New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 1/15/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Wild Card

Game: New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Saturday, January 15, 2022

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The New England Patriots (10-7) are traveling to Highmark Stadium on Saturday where they will play the Buffalo Bills (11-6). Buffalo opens this game as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 43.5.

The New England Patriots come into this game with a record of 10-7 for this season. In their last contest, the Patriots went up against the Dolphins and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 33-24. Mac Jones went 20/30 with 261 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 91.1 and ended the game with 1 interception. Hunter Henry had an average of 17.2 yds per catch by accumulating 86 yards on 5 receptions. Brandon Bolden was the leader on the ground for the Patriots with 7 attempts for 46 yds (6.6 yds per attempt). When all was said and done, they ran 59 plays which totaled 379 yds. The New England Patriots ran the ball 27 different times and accumulated 134 yards, which had them averaging 5.0 yards per carry. Against the rush, the Patriots conceded 195 yards on 43 attempts, which is an average of 4.5 yards per run surrendered. New England gave up 15 pass completions on 22 attempts for 103 yds, and a completion rate of 68.2%.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the New England Patriots are averaging 27.2 PPG. As a team they're averaging 126.5 yards on the ground ranking them 8th in the NFL. The Patriots have earned 6,008 total yards for the season. New England has amassed 187 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 95 penalties for 854 yards. They have surrendered the ball 23 different times (13 interceptions and 10 fumbles lost). With reference to notching touchdowns, New England has amassed 24 touchdowns via the pass and 24 rushing touchdowns.

Regarding yards through the air, the Patriots have given up 3,181 yards which ranks them 2nd in the NFL. They have allowed 187.1 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 59.3%. During the season, they have allowed 310.8 yards/contest putting them at 4th in the league. They have yielded 21 touchdowns by air in addition to 9 touchdowns running the ball. They are giving up an average of 4.5 yards per running attempt and 123.7 rushing yards per game for the year. In total, they have given up 2,103 yards via the ground game in 17 outings. The Patriots rank 2nd in the NFL in relation to the opposition scoring, giving up 17.8 points per game.

Get all of our NFL Expert Picks

The Bills come into this game with a record of 11-6 for this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Bills went home victorious with a score of 27-10 against the Jets. Josh Allen (2 TDs) finished the contest with 239 yards on 24/45 passing while his quarterback rating was 83.5. He didn't toss any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 5.31 yards. Stefon Diggs was featured in the passing game for the Bills, grabbing 9 footballs for 81 yds (9.0 yards per catch). Devin Singletary carried the rock 19 times for 88 yards, ending the contest with 4.6 yards per attempt for Buffalo. The Bills finished the game with a total of 424 yds on 79 plays (5.4 yards per play). Buffalo ran the ball for 5.2 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 170 yds on 33 carries. Buffalo conceded 17 run attempts for 48 yds (2.8 yards per rush). The Bills secondary allowed a completion rate of 35.0%, surrendering 5 yards on 7 out of 20 passing.

The Buffalo Bills average 381.9 yards per outing which has them sitting 5th out of all teams in the league. They hold an average of 129.9 yards via the ground game and have rushed for 2,209 yards for the year. The Buffalo offense has racked up 980 yards of penalties on 113 infractions, which is good for 6th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 16 picks while losing 6 fumbles and they have tallied 236 1st downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Bills have a total of 4,284 yards via the pass as well as an average of 252.0 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 9th out of all NFL teams. Concerning putting points on the board, the Bills are sitting 3rd in football averaging 28.4 points per game.

Buffalo has surrendered a total of 1,866 yards via the ground game (109.8 yards per game) and 19 touchdowns on the ground this season. They have conceded 12 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 163.0 yards/outing, ranking them 1st in the NFL. They have compiled 30 takeaways (11 fumbles and 19 interceptions) on the season. Overall, they have given up 289 total points. The Bills defense has participated in 1,014 plays, which has them ranked 2nd in the league. The Bills are allowing 17.0 points per contest, which puts them in 1st in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bills -4.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here