Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Pick, Odds, Week 12 Prediction 11/24/2019
Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons
Date: Sunday, November 24, 2019
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA
Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta -3
Mercedes-Benz Stadium is the site where Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons will take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Atlanta as 3-point favorites. The over/under opens at 54.5. The Buccaneers are 3-7-0 ATS and 8-2-0 when betting on the total. The Falcons are 3-7-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-7-0 against the spread.
The last time they took the field, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers went up against the New Orleans Saints and were defeated 34-17. Leading the way at QB for the Buccaneers was Jameis Winston who went 30/51 with 313 yards through the air and threw 2 TD's. He gave away 4 interceptions on the day. Jameis Winston paced the team on the ground for that contest. He had a long run of 23 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He rushed for 23 yards by way of 2 carries which meant he was running for 11.5 yards per run. Cameron Brate was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 73 yards on 10 receptions. He averaged 7.3 yards per catch for that contest. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ended up rushing 8 times and earned 36 yards giving them an average of 4.5 yards per rush. For the contest, the Buccaneers totaled 21 1st downs and they totaled 7 penalties for 55 yards. In all, they ran 61 plays for 334 yards. When discussing the defense, Tampa Bay allowed 28 catches on 35 tries for a total of 219 yards, and a completion percentage of 80.0%. For this contest, they gave up a total of 328 yards but didn't get any takeaways. On the ground, the Buccaneers allowed 109 yards on 28 runs which is an average of 3.9 yards per attempt allowed. Josh Schonwald has a free pick for the contest between the Broncos and Bills.
Buccaneers are Now 3-7 After Loss
The Buccaneers step onto the field holding a record of 3-7 for 2019. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the league averaging 28 points per contest, putting them 6th in the NFL. As a team, they have an average of 95 yards on the ground per contest which is 12th in the conference. For total yards, they currently sit at 5th in the conference and 8th in the NFL with 3,804 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Buccaneers currently have a total of 19 passing TDs and 10 rushing touchdowns. This team is one of the more average teams in terms of scoring in the division and I wouldn't expect it to change too much in this matchup.
The Buccaneers have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, giving up 31.3 points per contest ranking them 16th among NFC teams. In terms of yards rushing, Tampa Bay is allowing 80.9 yards per game putting them 1st in the NFC South and 2nd in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.5 yards per rush which has them at 2nd among NFC teams and 3rd in the league overall. Overall, they have allowed 948 yards rushing through 10 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Buccaneers have conceded 2,909 yards. Opponents are completing 65.3% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.8 yards per attempt. They have conceded 25 passing TDs and 6 rushing touchdowns.
In their last game, the Atlanta Falcons faced the Carolina Panthers and won by a score of 29-3. Brian Hill led the team in rushing during the game. He had a long run of 11 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for a total of 30 yards by way of 15 carries which meant he averaged 2.0 yards per tote. Calvin Ridley was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 143 yards on 8 catches. He notched an average of 17.9 yards per reception during the game. Leading the way at QB for the Falcons was Matt Ryan who went 21/31 with 311 yards through the air and threw 1 TD. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. The Atlanta Falcons ran the ball a total of 26 times and added 54 yards which had them averaging 2.1 yards per carry. In the game, they totaled 61 plays for 349 yards. Overall, the Falcons racked up 20 1st downs and they had a total of 3 penalties for 20 yards. In terms of defense, Atlanta conceded 31 catches on 50 attempts totaling 270 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.0%. In the running game, the Falcons conceded 77 yards on 15 attempts which is an average of 5.1 yards per run allowed. Overall, they allowed a total of 347 yards and forced 4 turnovers. Another prediction you may want to look into is the free pick against the spread from Parlays Pundit on the Giants vs Bears game.
Falcons Sit at 3-7 After Win
The Falcons head into this game 3-7. Atlanta needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 75 rushing yards per contest, putting them 30th in the league. As a team, they have a total of 745 rushing yards through 10 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Falcons average 375 yards per contest overall which has them at 10th in the league and 7th in the conference. When talking about the points that are being put on the board, the Falcons sit in 4th in the NFC South and 19th out of all the teams in the league averaging 22.0 points per contest.
The Falcons are giving up 26.2 points per contest ranking them 3rd in the division and 26th in the league. Their pass defense is one of the middling groups in the league. They are allowing 262 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Falcons currently sit at 12th among NFC teams. They have allowed 19 passing touchdowns for this season. In regard to points allowed, they have given up 262 points in total. In terms of yards on the ground, they are conceding 108 yards per game which puts them at 19th in the league and 3rd in the NFC South. For 2019, they have given up a total of 1,076 rushing yards and 9 rushing TDs.
Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Falcons NFL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -3
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