Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears Prediction, 9/21/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears

Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025

Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Bears (+1)

Total-Over-Under: 50

The Dallas Cowboys (1-1) are headed to Soldier Field on Sunday where they will compete against the Chicago Bears (0-2). Chicago is 1-point underdogs. The total comes in at 50.

The Dallas Cowboys step on the gridiron 1-1 this year. In their last contest, the Cowboys went up against the New York Giants and walked away with a win by a score of 40-37. Javonte Williams led the offense in rushing for the Cowboys with 18 totes for 97 yds (5.4 yds per carry). CeeDee Lamb left with an average of 12.4 yards per catch by accounting for 112 yards on 9 receptions. Dak Prescott finished 38-52 with 361 yards through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 96.7 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Against the run, the Cowboys gave up 84 yards on 21 attempts, which is an average of 4.0 yds per rush allowed. Dallas surrendered 30 completions on 41 tries for 422 yards, and a completion percentage of 73.2%. Overall, they tallied 80 plays for 478 yards. The Dallas Cowboys ended up running the ball 28 different times and recorded 135 yards, which had them averaging 4.8 yards per carry.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the NFC representatives are sitting at 30.0 points per outing. Offensively, they're averaging 127.0 rushing yards which is 11th in professional football. The Cowboys have recorded 785 yards over the course of this year. Dallas has racked up 27 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 16 infractions for 148 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 2 times (1 interception and 1 fumble). When analyzing getting the ball into the endzone, Dallas has accrued 2 touchdowns through the air and 4 touchdowns via the ground.

The Cowboys currently sit 28th in the NFL if you analyze opponents scoring, relinquishing 30.5 points per contest. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yds per attempt on the ground and 121.0 rushing yds per game so far this season. Concerning yards via the pass, the Cowboys have allowed 566 yds, putting them 30th in pro football. They have granted 283.0 yds per outing through the air, and are surrendering a completion rate of 76.6%. Overall, they are conceding 404.0 total yards per outing, which has them ranked 30th in the NFL. They have allowed 3 touchdowns via the pass, and 4 touchdowns via the ground game. In total, they have allowed 242 running yards through 2 contests for the season.

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The Bears head into this matchup 0-2 so far this season. When they last took the field, the Bears took a loss by a score of 52-21 when they faced the Detroit Lions. Caleb Williams (2 TDs) walked away from the game with 207 yds on 19-30 passing while his QB rating was 91.9. He had 1 pick and his Y-A was 6.9 yards. D'Andre Swift carried the rock 12 times for 63 yds, finishing the game with 5.3 yards per attempt for Chicago. Rome Odunze was the best receiver for the Bears, hauling in 7 balls for 128 yards (18.3 yds per catch). Chicago ran the ball for 5.0 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 134 yards on 27 attempts. The Bears finished the contest with a total of 339 yds while they ran 60 plays (5.7 yds per play). The Bears pass defense gave up a completion rate of 82.1%, relinquishing 334 yds on 23 out of 28 through the air. Chicago gave up 30 running attempts for 177 yds (5.9 yds per rush).

When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Bears rank 15th in the NFL, with 22.5 points per outing. In this campaign, the Bears have racked up 403 yards via the pass and have an average of 201.5 yards via the pass per game, ranking them 19th in football. They hold an average of 126.5 rushing yds per outing, and have run for 253 yds. The Chicago Bears average 328.0 yards per game, which is good for 15th in football. The Chicago offense has granted 177 yds by way of 20 penalties, which is good for 4th in professional football when analyzing helping out the other team. They have recorded 21 first downs.

They have allowed 7 touchdowns through the air plus 234.0 yards via the pass per outing, putting them 22nd in pro football. Chicago has allowed a total of 297 rushing yds (148.5 yards per contest), along with 3 touchdowns via the rush over the course of this year. Their defense has compiled 1 turnover. Overall, they have granted 79 points in total. The Bears defense has taken the field for 107 plays from scrimmage, ranking them 5th in football. The Bears are granting 39.5 PPG, which is good for 32nd in football.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys-Bears NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cowboys -1

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