Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, 9/14/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 2

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings

Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025

Location: U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN

TV: NBC

Odds-Point Spread: Vikings (-4.5)

Total-Over-Under: 45

The Minnesota Vikings (1-0) will try to defeat the Atlanta Falcons (0-1) at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday. Atlanta opens this game as 4.5-point dogs. The total comes in at 45.

The Atlanta Falcons come into this game holding a record of 0-1 over the course of this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Falcons faced off with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and went home with a loss by a final score of 23-20. Michael Penix finished 27-42 with 298 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 93.2 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. Drake London left with an average of 6.9 yds per catch by totaling 55 yds on 8 catches. Bijan Robinson was the rushing leader for the Falcons with 12 attempts for 24 yards (2.0 yds per attempt). At the end of the game, they ran 70 plays which totaled 358 yards. The Atlanta Falcons ran the rock 28 times and accumulated 69 yards, earning them an average of 2.5 yds per carry. In the running game, the Falcons conceded 101 yds on 23 tries, which averages out to 4.4 yards per rush surrendered. Atlanta conceded 17 pass completions on 32 tries for 159 yds, and a completion percentage of 53.1%.

The Falcons have tallied 358 yards over the course of the season. Atlanta has tallied 16 1st downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 8 infractions for 55 total yards. When talking about notching touchdowns, Atlanta has notched 1 passing touchdown and 1 rushing touchdown. They haven't turned the ball over yet. As a unit, they hold an average of 69.0 rushing yds which ranks them 26th in the NFL. If you're looking at putting points on the board, the NFC South members are averaging 20.0 PPG.

When examining yards through the air, the Falcons have yielded 159 yards, which has them ranking 11th in the league. They are granting a completion% of 53.1%. They have surrendered 3 touchdowns through the air. On the whole, they are relinquishing 260.0 yds per outing, which ranks them 9th in the NFL. They are allowing an average of 4.4 yds per running attempt and 101.0 rushing yds per outing over the course of this year. The Falcons are 21st in the NFL when talking about the opposition scoring, surrendering 23.0 points per game.

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The Vikings come into this game with a record of 1-0 for this campaign. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Vikings walked away with a victory by a final of 27-24 when they faced the Chicago Bears. Jordan Mason ran the ball 15 times for 68 yds, finishing the game with 4.5 yds per carry for Minnesota. Justin Jefferson was the best receiver for the Vikings, hauling in 4 footballs for 44 yds (11.0 yds per catch). J.J. McCarthy (2 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 143 yds on 13-20 passing while his QB rating was 98.5. He had 1 interception and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.2 yds. Minnesota allowed 26 rushing attempts for 119 yds (4.6 yds per carry). The Vikings pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 60.0%, relinquishing 198 yds on 21 out of 35 passing. The Vikings finished with 254 yards on 46 plays (5.5 yds per play). Minnesota ran the football for 4.6 yds per carry, totaling 120 yards on 26 attempts.

The Minnesota Vikings maintain an average of 254.0 yards per game, putting them 26th in the NFL. They have toted the ball for 120 total yards. The Minnesota offense has surrendered 50 yards by way of 8 penalties, putting them 13th in the NFL when talking about hurting your team. On the campaign, the Vikings sit at 134 pass yards which ranks 28th in football. When examining the points being put on the board, the Vikings currently sit 6th in the league, with an average of 27.0 points per game.

The Vikings are conceding 24.0 points per game, putting them 22nd in pro football. They have surrendered 1 touchdown through the air in addition to 198.0 pass yards per game, ranking them 17th in pro football. Minnesota has surrendered a total of 119 rushing yards. The Vikings defense has been on the field for 63 plays from scrimmage, which ranks 21st in professional football. The D has accumulated 1 turnover.

Who will win tonight's Falcons-Vikings NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Vikings -4.5

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