Jacksonville Jaguars vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 9/11/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, September 11, 2022

Location: FedExField in Landover, MD

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Commanders (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 44

The Washington Commanders (7-10 last year) will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-14 last season) at FedExField on Sunday. Washington opens this contest as 3-point favorites. The total is 44.

The Jacksonville Jaguars finished the season having a 3-14 record. In their last game of last year, the Jaguars played the Colts and went home with a win by a final score of 26-11. Ryquell Armstead led the offense in rushing for the Jaguars with 9 carries for 52 yards (5.8 yards per attempt). Marvin Jones averaged 12.6 yards per reception by totaling 88 yds on 7 catches. Trevor Lawrence connected on 23/32 with 223 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 111.8 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Against the rush, the Jaguars gave up 94 yds on 18 tries, which is an average of 5.2 yards per run allowed. Jacksonville conceded 17 completions on 29 tries for a total of 139 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.6%. On the day, they had 64 plays which gave them a total of 318 yds. The Jacksonville Jaguars ended up running the ball 31 times and accrued 101 yds, which earned them an average of 3.3 yards per carry.

The Jaguars earned 5,191 total yards over the course of last year. Jacksonville earned 178 1st downs as a team, and they committed 104 penalties for 856 yds. Jacksonville earned 12 touchdowns via the pass and 13 touchdowns on the ground. They turned the football over 29 different times (17 interceptions and 12 fumbles). As a team they averaged 103.2 yards on the ground, ranking them 22nd in the National Football League. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Jacksonville Jaguars had an average of 14.9 points per game.

The Jaguars were sitting in 28th in the league in terms of team defense, giving up 26.9 points per game. They allowed teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per attempt on the ground and 125.1 rushing yards per game for the prior year. During the season, they gave up 2,127 rushing yards through 17 contests. Regarding passing yardage, the Jaguars gave up 3,875 yards which put them in 17th in the league. During their 17 games, they gave up 227.9 yards per contest through the air in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 69.4%. They gave up 353.1 yards/game putting them 20th in the league. They allowed 24 throwing touchdowns in addition to 22 touchdowns on the ground.

Get all of our NFL Picks Against the Spread

The Commanders wrapped up their year holding a 7-10 mark. When they last stepped on the field last year, the Commanders got the victory with a final of 22-7 against the Giants. Antonio Gibson carried the rock 21 times for 146 yds, finishing the game with 7.0 yds per carry for Washington. Terry McLaurin was featured in the passing game for the Commanders, catching 4 balls for 93 yds (23.3 yards per catch). Taylor Heinicke finished the game with 120 yds on 9/18 through the air while his quarterback rating was 71.5. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.67 yards. Washington conceded 25 run attempts for 94 yds (3.8 yds per rush). The Commanders secondary gave up a completion rate of 48.4%, relinquishing 83 yards on 15 for 31 through the air. The Commanders finished the contest with 325 yards while they ran 58 plays (5.6 yds per play). Washington ended up running for 6.1 yds per carry, finishing with 226 yards on 37 attempts.

The Washington Commanders averaged 323.6 yards per game ranking them 21st in the NFL. They averaged 121.2 run yards per game and rushed for 2,061 yards for the year. The Washington offense compiled 743 yards of penalties on 82 infractions, which was good for 28th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They threw 15 interceptions while losing 9 fumbles and they recorded 181 first downs. Last season, the Commanders earned 3,441 passing yards along with averaging 202.4 passing yards per contest, which had them ranked 21st in the league. Regarding how much they scored, the Commanders ranked 24th in the NFL with 19.7 PPG.

Washington yielded a total of 1,775 yards via the ground game (104.4 yards per contest) as well as 14 touchdowns by way of the ground game throughout last year. They surrendered 34 touchdowns via the pass as well as 254.9 yards per outing, which had them in 29th out of all teams. Their defense totaled 19 takeaways (8 fumbles and 11 picks) in the previous season. Last season, they surrendered 434 points in total. The Commanders defense took the field for 1,065 plays, which was good for 15th in the league. The Commanders surrendered 25.5 PPG, which had them in 25th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Commanders -3

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here