New England Patriots at Los Angeles Rams Super Bowl Picks 2/3/2019
Sunday, February 3, 2019
Get todays NFL Odds & Lines on this game
The New England Patriots head to Mercedes-Benz Stadium to play the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday, February 3, 2019 in Super Bowl LIII. Both teams won overtime thrillers in their Championship game wins. The Pats beat the Chiefs 37-31 in OT at Arrowhead Stadium and the Rams beat the Saints 26-23 in overtime in New Orleans. The opening line for this matchup has New England as 1.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 58.
The Patriots are 11-7-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 7-11-0. The Rams are 9-8-1 against the spread and their over/under mark is 9-9-0.
Valuable New England Patriots Betting Trends
The New England Patriots are 7-11-0 against the over/under
The New England Patriots are 11-7-0 against the spread
Important Los Angeles Rams Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Rams are 9-9-0 against the over/under
The Los Angeles Rams are 9-8-1 against the spread
Key New England Patriots Injuries
12/20/18 WR Josh Gordon Personal is out indefinitely
11/06/18 C Brian Schwenke Foot IR
10/31/18 DB Eric Rowe Groin IR
09/26/18 LB Ja'Whaun Bentley Undisclosed IR
09/12/18 RB Jeremy Hill Knee IR
09/04/18 WR Braxton Berrios Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 LB Christian Sam Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 T Isaiah Wynn Achilles IR
09/04/18 TE Ryan Izzo Ankle IR
09/04/18 OL Ulrick John Foot IR
01/09/19 TE Jacob Hollister Hamstring IR
Key Los Angeles Rams Injuries
12/04/18 RB Malcolm Brown Shoulder is out for season
11/12/18 WR Cooper Kupp ACL IR
10/01/18 DT Dominique Easley Knee IR
09/20/18 WR Mike Thomas Hip IR
09/04/18 LB Carlos Thompson Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 LB Garrett Sickels Undisclosed IR
09/04/18 DE Morgan Fox Knee IR
09/04/18 DE Ryan Davis Undisclosed IR
08/11/18 CB Kevin Peterson ACL IR
Useful Offensive Statistics
The New England Patriots are 2nd in the National Football League in points scored with 436. They have run 1,073 plays this year for 6,295 yards, which ranks them 1st in the NFL in total offense. The Patriots average 5.9 yards per play, which is 3rd in the league. As a team they have accumulated a total of 365 1st downs this season, ranking them 1st overall as an offensive unit. On the ground New England has run for 2,037 yards as a unit, which ranks 10th in the league. They've run 478 times, averaging 4.3 yards per rush as a unit. The Patriots have been penalized on offense 93 times for 744 yards so far this year, which has them 26th in the NFL in penalties. Tom Brady has passed for 4,355 yards this year. He's completed 375 throws while attempting 570 passes for a completion percentage of 65.8%. His quarterback rating this season is 97.7. He averages 11.6 yards per completion and 7.6 yards per pass attempt.
New England is 5th in the NFL in points surrendered on defense with 325. They have given up a total of 5,746 yards on D, which is 29th in the league. The Patriots are 28th in yards per play allowed with 5.7. Their pass defense has allowed 6.2 net yards per pass attempt, ranking them 20th in the National Football League. Opponent offenses have completed 370 throws on 605 attempts against the New England Patriots defense this season, ranking them 28th and 30th in the league. The New England pass defense has also surrendered a total of 3,943 yards in the air, which is 30th overall in total pass defense. Their rushing defense has given up 367 attempts for 1,803 yards this season, putting them in 20th place in the NFL against the run. The Patriots have had 91 penalties for 838 yards on defense this year. That places them 27th in the league. They've allowed a score on 32.6% of possessions on defense, which is 6th in the NFL.
Special Teams Stats
New England is 18th in the NFL in punt returns with 26. They've totaled 199 punt return yards and are averaging 7.7 yards per return, which is 17th in the league. Their longest punt return this season is 25 yards. They have returned 28 kicks for 755 yards on special teams, placing them 19th in kick return yardage. The Patriots average 27 yards per kick return and have a long of 95 yards this season. They are 4th in the National Football League in all-purpose yards with 7,396. The New England Patriots have tried 32 field goals this season and made 27, which is 4th in the league. Their kickers have a FG percentage of 84.4%. New England Patriots kickers have made 98% of their extra points, going 49 for 50 this season. Their punters have accumulated 2,886 yards on 64 punts, averaging 45.1 yards per punt. That ranks them 27th in the NFL in punting average.
Useful Offensive Statistics
The Los Angeles Rams have run for 2,231 yards as a team, which ranks 8th in the NFL. They've run 459 times, averaging 4.9 yards per carry as a rushing unit. The Rams have been penalized on offense 96 times for 878 yards so far this season, which has them 16th in the league in penalties. They are 1st in the NFL in points scored with 527. They have run 1,060 plays this season for 6,738 yards, which ranks them 10th in the league in total offense. The Rams average 6.4 yards per play, which is 7th in the National Football League. As a team they have accumulated a total of 401 1st downs this year, placing them 16th overall as an offensive unit. Jared Goff averages 8.4 yards per pass attempt and 12.9 yards per completion. He has completed 364 passes on 561 attempts for a completion percentage of 64.9%. His quarterback rating is 101.1. He has thrown for 4,688 yards this season.
The Rams rush defense has allowed 386 attempts for 1,957 yards this year, putting them in 28th place in the league against the run. Los Angeles has committed 99 penalties for 852 yards on the defensive side of the ball this season. That ranks them 3rd in the NFL. They've given up a score on 38.2% of possessions on defense, which is 8th in the league. They are 12th in the league in points allowed on defense with 384. They have surrendered a total of 5,737 yards on D, which is 19th in the NFL. The Los Angeles Rams are ranked 19th in yards per play allowed with 6. Their pass defense has given up 6.6 net yards per pass attempt, placing them 11th in the league as a unit. Opposing offenses have completed 347 passes on 533 attempts against the Los Angeles defense this season, placing them 8th and 20th in the National Football League. The Rams pass defense has also given up a total of 3,780 yards through the air, which is 13th overall in total pass defense.
Special Teams Stats
The Los Angeles Rams have attempted 41 field goals this season and made 34, which is 2nd in the National Football League. Their kickers have a field goal percentage of 82.9%. Los Angeles kickers have made 96% of their extra points, going 51 for 53 this year. Their punters have totaled 1,991 yards on 43 punts, averaging 46.3 yards per punt. That places them 4th in the NFL in punting average. Los Angeles is ranked 2nd in the league in punt returns with 30. They've accumulated 307 punt return yards and average 10.2 yards per return, which is 4th in the NFL. Their longest punt return so far this year is 60 yards. They have returned 39 kicks for 834 yards on special teams, ranking 3rd in kick return yardage. The Rams average 21.4 yards per kick return and have a long of 40 yards this year. They are 3rd in the league in all-purpose yards with 8,102.
Who will win tonight's Patriots/Rams NFL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Rams +1.5
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of this Weeks NFL picks
Get all of this Weeks Guaranteed Expert NFL Picks