Saints vs Jaguars Picks, Tips, and Parlay
Gardner Minshew and the Jacksonville Jaguars play the New Orleans Saints at TIAA Bank Field on Sunday, October 13, 2019. New Orleans opens this matchup as 1.5-point dogs. The O/U opens at 45.5. The Saints are 4-1-0 ATS and 3-2-0 when betting on the total. The Jaguars are 3-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-3-0 against the spread.
In their last game, the New Orleans Saints went up against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and won 31-24. Running the show from under center for the Saints was Teddy Bridgewater who went 26/34 with 314 yards through the air and tossed 4 touchdowns. He tossed 1 interception in the game. Alvin Kamara paced the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 16 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for 62 yards by way of 16 carries which had him averaging 3.9 yards per tote. Michael Thomas was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 182 yards on 11 receptions. He averaged 16.5 yards per catch for the game. The New Orleans Saints ended up rushing 31 times and earned a total of 112 yards which earned them an average of 3.6 yards per rush. On the day, they finished with a total of 67 plays for 457 yards. In the game, the Saints racked up 25 first downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 40 yards. When discussing the defense, New Orleans allowed 15 completions on 27 attempts totaling 158 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.0%. In the game, they allowed a total of 252 yards but didn't force any takeaways. On the ground, the Saints allowed 94 yards on 22 runs allowing their opponent an average of 4.3 yards per carry allowed. Alan Matthews has a free NFL pick ATS for the contest between the Giants and Patriots.
Saints Improve Their Mark to 4-1 After Win
The Saints head into this game 4-1 for the 2019 season. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the league averaging 23 points per game, ranking them 14th in the NFL. As a team, they are averaging 104 rushing yards per game which is 3rd in the NFC. For total yardage, they rank 10th in the conference and 18th in the NFL with 1,742 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Saints currently have a total of 8 passing TDs and 2 rushing touchdowns. They are a team that has the capability to score points among NFC South teams and I wouldn't expect things to change too much in this game.
The Saints have one of the middle tier defenses in the league, giving up 23.2 points per game ranking them 8th among NFC teams. When it comes to passing yards, the Saints have allowed 1,275 yards. Teams are completing 64.3% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.9 yards per attempt. They have allowed 8 passing TDs and 7 rushing touchdowns. In regard to yards rushing, New Orleans is allowing 108.4 yards per game putting them 2nd among NFC South teams and 16th in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.5 yards per rush ranking them 11th in the NFC and 18th in the NFL overall. In total, they have conceded 522 rushing yards through 5 contests.
In their last game, the Jacksonville Jaguars went up against the Carolina Panthers and took the defeat by a score of 34-27. Leonard Fournette led the team in rushing for that contest. He tore off a long run of 48 yards and he ran for 1 TD in the game. He ran for 108 yards via 23 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.7 yards per tote. DJ Chark Jr. was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 164 yards on 8 catches. He averaged 20.5 yards per catch for that contest. Running the show from under center for the Jaguars was Gardner Minshew II who went 26/44 with 374 yards passing and added 2 touchdowns. He ended the game without an interception. See where the Jaguars are ranked in Doc's Week 6 NFL power rankings. The Jacksonville Jaguars ran the ball a total of 31 times and totaled 149 yards which gave them an average of 4.8 yards per attempt. In the game, the Jaguars had a total of 28 first downs and they had a total of 9 penalties for 84 yards. On the day, they ran 77 plays which added up to 507 yards. In terms of defense, Jacksonville allowed 17 catches on 31 tries totaling 160 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.0%. For the game, they allowed 445 yards but didn't force any takeaways. Against the run, the Jaguars allowed 285 yards on 27 attempts which means they allowed 10.6 yards per carry allowed.
Jaguars Drop to 2-3 After Loss
The Jaguars come into this matchup with a record of 2-3. Jacksonville has made teams respect their running game by averaging 138 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 8th among NFL teams. As a team, they have a total of 690 rushing yards through 5 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Jaguars average 393 yards per contest overall putting them 6th among NFL teams and 3rd in the conference. In discussing their scoring prowess, the Jaguars are currently ranked 3rd among AFC South teams and 17th out of all the teams in the league averaging 22.2 points per contest.
The Jaguars are allowing 23.6 points per contest ranking them 4th among AFC South teams and 18th among NFL teams. When it comes to points allowed, they have allowed 118 total points. In discussing yards rushing, they are allowing 137 yards per contest ranking them 25th in the NFL and 4th among AFC South teams. For this year, they have conceded a total of 683 yards on the ground and 6 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the middling units in the NFL. They are giving up 245 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Jaguars are currently ranked 11th in the conference. They have conceded 7 passing touchdowns for the 2019 season.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Jaguars -1.5 and over 45.5 total points
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