96 yds (12.0 yards per catch). Cincinnati ended up running for 5.7 yards per tote, finishing with 142 yds on 25 carries. The Bengals finished with a total of 364 yards while they ran 64 plays (5.7 yds per play). The Bengals passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 50.0%, surrendering 82 yards on 11 out of 22 passing. Cincinnati relinquished 24 attempts on the ground for 118 yds (4.9 yards per rush).

The Cincinnati Bengals held an average of 329.2 yards per contest, which ranked them at 17th in pro football. They had an average of 93.6 rushing yds per contest, and carried the football for 1,591 yards. They surrendered 17 INTs while granting 7 lost fumbles, and tallied 213 1st downs as a team. The Cincinnati offense granted 633 yards on 88 infractions, which ranked them at 30th in pro football if you're looking at hurting your team. In the previous season, the Bengals earned 4,005 passing yds and had an average of 235.6 passing yds per contest, which had them ranked 6th in the NFL. When analyzing the points being put on the board, the Bengals sat 12th in football, holding an average of 24.4 PPG.

They yielded 33 touchdowns by way of the pass as well as 233.8 passing yards per game, which had them ranking 26th in pro football. Cincinnati granted a total of 2,500 rushing yards (147.1 yards per contest), as well as 18 touchdowns via the rush last season. The D accrued 21 takeaways (8 forced fumbles and 13 picks) for last year. Overall, they allowed 492 total points. The Bengals defense took part in 1,048 plays from scrimmage, which had them ranking 16th in pro football. The Bengals granted 28.9 points per contest, which was 30th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers-Bengals NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Buccaneers +4.0

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