Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Prediction, 11/12/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: Prime Video

Odds-Point Spread: Commanders +2.5

Total-Over-Under: 41

The Washington Commanders (2-5) are headed to MetLife Stadium on Thursday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Giants (5-2). Washington opens this contest as 2.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over-under is set at 41.

The Washington Commanders step on the gridiron 2-5 for this campaign. In their last contest, the Commanders played the Los Angeles Rams and took a loss by a score of 20-13. Jayden Daniels went 24-35 with 274 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 101.4 and ended the contest without throwing a pick. Chig Okonkwo had an average of 9.5 yards per catch by notching 57 yds on 6 catches. Austin Ekeler was the leader on the ground for the Commanders with 8 attempts for 16 yards (2.0 yds per carry). When the final whistle blew, they ran 54 plays which converted into 313 yds. The Washington Commanders ran the ball 19 different times and totaled 60 yards, which is an average of 3.2 yards per attempt. On the ground, the Commanders conceded 124 yds on 29 attempts, which calculates to 4.3 yds per rush surrendered. Washington allowed 26 completions on 43 attempts for a total of 219 yards, and a completion rate of 60.5%.

If you examine putting the ball in the endzone, the Commanders have an average of 21.5 points per game. Offensively, they have an average of 118.3 rushing yards which is good for 11th in the NFL. The Commanders have earned 2,603 yards on the season. Washington has a total of 86 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 61 penalties for 468 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 5 times (1 interception and 4 fumbles lost). When you look at getting the ball into the endzone, Washington has accumulated 12 touchdowns through the air and 5 touchdowns on the ground.

When talking about passing yards, the Commanders have surrendered 1,920 total yards, which is 18th in football. They have relinquished 240.0 total yards per contest by way of the pass, and are conceding a completion percentage of 65.5%. In total, they have conceded 818 yards on the ground through 8 outings on the season. They have surrendered 16 touchdowns by way of the pass, along with 7 touchdowns to rushers. Altogether, they are conceding 342.3 total yards per game, which is 20th in football. The opposition is running for an average of 3.9 yards per rush and 102.3 running yards per game so far this year. The Commanders currently sit 24th in football in terms of their defensive abilities, surrendering 25.3 points per game.

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The Giants head into this matchup 5-2 over the course of this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Giants took home the win by a final score of 19-11 against the Philadelphia Eagles. J.J. McCarthy finished the contest with 127 yds on 12-19 passing while his QB rating was 82.6. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.7 yds. Devin Singletary ran the football 21 times for 31 yds, finishing the game with 1.5 yds per carry for New York. Isaiah Likely was the best receiver for the Giants, hauling in 5 passes for 53 yds (10.6 yards per catch). New York ran the ball for 2.6 yds per carry, finishing the game with 80 yards on 31 attempts. The Giants ended up finishing with 243 yards and they ran 58 plays (4.2 yards per play). The Giants pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 52.9%, surrendering 128 yds on 18 for 34 passing. New York allowed 25 run attempts for 92 yards (3.7 yards per rush).

If you examine this team's ability to score points, the Giants currently sit 16th in pro football, with an average of 22.8 PPG. On the year, the Giants have racked up 1,768 yards via the pass and are sitting at 221.0 yards via the pass per contest, which is good for 16th in professional football. They average 112.1 rush yds per outing, and have run for 897 yds. The New York Giants maintain an average of 333.1 yards per game, ranking this team at 14th in the league. The New York offense has relinquished 510 total yards by way of 59 penalties, which is good for 22nd in professional football if you look at helping out the opposition. They have a total of 6 picks while allowing 6 fumbles, and have been able to earn 90 1st downs.

The Giants are granting 21.5 points per game, ranking this team at 12th in the league. They have conceded 14 touchdowns by way of the pass in addition to 177.8 pass yards per game, which has them sitting 3rd in the league. New York has relinquished a total of 989 running yards (123.6 total yards per contest), as well as 7 touchdowns via the ground game for the year. The Giants defense has taken part in 480 plays from the line of scrimmage, which has them sitting 4th in the league. The D has a total of 10 takeaways (4 fumbles forced and 6 picks) so far this year. On the whole, they have given up 172 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Commanders-Giants NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Commanders +2.5

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