Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, 1/4/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026

Location: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Eagles (-4)

Total-Over-Under: 39

The Washington Commanders (4-12) are hitting the road to Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday where they will meet the Philadelphia Eagles (11-5). Philadelphia is 4-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 39.

The Washington Commanders head into this game 4-12 over the course of this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Commanders went up against the Dallas Cowboys and took a loss by a final of 30-23. Josh Johnson went 15-23 with 198 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rate of 92.3 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Terry McLaurin held an average of 12.6 yards per catch by accumulating 63 yards on 5 receptions. Jacory Croskey-Merritt was the rushing leader for the Commanders with 11 carries for 105 yards (9.5 yards per carry). For the game, they had 39 plays which converted into 328 yards. The Washington Commanders ran the football 16 different times and recorded 138 yards, which had them averaging 8.6 yds per attempt. In the running game, the Commanders gave up 211 yds on 44 attempts, which calculates to 4.8 yds per run allowed. Washington allowed 19 pass completions on 37 attempts for a total of 269 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.4%.

The Commanders have collected 5,145 yards on the campaign. Washington has earned 150 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 113 infractions for 894 total yards. Regarding scoring points, Washington has earned 18 passing touchdowns and 18 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 21 times (11 INTs and 10 fumbles). Offensively, they're holding an average of 134.2 rushing yards which ranks 4th in the league. When examining putting points on the board, the NFC East representatives are sitting at 20.8 PPG.

The Commanders are sitting 27th in pro football with reference to the opposition scoring, relinquishing 27.1 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.8 yards per run and 145.7 rushing yards per game over the course of the season. When talking about passing yards, the Commanders have conceded 3,895 total yards, which has them ranked 28th in pro football. They have conceded 243.4 total yards per game via the pass, and are giving up a completion% of 65.8%. On the whole, they are granting 389.1 total yards per game, which has them sitting 31st in professional football. They have conceded 32 touchdowns via the pass, in addition to 17 touchdowns via the ground game. On the whole, they have conceded 2,331 rushing yards through 16 contests over the course of this year.

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The Eagles come into this matchup holding a record of 11-5 over the course of this year. When they last took the field, the Eagles took home the win by a final score of 13-12 when they played the Buffalo Bills. Jalen Hurts (1 TD) walked away from the game with 110 yds on 13-27 through the air while his QB rating was 71.5. He didn't toss any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 4.1 yards. A.J. Brown was the top contributor in the passing game for the Eagles, grabbing 5 passes for 68 yds (13.6 yards per catch). Saquon Barkley ran the ball 19 times for 68 yards, walking away from the game with 3.6 yards per carry for Philadelphia. The Eagles finished the game with 190 yds while running 53 plays (3.6 yds per play). Philadelphia ran for 3.2 yards per tote, finishing the game with 82 yds on 26 carries. Philadelphia relinquished 33 running attempts for 120 yds (3.6 yards per carry). The Eagles secondary conceded a completion rate of 65.7%, relinquishing 211 yards on 23 out of 35 through the air.

When talking about the points being put on the board, the Eagles are sitting 19th in football, holding an average of 22.6 points per outing. In this season, the Eagles have racked up 3,076 pass yards and have an average of 192.3 pass yards per game, which has them sitting 23rd in professional football. They have an average of 119.3 running yards per outing, and have carried the football for 1,908 total yards. The Philadelphia Eagles have an average of 311.5 total yards per outing, which ranks 24th in the league. The Philadelphia offense has surrendered 950 yards on 108 penalties, which has them ranking 13th in pro football regarding making mistakes. They have recorded 6 interceptions while conceding 8 fumbles, and have been able to earn 153 1st downs as an offense.

The Eagles are giving up 18.8 PPG, giving them a rank of 3rd in football. They have yielded 13 touchdowns through the air along with 193.4 passing yds per game, which ranks 9th in professional football. Philadelphia has relinquished a total of 1,972 rush yards (123.3 total yards per game), plus 18 touchdowns to runners over the course of this year. The Eagles defense has taken part in 1,017 plays from scrimmage, which ranks 26th in pro football. The defense has earned 19 takeaways (8 fumbles forced and 11 interceptions) for this campaign. All in all, they have conceded 301 points.

Who will win tonight's Commanders-Eagles NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Commanders +4

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