2015 Record: 6-7
2016 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 7.0*
2016 Season Win Total Picks NCAA Football: 'Under'
The Golden Hurricane were a pleasant surprise in Philip Montgomery's first season in Tulsa. The former Baylor offensive coordinator was able to build on what has been a proud, successful program by getting Tulsa back to a bowl game following a two-year absence. Last year's six wins topped the meager five that they put up in 2013 and 2014, and now Montgomery is looking to continue the ascent.
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Tulsa has a lot to work with. They have seven starters back on both sides of the ball and seven three-year starters overall. Quarterback Dane Evans is a senior leader with 30 starts under his belt. Evans threw for 4,300 and 25 touchdowns in the first year in Montgomery's system. I would expect even bigger and better numbers this time around, and I wouldn't be stunned to see Tulsa threaten to average 40 points per game.
Tulsa's defense is an obvious work in progress. During their most successful run of the past 20 years (2007-2010 under Todd Graham) they were explosive offensively and stout defensively. But Tulsa has allowed at least 39 points per game over the past two seasons, and that won't work at all.
Further, Tulsa was actually outgained (by 75 yards per game) and outscored (by three points per game) last year yet still nearly posted a winning record. Those stats don't jibe with their record and are kind of a red flag that this team wasn't nearly as good as its record may have looked, relatively speaking.
Also, Tulsa isn't the only team on their schedule that's improving. San Jose State, SMU, Tulane and Central Florida all should be much better this year. And they also have a brutal road schedule, with games at Ohio State, Houston and Memphis. If they can find two road wins on their slate - and Tulsa has gone a respectable 30-32 SU on the road the last 10 years - then I think the Hurricane can top last year's win total. But there's no value betting it that way. If I had to play this one I would likely look 'under', but I won't be surprised if it goes the other way.
2016 Tulsa Golden Hurricanes Schedule
DATE OPPONENT TIME (ET) Location
Sat, Sep 3rd, 2016 San Jose State 07:00 PM Skelly Field
Sat, Sep 10th, 2016 at Ohio State 03:30 PM Ohio Stadium
Sat, Sep 24th, 2016 at Fresno State 04:30 PM Bulldog Stadium
Fri, Oct 7th, 2016 SMU 08:00 PM Skelly Field
Sat, Oct 15th, 2016 at Houston 01:00 PM TDECU Stadium
Sat, Oct 22nd, 2016 Tulane 01:00 PM Skelly Field
Sat, Oct 29th, 2016 at Memphis 01:00 PM Liberty Bowl Memorial
Sat, Nov 5th, 2016 East Carolina 01:00 PM Skelly Field
Sat, Nov 12th, 2016 at Navy 12:00 PM Jack Stephens Field
Sat, Nov 19th, 2016 at Central Florida 12:00 PM Bright House Stadium
Fri, Nov 25th, 2016 Cincinnati 01:00 PM Skelly Field
All Times EST
*Season Win Total Odds from 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Robert Ferringo has been the top football handicapper in the country the past five years, earning nearly $13,000 in total football profit with four of six winning seasons. Robert tallied over $20,000 in football profit between 2011 and 2015, including his amazing 2013 NFL season in which he hit 62.1 percent (95-58). Robert has produced 14 of 22 winning football months and an amazing 37 of 57 winning football months over the past decade. Robert has eight of nine winning NFL preseasons and he is at nearly 60 percent winners over his last 750 totals picks. Also, Robert's proprietary KING College Football Betting System has posted two of three winning seasons and is 122-92 over the last three years (57.0 percent).
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