Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, 9/13/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026

Location: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Commanders +5.5

Total-Over-Under: 44.5

The Washington Commanders (5-12 last year) are hitting the road to Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Philadelphia Eagles (11-6 last season). Philadelphia opens this game as 5.5-point favorites. The over-under has been set at 44.5.

The Washington Commanders ended the season having produced a 5-12 mark. In their last contest, the Commanders faced the Philadelphia Eagles and earned the victory with a final of 24-17. Chris Rodriguez led the offense in rushing for the Commanders with 16 totes for 65 yds (4.1 yards per carry). Terry McLaurin had an average of 14.3 yards per catch by accumulating 57 yds on 4 receptions. Josh Johnson finished 14-22 with 131 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 76.1 and ended the game with 1 interception. In the running game, the Commanders gave up 80 yards on 19 attempts, which averages out to 4.2 yds per run surrendered. Washington gave up 21 completions on 40 tries for a total of 227 yards, and a completion rate of 52.5%. When all was said and done, they had 63 plays which totaled 274 yds. The Washington Commanders ran the football 41 times and compiled 143 yds, which had them averaging 3.5 yards per tote.

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The Commanders compiled 5,419 yards last season. Washington had a total of 159 first downs offensively, and they were called for 117 infractions for 913 yards. Washington compiled 19 touchdowns through the air and 20 ground TD's. They turned the ball over 23 times (12 INTs and 11 lost fumbles). As a unit, they maintained an averaged of 134.7 running yards, which had them ranking 4th in professional football. If you examine putting the ball in the endzone, the NFC East members held an average of 20.9 points per game.

When examining pass yards, the Commanders allowed 4,122 yards which ranked them at 28th in pro football. They surrendered 242.5 total yards per contest through the air, and gave up a completion% of 64.8%. Overall, they surrendered 2,411 running yards through 17 contests last season. They granted 33 passing TD's, in addition to 18 to runners. Overall, they relinquished 384.3 per outing, ranking them 32nd in the NFL. They gave up 4.8 yards per rush and 141.8 rushing yds per outing for last year. The Commanders were 27th in pro football with reference to the other team scoring points, conceding 26.5 points per contest.

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The Eagles ended the year having accrued a 11-6 mark. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Eagles went home defeated by a final of 23-19 when they played the San Francisco 49ers. Jalen Hurts (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 168 yards on 20-35 through the air while his quarterback rating was 79.2. He didn't throw any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 4.8 yds. Saquon Barkley ran the football 26 times for 106 yds, finishing the game with 4.1 yds per carry for Philadelphia. DeVonta Smith was one of the featured targets for the Eagles, catching 8 balls for 70 yards (8.8 yards per catch). Philadelphia ran the ball for 3.9 yds per carry, totaling 140 yds on 36 attempts. The Eagles finished the game with a total of 307 yards while running 71 plays (4.3 yards per play). The Eagles pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 59.4%, relinquishing 286 yds on 19 out of 32 through the air. Philadelphia relinquished 25 run attempts for 75 yds (3.0 yds per rush).

The Philadelphia Eagles held an average of 311.2 yards per contest, which ranked them at 24th in pro football. They held an average of 116.9 rushing yards per contest, and carried the ball for 1,988 yards. They surrendered 7 interceptions while granting 8 fumbles, and had a total of 166 first downs offensively. The Philadelphia offense conceded 1,073 yds by way of 117 violations, which had them ranking 10th in pro football with reference to making mistakes. Over the course of last year, the Eagles earned 3,303 pass yards and held an average of 194.3 pass yards per contest, which ranked them 23rd in professional football. If you're looking at this team's ability to score points, the Eagles were sitting 19th in professional football, with 22.3 points per outing.

They surrendered 14 touchdowns by way of the pass as well as 189.8 yards via the pass per game, which was 8th in football. Philadelphia granted a total of 2,115 rushing yards (124.4 yards per contest), as well as 20 touchdowns via the rush last season. Their defense compiled 21 takeaways (9 forced fumbles and 12 picks) last season. In total, they surrendered 325 points in total. The Eagles defense participated in 1,080 plays, which had them ranking 26th in professional football. The Eagles allowed 19.1 points per game, which ranked them 5th in professional football.

Who will win tonight's Commanders-Eagles NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Commanders +5.5

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