Saints vs Buccaneers Picks, Predictions, Week 11 Odds 11/17/2019
Game: New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date: Sunday, November 17, 2019
Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL
Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay +4.5
Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints travel to Raymond James Stadium on Sunday where they'll meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. New Orleans opens this contest as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 51. The Saints are 7-2-0 ATS and 4-5-0 when betting on the total. The Buccaneers are 7-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-6-0 against the spread.
In their last contest, the New Orleans Saints faced the Atlanta Falcons and were defeated 26-9. Running the show from under center for the Saints was Drew Brees who went 32/45 with 287 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He walked away with no picks. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing in the game. He tore off a long run of 8 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He racked up a total of 24 yards via 4 carries which meant he was running for 6.0 yards per carry. Michael Thomas was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 152 yards on 13 receptions. He earned an average of 11.7 yards per catch in the game. The New Orleans Saints ended up running the ball 11 times and earned a total of 52 yards which earned them an average of 4.7 yards per rush. In all, they totaled 63 plays which added up to 310 yards. For the contest, the Saints earned 18 1st downs and they had 12 penalties for 90 yards. In terms of defense, New Orleans gave up 20 catches on 35 throws for a total of 174 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.0%. In the running game, the Saints gave up 143 yards on 34 tries which gave them an average of 4.2 yards per run allowed. For the game, they conceded a total of 317 yards and earned 1 takeaway. Josh Schonwald has a NFL prediction for the game between the Jets and Redskins.
Saints Sit at 7-2 After Loss
The Saints head into this game 7-2 this season. This team is one of the more average teams in terms of scoring in the division and I wouldn't expect things to change too much in this game. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 11th among NFC teams and 17th in the league with 3,312 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Saints currently have a total of 14 passing TDs and 5 rushing touchdowns. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the league with an average of 23 points per contest, ranking them 16th in the league. As a unit, they have an average of 107 yards on the ground per contest which is 8th in the conference.
The Saints have one of the best defenses in the NFL, allowing 20.2 points per game putting them 5th in the conference. In regard to yards on the ground, New Orleans is giving up 90.8 yards per game ranking them 2nd in the division and 5th in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yards per carry which has them at 8th in the conference and 14th in the league overall. Overall, they have allowed 966 yards rushing through 9 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Saints have conceded 2,032 yards. Opponents are completing 60.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 5.9 yards per attempt. They have allowed 12 passing TDs and 7 rushing touchdowns.
The last time they took the field, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers went up against the Arizona Cardinals and notched a win by a score of 30-27. Peyton Barber paced the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 17 yards and he ran for 1 touchdown for the game. He ran for a total of 43 yards by way of 11 carries which had him averaging 3.9 yards per carry. Mike Evans was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 82 yards on 4 receptions. He had an average of 20.5 yards per catch for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Buccaneers was Jameis Winston who went 30/48 with 358 yards through the air and completed 1 TD. He tossed 2 interceptions in the game. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers rushed the ball a total of 26 times and racked up a total of 118 yards which earned them an average of 4.5 yards per run. For the contest, the Buccaneers earned a total of 26 first downs and they totaled 9 penalties for 94 yards. On the day, they finished with a total of 78 plays which added up to 457 yards. In terms of defense, Tampa Bay gave up 28 completions on 45 attempts for a total of 342 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.0%. On the ground, the Buccaneers gave up 75 yards on 18 tries which gave them an average of 4.2 yards per run allowed. On the day, they allowed 417 yards and forced 2 turnovers. Another matchup you may want to look into is the free NFL pick from Guy Bruhn on the Falcons vs Panthers contest.
Buccaneers Rise to 3-6 After Win
The Buccaneers head into this matchup 3-6. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Buccaneers have one of the average offenses in the league. In discussing their scoring prowess, the Buccaneers sit in 1st in the division and 3rd out of all the teams in the league averaging 28.9 points per contest. Tampa Bay hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 101 rushing yards per game, ranking them 19th in the NFL. As a unit, they have a total of 912 rushing yards through 9 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Buccaneers average 386 yards per game overall which has them at 7th in the league and 4th among NFC teams.
The Buccaneers are allowing 31.0 points per game which puts them at 4th in the division and 32nd in the league. In terms of points allowed, they have given up 279 total points. When it comes to rushing yards, they are allowing 78 yards per game ranking them 1st in the league and 1st in the division. For this season, they have conceded 700 rushing yards and 6 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road units in the league. They are allowing 299 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Buccaneers are ranked 16th in the conference. They have allowed 22 passing TDs for 2019.
Who will win tonight's Saints/Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Buccaneers +4.5
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