NFL Predictions Week 6: Texans vs Chiefs
Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans head to Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday where they'll take on the Kansas City Chiefs. The line on this contest has Kansas City as 8.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 57. The Texans are 3-2-0 ATS and 2-3-0 when betting on the total. The Chiefs are 3-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-1-0 against the spread.
In their last outing, the Houston Texans went up against the Atlanta Falcons and won by a score of 53-32. Running the show from under center for the Texans was Deshaun Watson who went 28/33 with 426 yards passing and threw 5 touchdowns. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Carlos Hyde paced the team on the ground for that contest. He had a long run of 14 yards and he notched 1 TD for the contest. He ran for 60 yards on 21 carries which meant he averaged 2.9 yards per carry. Will Fuller V led the team in receiving yardage by earning 217 yards on 14 receptions. He had an average of 15.5 yards per catch for that contest. The Houston Texans ran the ball a total of 34 times and generated 166 yards giving them an average of 4.9 yards per rush. For the game, the Texans earned a total of 31 first downs and they totaled 9 penalties for 89 yards. On the day, they totaled 67 plays for 592 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Houston conceded 32 completions on 46 tries for a total of 316 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.0%. In the game, they gave up a total of 373 yards and forced 1 turnover. In the running game, the Texans conceded 57 yards on 20 carries which gave them an average of 2.9 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Another prediction you may want to look into is the NFL pick from Guy Bruhn on the Panthers vs Bucs game.
Texans Rise to 3-2 After Win
The Texans come into this matchup with a record of 3-2 this season. This team is one of the more average teams in terms of scoring among AFC South teams and I wouldn't expect things to change too much in this game. For total yards, they currently sit at 4th in the conference and 7th in the NFL with 1,909 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Texans have compiled a total of 11 passing TDs and 5 rushing touchdowns. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the league averaging 26 points per contest, which has them at 9th in the NFL. As a unit, they are averaging 129 yards on the ground per game which is 3rd in the AFC.
The Texans have one of the best defenses in the NFL, allowing 22.0 points per contest putting them 6th among AFC teams. When it comes to yards through the air, the Texans have allowed 1,352 yards. Teams are completing 70.3% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.2 yards per try. They have conceded 8 passing TDs and 3 rushing touchdowns. In regard to yards rushing, Houston is giving up 95.0 yards per contest ranking them 1st in the AFC South and 12th in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per carry putting them 7th in the conference and 15th in the league overall. Overall, they have allowed 647 rushing yards through 5 contests.
The last time they took the field, the Kansas City Chiefs went up against the Indianapolis Colts and took the loss by a score of 19-13. Running the show from under center for the Chiefs was Patrick Mahomes who went 22/39 with 321 yards through the air and tossed 1 TD. He ended the game with no interceptions. Damien Williams led the team in rushing during the game. He tore off a long run of 6 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He racked up a total of 23 yards by way of 9 carries which gave him an average of 2.6 yards per carry. Byron Pringle led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 103 yards on 6 receptions. He earned an average of 17.2 yards per reception during the game. Check out where the Chiefs rank in our Week 6 NFL power rankings. The Kansas City Chiefs ended up rushing 14 times and generated 36 yards which had them averaging 2.6 yards per rush. On the day, the Chiefs had a total of 18 1st downs and they had a total of 11 infractions for 125 yards. Overall, they totaled 57 plays which gave them a total of 324 yards. In terms of defense, Kansas City gave up 18 catches on 29 tries totaling 151 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.0%. For the game, they gave up a total of 331 yards and forced 1 turnover. In the running game, the Chiefs gave up 180 yards on 45 carries which means they allowed 4.0 yards per carry allowed.
Chiefs Dip to 4-1 After Loss
The Chiefs come into this game with a record of 4-1. Kansas City hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 89 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 25th in the NFL. As a unit, they have a total of 443 rushing yards through 5 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Chiefs average 445 yards per contest overall ranking them 2nd in the league and 1st in the conference. In discussing their scoring prowess, the Chiefs are currently ranked 1st in the division and 4th out of all the teams in the league with an average of 29.6 points per contest.
The Chiefs are giving up 22.6 points per contest ranking them 3rd in the division and 14th in the NFL. When it comes to points given up, they have allowed 113 points in total. In terms of yards on the ground, they are allowing 156 yards per contest ranking them 30th among NFL teams and 4th in the division. For 2019, they have given up 779 yards rushing and 5 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre groups in the NFL. They are allowing 237 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Chiefs are currently ranked 8th in the conference. They have conceded 7 passing TDs for 2019.
Who will win tonight's Texans/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Texans +8.5
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of this Weeks NFL picks
Get all of this Weeks Guaranteed Expert NFL Picks