Kentucky Derby Picks, Tips, Expert Betting Predictions
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Game Winner Odds to Win the 2019 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/10/2019
Bob Baffert must laugh at his luck at times. He has two of the likely favorites for this race already set, and as I write this Improbable hasn't run his last prep yet and could be another Derby favorite with a bit of luck as well. This horse is the reigning Two-Year-Old Champion, his breeding is spectacular, and he can run any kind of race.
Roadster Odds to Win the 2019 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/10/2019
It's no surprise that the comparisons to Justify are flying hot and heavy when people talk about Roadster. It's a bit of a lazy comparison, but there is enough in common between the two horses for it to make sense. They are both trained by Bob Baffert. They both won the Santa Anita Derby impressively after being very lightly raced. Both are ridden by Mike Smith, and both have the magical chemistry with the rider that only he can have.
Maximum Security Odds to Win the 2019 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/10/2019
Bob Baffert is going to be the biggest story of this year's Kentucky Derby, as he regularly is. That's what happens when you win the Triple Crown. Twice. And while Maximum Security is not trained by Baffert, he still has an interesting connection to the white-haired master trainer. This colt is sired by New Year's Day. Baffert trained that colt in 2013, winning the Breeders' Cup Juvenile and finishing second to Shared Belief in Champion Two-Year-Old voting.
Plus Que Parfait Odds to Win the 2019 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/10/2019
This horse pioneered a path to the Kentucky Derby that other colts are sure to try to follow. He had been off to a very disappointing start to his three-year-old campaign on the Derby trail in the U.S., so instead of trying another prep race here, he headed to Dubai for the UAE Derby. It's a major Derby prep points race - the same as the big races like the Florida Derby or the Santa Anita Derby.
Master Fencer Odds to Win the 2019 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/10/2019
The presence of this horse in this race is a total and absolute farce. There is no way around that. He doesn't belong, and he is stealing a spot from a more deserving horse. But money makes the world go around, and this horse represents a whole lot of money.
2018 Kentucky Oaks Expert Picks with Betting Odds and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 5/1/2018
The Kentucky Derby is the main event this weekend at Churchill Downs, but the Kentucky Oaks at the heart of Friday's card is a heck of a race in its own right. If you are actually in Louisville then Oaks day is actually the more enjoyable day than the Derby in some ways - more manageable crowds, slighter fewer big hats, but just as much bourbon and a pile of good races.
Instilled Regard Odds to Win the 2018 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/30/2018
Instilled Regard is just lucky to be in the starting gate for the Kentucky Derby. After all of the prep races had ended the colt sat 22nd in points and seemed to be stuck on the outside looking in. In one day, though, Quip was aimed for the Preakness and Gronkowski suffered an infection, and suddenly the door was open. He's got a new lease on life and a shot at the toughest and most important race in North America there is to win. But is he capable of making the most of this unexpected opportunity?
2018 Kentucky Derby Expert Betting Advice: Handicapping the Curse of Apollo
by Trevor Whenham - 4/26/2018
If you are paying attention to the media coverage heading up to the Kentucky Derby then chances are pretty good that you have heard about the Curse of Apollo. And if you haven't yet then you are going to. It applies both to heavy favorite Justify and strong contender Magnum Moon, so it is more of a factor than it usually is. Therefore, our job here today is to offer Kentucky Derby expert betting advice, so you understand what the curse is and what it means to us in 2018.
Combatant Odds to Win the 2018 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/26/2018
When the connections of Quip correctly decided that the Kentucky Derby wasn't the right fit for their horse, the door was opened for Combatant to make the starting gate. It's not a move that will excite anyone other than the connections of the horse. The well-bred colt hasn't made a real mark on the Derby trail, only sticking around for enough of a piece to pick up a few points here or there. To imagine him being a real factor in this incredibly deep and tough Kentucky Derby would require a far more active imagination that I have. The horse earned his spot in the starting gate fair and square, but he's not going to get the win. Not even close.
Firenze Fire Odds to Win the 2018 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/26/2018
Firenze Fire is a reminder of how dramatically things can change in horse racing in a fairly short time. Heading into the Breeders' Cup Juvenile last year the horse had just won Grade 1 race, beating Kentucky Derby hopefuls Good Magic and Enticed, and he seemed like a decent value play at 11/1. Since then, though, he has gone from solid and interesting Triple Crown contender to the horse most likely to go off at triple-digit odds in the Kentucky Derby.
Bolt d'Oro Odds to Win the 2018 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/25/2018
The bad news is that this colt has lost his last three races - including the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, in which he was the favorite. But it could be worse. He has been beaten by just four horses in those three races - three that are in the Derby, including the favorite, and one who would have been among the top favorites if he hadn't been hurt. So, when he loses it is to top horses, and he never gets blown out. But being close isn't going to be good enough in the Derby - not in a field this strong.
Audible Odds to Win the 2018 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/25/2018
Audible won the Florida Derby in his fifth career race to extend a winning streak and to come into the Derby with a lot of momentum. Do you know who else that describes? Always Dreaming, Audible's older stablemate, who won the Kentucky Derby to stretch his win streak to four. Audible has already won four in a row, so he's already a step ahead.
Solomini Odds to Win the 2018 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/25/2018
There are many handicappers who are always drawn to the 'other' horse. They could very well be looking at Solomini. When a stable has one highly-touted horse in the field, and then the trainer slips another horse into the race, it seems a little amazing how often it is that other runner that pays off - and often at a big price. Bob Baffert runs multiple horses in lots of races, so he is a frequent target of such bettors. And with the very heavily, and legitimately by these eyes, hyped Justify towering over this field, Solomini is definitely the 'other' Baffert horse.
Enticed Odds to Win the 2018 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/25/2018
Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum is perhaps the most powerful owner of thoroughbreds in the world. Between his Godolphin and Darley operations he has won most races in the world worth winning. He is the driving force behind the Dubai World Cup, for example, and has won his own race a ridiculous nine times. Despite an international presence, the one area where he has not had a lot of success is in Triple Crown races. He won the 2006 Preakness with Bernardini, and that is the sum total of it. He had high hopes last year with UAE Derby winner Thunder Snow, who went on to win the Dubai World Cup this spring, but that colt bizarrely stepped out of the gate last year and refused to run.
Magnum Moon Odds to Win the 2018 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/25/2018
There are so many reasons to question Magnum Moon. He is trying to win the Kentucky Derby despite not having run a race as a two-year-old. In a trend so pronounced that it has a fancy name - the Curse of Apollo - no horse has been able to do that since Apollo did it way, way back in 1882. Many have tried, including some that have gone on to become legends, like Curlin, but none have pulled it off. He's also started only four times.
Lone Sailor Odds to Win the 2018 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/25/2018
In most circumstances this is the kind of horse you would pay very little attention to heading into the Derby. His breeding doesn't jump off the page. His career has been undistinguished - marked by a history of aiming high and falling short. His connections aren't terrible but aren't at all inspiring, either. He seems outclassed. To get any attention at all a horse like this would have to do something particularly noteworthy. And on April 19 this horse did just that. That morning he had a truly ridiculous work at Churchill Downs - ridiculous in a good way.
Flameaway Odds to Win the 2018 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/25/2018
In a year when so many of the storylines are about a shortage of experience and what impact that will have on the race, it is somewhat refreshing to see a grinder like Flameaway come along. That's three times as many starts as Justify, and only My Boy Jack has run more. This colt has done a little bit of everything, too, which certainly has given him exposure to a whole lot of different things. He hasn't had the shiny success that some top runners had, but he's well bred and has strong connections. Can he overcome his shortcomings and deliver some big value at a fat price? Or will he fall short?
Promises Fulfilled Odds to Win the 2018 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/25/2018
Remember the story of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde? It will come in handy when you handicap Promises Fulfilled heading into the Kentucky Derby. Depending on the race, he can look like a world-class speed horse that could cause headaches for the best horses in this field, or he could look like a totally immature mess of a horse that is in so far over his head that it is ridiculous. The trick for us here it to figure out if the good version of the colt or the bad is likely to show up. It's not an easy and obvious question, but the answer might not be that difficult to come by in the end.
Mendelssohn Odds to Win the 2018 Kentucky Derby with Picks and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 4/24/2018
Since 2013, the UAE Derby, run on the Dubai World Cup undercard in late March, has been a Kentucky Derby points race. The winner gets enough points to make the Derby field, and the runner-up does as well. Despite that ticket to the big time, and the incredible wealth owners have in Dubai, we have yet to see a horse from the race really threaten in Louisville. Last year's winner Thunder Snow was arguably the best horse that has come over, but he quit running right out of the gate. It has been a good practice for bettors to be skeptical about horses coming out of this race.
Where to Bet on the Kentucky Derby 2018
by Trevor Whenham - 4/18/2018
This is shaping up to be a great Kentucky Derby. The field is very deep, and the top end is exceptional. The 10th-place horse this year could be better than Always Dreaming was to win the Derby last year. That means that this is not going to be an easy Derby to bet on. Far from it. And that's what makes it so exciting. A winning bet here will offer real bragging rights - it will be an impressive handicapping feat. So, you obviously need to be betting on this race. But where? Need some advice on where to bet on the Kentucky Derby? You have come to be the right place. Here are your options:
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