Week 13 NFL Power Rankings
by Robert Ferringo - 12/01/2006
I'm not going to lie: after the No. 5 team on this list everyone is shaky as hell. The first five are interchangeable and reliable. But after that, it's a friggin' zoo.
And without further ado here are my Week 13 Power Rankings:
1. Indianapolis (10-1) - Don't underestimate the loss of lineman Montae Reagor, who was placed on IR and is done for the year. Manning has been sacked on only three percent of his drop backs this year.
2. Chicago (9-2) - Not going to penalize them for a close loss to a very good team in their third straight road game against a team with a winning record. Chicago is 6-2 ATS against Minnesota at Soldier Field.
3. San Diego (9-2) - They will get a boost getting Merriman back, but after a tight one in Oakland and a chance to cripple Denver's playoff hopes at home next week, this trip to Buffalo has Look Ahead Game written all over it.
4. Baltimore (9-3) - Without B.J. Sams, their average starting position through 3.5 quarters was the 19-yard line. He's done for the year and that is a crippling blow. Bart Scott is clearly the best player on that defense right now.
5. New England (8-3) - To compensate for Junior Seau's absence, Tully Banta-Cain will start at ROLB while Mike Vrabel moves inside and Rosevelt Colvin shifts to LOLB. The Pats are 4-1 ATS against the Lions.
6. Dallas (7-4) - No way they deserve this spot - but I have no one else to put here. If they were playing just about anyone else other than the G-Men I'd be betting against them. Look for inflated lines to start getting piled on the Boys.
7. Seattle (7-4) - The Seahawks are 3-11 ATS on the road during the regular season since the middle of the 2004 season. A MNF winner who is posted as a road underdog the following week is just 10-18 ATS over the past 10 years.
8. Kansas City (7-4) - Ryan Sims has been benched, and is not taking it well. K.C. really needs this game at Cleveland to help bolster their weak 3-4 record vs. the AFC. That's one of the first playoff tiebreakers.
9. Denver (7-4) - I think that a lot of the veterans on this offense will bring their 'A' Game to help out the young kid on Sunday. This team is clearly feeling the effects of losing Gary Kubiak.
10. New Orleans (7-4) - In their last nine games against the 49ers the Saints are 7-2 ATS. Ernie Conwell is done for the year, DE Will Smith has a bum knee and LB Mark Simoneau has a fractured hand. Don't expect Colston to play.
11. Jacksonville (6-5) - The Jags D has allowed just 22 drives into the red zone. They're second in overall and TD defense in the red zone, allowing only 31 percent of those drives to end in a TD and only 68 percent to end in points.
12. Cincinnati (7-5) - This team thinks it's a lot better than it really is. The two offenses that they've shut down over the past week were ranked 31st (Cleveland) and 25th (Baltimore). So no, I'm not that impressed.
13. Carolina (6-5) - The Panthers are tied for the league lead in defensive three-and-outs (43). They've given up only 16 points in the first quarter, tops in the NFL. However, their offense is ranked only No. 24 overall.
14. New York Jets (6-5) - Efficiency is the name of the game. They have the third-fewest offensive penalties and are eighth in third-down conversions. But they are just 18th in red-zone efficiency (.821 scoring percentage).
15. New York Giants (6-5) - Sixty-six percent of opponents' forays into the red zone end in a touchdown against the Giants defense (19 of 29). Who has fallen further, faster: the Falcons or the Giants?
16. Buffalo (5-6) - Keep an eye on the game-within-the-game between Roscoe Parrish and punter Mike Scifres this weekend. Scifres is the least returned punter in the league and Parrish is going to the Pro Bowl.
17. Miami (5-6) - Half of Miami's 28 sacks have come in the past four games. They are blitzing less and relying on their front four for pressure, which has been a boon to the secondary. The DB's have broken up 23 passes in the last four games compared to 18 in the first seven.
18. Philadelphia (5-6) - Remember last year when they played against Seattle, late in the year, on Monday Night without Donovan McNabb? Do you remember what happened? It was 42-0. I'm just saying…
19. St. Louis (5-6) - The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last four home games against the Cardinals. STL is second in the league in turnover differential at +11.
20. San Francisco (5-6) - I expect a letdown from the 49ers after blowing that game in St. Louis last week. Tight end Eric Johnson is out for at least 2-3 weeks with a sprained MCL. Vernon Davis has one catch since coming back from a broken leg.
21. Minnesota (5-6) - Pro Bowl nose tackle Pat Williams has been downgraded to doubtful, meaning he will likely miss his first game in five years. Cedric Griffin will again start over Fred Smoot, mainly because of his excellent run support.
22. Tennessee (4-7) - After that miraculous comeback last week the Titans became the most profitable team in the league, posting a 7-2 ATS record. Yet, they are just 1-6 ATS against the Colts since 2003.
23. Washington (4-7) - The Skins are 5-2 ATS in their last seven at home against the Falcons. One week after allowing seven sacks to Tampa Bay the Redskins yielded just one to Carolina.
24. Atlanta (5-6) - It's been 20 games since the Falcons have scored a touchdown on their opening drive. Over the past two games they've averaged just 67 yards passing.
25. Green Bay (4-7) - After starting as a three-point dog this week the Packers have whittled the line down to a 'pick'. Over the past three years teams that lost on MNF and were a home dog the next week are 6-3-2 ATS.
26. Pittsburgh (4-7) - You can't say the Steelers quit this year because they never really showed up. Now they'll be without Hines Ward, the heart-and-soul of the offense, and Troy Polamalu the face of the defense.
27. Oakland (2-9) - After watching John Shoop as the offensive coordinator of my beloved Chicago Bears for three mind-numbing years, all I have to say to Raider fans is this: ugh.
28. Cleveland (3-8) - Things are looking bleak, and about to get worse. They host the hot Chiefs, travel to Pittsburgh to play on Thursday, and then travel to Baltimore for their third game in 15 days. Keep an eye out for them to mail it in.
29. Houston (3-8) - The Texans averaged 1.8 yards per carry through their first 14 carries against the league's worst rush offense last week. The finished with a franchise-low 25 total rushing yards.
30. Detroit (2-9) - Teams are completing 68 percent of their passes!!! That's amazing. I mean, guys don't even complete that many of their passes at Julia Roberts.
31. Tampa Bay (3-8) - Yeah. They suck.
32. Arizona (2-9) - Left tackle Leonard Davis is the only player along that line to start in the same spot every game. The last time the Cards had a 100-yard rusher was in Oct. of 2004. The Cards are 17-9-1 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses playing a divisional opponent.
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