Week 11 NFL Power Rankings
by Robert Ferringo - 11/17/2006
I have one key idea for you this weekend. There's eight interconference games going down in Week 11. The AFC has gone 11-2 ATS over the past four weeks against the NFC. Also, over the course of the past four years (since the start of 2003) the AFC is 136-97 (58 percent) SU and 131-97-5 ATS against the NFC.
And without further ado here are my Week 11 Power Rankings:
1. Indianapolis (9-0) - The way the Colts are running the ball (106.7 ypg, 18th in the NFL) I don't see why the Dallas safeties would bite on any play-action.
2. Chicago (8-1) - In three games without safety Mike Brown the Bears have yielded three 100-yard rushers. Tommie Harris has no sacks in his past five games after having five in his first four. Teams are doubling him up.
3. Denver (7-2) - The Broncos miss Todd Sauerbrun. The beleaguered punter was booted for steroids and other off-field issues, but finished eighth in punting last year (43.6 net). His replacement, Paul Ernster, is 30th with a 36.2 net.
4. Baltimore (7-2) - The Ravens are averaging more than 300 yards on offense for the first time this year. They lead the NFL in interceptions and will be prepared to play without Ray Lewis.
5. New England (6-3) - You think they're going to lose three in a row? Me neither.
6. San Diego (7-2) - Now they're without Luis Castillo on defense as well. Marty Schottenheimer is 3-14 in Denver during his career.
7. New Orleans (6-3) - Their defense has held an opponent under 21 points exactly twice this year. Yikes.
8. Philadelphia (5-4) - The Eagles have given up a combined 353 yards in the past two games, both of which were played without hard-hitting safety Michael Lewis in the starting lineup.
9. Jacksonville (5-4) - The Jaguars are 6-3 on Monday Night Football, including a 9-0 win over Pittsburgh earlier this season. The Jags wideouts had seven dropped passes last week.
10. Dallas (5-4) - Terry Glenn practiced on Thursday and was listed as probable. That's a huge boost for the Cowboys. I predict if the Cowboys rush more than 31 times they win, by four points.
11. Seattle (6-3) - It wasn't pretty, but the Seahawks weathered the storm without their two best offensive players. You have to give Mike Holmgren a lot of credit for that. Don't underestimate the Julian Peterson Factor this weekend in San Fran.
12. Carolina (5-3) - On first-and-10 this year the Panthers have passed 56 percent of the time and run just 44 percent of the time. If Ken Lucas doesn't play the Panthers D is in trouble.
13. Kansas City (5-4) - The Chiefs will again be without their best offensive lineman, Brian Waters, this weekend. I can't tell you how disappointed I am with the Trent Green decision.
14. New York Giants (6-3) - Look for the G-Men to start old-as-dirt Bob Whitfield at left tackle on Monday night. If he can't handle it, guard David Diehl will move out there and Rich Seubert will take over Diehl's spot.
15. New York Jets (5-4) - I still say last week was their Super Bowl and the Jets are due for a letdown.
16. Atlanta (5-4) - The Falcons are 0-7 ATS against Baltimore and just lost their heart and soul, Patrick Kearney. Morale is dangerously low down here in Atlanta.
17. Pittsburgh (3-6) - The Steelers are 5-0 ATS against the Browns lately, including a 41-0 thrashing on Christmas Eve last year that Cleveland hasn't forgotten.
18. Cincinnati (4-5) - After going nearly three years with the same five starting offensive linemen the Bengals will now go with their fifth different starting unit in as many weeks after losing Bobbie Williams.
19. St. Louis (4-5) - The Rams line hadn't been playing that well even with Orlando Pace. Now it's up to Alex Barron (who leads the NFL in false starts) to earn his money. St. Louis is 1-5 ATS against the Panthers.
20. Cleveland (3-6) - Reuben Droughns has been in a walking boot all week despite just being listed as questionable on the injury report.
21. Green Bay (4-5) - Last week the Packers had the lead the entire fourth quarter. Their play calling: 11 passes and two runs. The Pack is 4-0-1 ATS against the Patriots.
22. San Francisco (4-5) - Arnez Battle plans to play with a broken bone in his hand. Frank Gore (concussion) should play. San Francisco is 7-2 against the total in its last nine against the NFC West, 8-3 in their last 11 overall.
23. Washington (3-6) - Are any of their coordinators earning their big bucks? There is talent there. Also, we were ahead of the curve on Jason Campbell.
24. Minnesota (4-5) - The Vikings are 2-10 against the total in their last dozen games on grass. After giving up just seven sacks in the first five games the Vikings have given up 15 sacks in the past four.
25. Buffalo (3-6) - Buffalo is 15-37 SU on the road since 2000, and in 10 of those games they didn't even score an offensive TD.
26. Houston (3-6) - Demarcus Faggins' return can be pointed to as the reason the Texans defense has so drastically improved. They were averaging 273 passing yards per game without him, and 142 yards per game since he's returned.
27. Miami (3-6) - We'll only be able to wonder how Miami's season would be going if Nick Saban had trusted his first instinct and started the year with Joey Harrington, allowing Dante Culpepper's knee a full chance to heal.
28. Detroit (2-7) - The Lions are 3-0 ATS against the Cardinals recently, but they are 0-3 ATS in their last three trips into the desert.
29. Tennessee (2-7) - Vince Young looked good on that fourth quarter drive last week. That's progress. If he does play, Reynaldo Hill won't be anywhere near 100 percent.
30. Tampa Bay (2-7) - Cadillac Williams has had five games of 15 or fewer carries despite the fact that the Bucs are 8-0 when he has 21 or more carries.
31. Oakland (2-7) - If I'm the Raiders this week my defensive scheme is one word: BLITZ.
32. Arizona (1-8) - The loser of their game against Detroit has the inside track at the No. 1 overall pick. So they got that going for them.
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