NBA Odds and Predictions: Tuesday, March 10 Opening Line Report and Handicapping
by Alan Matthews - 3/9/2015
Remember the famous Nike commercial "It's Gotta Be The Shoes" with Michael Jordan and Mars Blackmon (Spike Lee)? In one case, that's apparently correct. Mavericks forward Chandler Parsons returned to action Sunday after missing seven games due to an ankle injury. And Parsons, who has a $1 million per year endorsement deal with Chinese shoe company Anta, wore Jordan Brand sneakers with the logos covered during the game because of concerns that his Anta shoes contributed to the sprain and bone bruise to his left ankle (who checks this stuff?). Buy American folks! Although I 'm quite sure Nike shoes aren't manufactured here. The Mavs are back in action Tuesday. Here's a look at the schedule.
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Magic at Pacers (TBA)
Indiana is really playing well right now, having won a season-high five straight games and not allowing more than 86 points in that stretch. The Pacers won 92-86 at the Knicks on Saturday in the second of a back-to-back. New York had two field goals in the final five minutes. The Pacers have won 11 of 13 and moved into a tie for seventh place in the East. Orlando won its second in a row Sunday, 103-98 against Boston. Victor Oladipo scored a game-high 22 points for the Magic, who trailed by 20 early. Center Nik Vucevic missed his second straight game with an ankle injury (thus the TBA). This is the last meeting of the season. Indiana leads 2-0.
Key trends: Orlando is 1-5 against the spread in its past six in Indiana. The "over/under" has hit in six of the past seven meetings.
Early lean: Pacers going away.
Pelicans at Nets (pick'em, 193)
Second of a back-to-back for New Orleans, which was in Milwaukee on Monday. Brooklyn lost its third straight Sunday, 95-88 at home to Utah. Brook Lopez had 19 points and 10 rebounds in his return to the Nets' starting lineup. Thaddeus Young also made his first start since being acquired from Minnesota for Kevin Garnett at the trade deadline. He also scored 19. We'll see if that new lineup sticks. The Nets lost 102-96 in New Orleans on Wednesday. The Pelicans didn't have an injured Anthony Davis then, but he's back.
Key trends: Brooklyn is 0-6 ATS in its past six at home against teams with a losing road record. The under is 6-1 in New Orleans' past seven in the second of a back-to-back. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings.
Early lean: Nets and under.
Cavaliers at Mavericks (+4, 202)
Cleveland bounced back from a loss Friday in Atlanta with an 89-79 home win over Phoenix on Saturday. It was the Cavs' 13th straight home victory, the franchise's longest since winning 16 straight from Feb. 11-April 12, 2009. LeBron James tied Mark Price for the franchise lead in assists, so obviously his next will put LeBron at No. 1. Dallas ended a two-game slide with a 100-93 win at the Lakers on Sunday. Parsons had 11 points and six rebounds in 35 minutes in his return. The team played a second straight game without Devin Harris due to an injured hand. The Mavs are 24-4 against opponents with losing records, but 17-19 against teams above .500. Dallas won in Cleveland 109-90 on Jan. 4. LeBron was out injured.
Key trends: Cleveland is 10-2 ATS in its past 12 vs. the West. Dallas is 11-5 ATS in its past 16 vs. the East. The under is 7-2 in Cleveland's past nine.
Early lean: Cavaliers and over.
Raptors at Spurs (-7.5, 206)
San Antonio seems to be finding its stride, winning a fifth straight Sunday, 116-105 over visiting Chicago. Tony Parker, who had been struggling before this winning run, had a season-high 32 points and just a single turnover. Tim Duncan failed to make a basket for the first time in his career, going 0-for-8 while finishing with three points. Duncan's streak of 1,310 games in a row with a bucket was the longest in NBA history. Toronto dropped a third straight Sunday, 108-104 in Oklahoma City. All-Star Kyle Lowry was vastly outplayed by Russell Westbrook. But then who isn't outplayed by Westbrook these days? The Raptors beat visiting San Antonio 87-82 on Feb. 8. San Antonio shot a season-worst .333 from the field.
Key trends: Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its past six against teams with a winning record. San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its past five on Tuesday. The under is 5-1 in the Raptors' past five vs. the West. The over is 5-2 in the past seven meetings.
Early lean: Spurs and over.
Knicks at Jazz (-12, 183)
New York played, and I'm sure lost, in Denver on Monday. Utah continued its solid play since the All-Star Break with a 95-88 win in Brooklyn on Sunday. Former Nets forward Derrick Favors had 22 points and eight rebounds for the Jazz, who won for the seventh time in nine games. The Jazz (26-36) surpassed last season's win total and improved to 7-3 with the starting lineup of Gordon Hayward, Favors, Rudy Gobert, Dante Exum and Joe Ingles. The Jazz won at the Knicks 102-100 on Nov. 14 despite 46 points from Carmelo Anthony. Trey Burke hit a jumper as time expired for the win.
Key trends: New York has failed to cover its past seven Tuesday games. The under is 6-0 in Utah's past six vs. the East. New York is 11-1 ATS in its past 12 at Utah.
Early lean: Jazz and under.
Pistons at Lakers (+2, 200.5)
Los Angeles lost a fifth straight Sunday, 100-93 against Dallas. Carlos Boozer had 17 points and eight rebounds off the bench for the Lakers, who have lost 21 of 25. Leading scorer Nick Young missed his seventh straight game because of a sore left knee and there's now talk that he might miss the rest of the season. Not like the Lakers care about winning any longer. Detroit lost a sixth straight Sunday, 108-101 at home against Charlotte. Reggie Jackson had 21 first-half points but only four in the second. The Pistons lost at home to the Lakers 106-96 on Dec. 2. It was the Pistons' ninth straight defeat the time back when they still had Josh Smith. Detroit has lost five in a row to the Lakers and 10 of 11.
Key trends: Detroit is 11-5 ATS in its past 16 on the road. L.A. is 5-0 ATS in its past five after a loss. Detroit is 0-4 ATS in its past four at the Lakers.
Early lean: Pistons and over.
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