Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets Prediction, 10/5/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets

Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Jets (+2.5)

Total-Over-Under: 47

The Dallas Cowboys (1-2-1) are headed to MetLife Stadium on Sunday where they will compete against the New York Jets (0-4). New York is 2.5-point underdogs. The betting total is set at 47.

The Dallas Cowboys come into this game holding a record of 1-2-1 for the year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Cowboys faced the Green Bay Packers and left there with a tie by a score of 40-40. Javonte Williams was the best rusher for the Cowboys with 20 totes for 85 yards (4.3 yds per carry). George Pickens averaged 16.8 yards per catch by accumulating 134 yards on 8 catches. Dak Prescott finished 31-40 with 319 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 124.9 and finished the game without throwing a pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Cowboys gave up 164 yards on 35 tries, which averages out to 4.7 yards per run allowed. Dallas gave up 31 completions on 43 tries for a total of 325 yards, and a completion rate of 72.1%. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 66 plays for 436 yds. The Dallas Cowboys ran the football 26 different times and tallied 117 yards, earning them an average of 4.5 yds per attempt.

The Cowboys have notched 1,617 total yards for the year. Dallas has amassed 58 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 31 infractions for 268 yards. When examining getting in the endzone, Dallas has tallied 6 passing TD's and 6 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the ball over 6 times (4 picks and 2 fumbles). Offensively, they are sitting at 123.0 rushing yds which has them ranked 12th in the NFL. In terms of putting points on the board, the NFC East representatives have an average of 28.5 points per outing.

When examining yards through the air, the Cowboys have granted 1,189 total yards, which is good for 32nd in professional football. They have relinquished 297.3 total yards per game via the pass, and are allowing a completion percentage of 73.3%. In total, they have surrendered 493 yards on the ground through 4 outings for the year. They have granted 10 touchdowns via the pass, in addition to 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game. In total, they are allowing 420.5 total yards per game, putting them 32nd in the NFL. The opposition is running for an average of 4.0 yards per rush and 123.3 rushing yds per game for the year. The Cowboys rank 31st in football with reference to their defensive prowess, granting 33.0 PPG.

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The Jets come into this game with a record of 0-4 so far this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Jets took a loss by a score of 27-21 against the Miami Dolphins. Justin Fields (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 226 yards on 20-27 through the air while his quarterback rate was 111. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his avg yards per attempt was 8.4 yds. Breece Hall ran the football 14 times for 81 yds, ending the game with 5.8 yds per carry for New York. Garrett Wilson was the top contributor in the passing game for the Jets, snagging 6 passes for 82 yds (13.7 yards per catch). New York rushed for 7.0 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 197 yards on 28 attempts. The Jets finished the game with a total of 404 yds while running 55 plays (7.3 yds per play). The Jets pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 68.0%, surrendering 177 yards on 17 for 25 through the air. New York conceded 31 run attempts for 123 yds (4.0 yards per carry).

The New York Jets average 304.8 total yards per game, which is good for 21st in professional football. They maintain an average of 144.5 rushing yds per game, and have toted the ball for 578 total yards. They have recorded 1 interception while surrendering 6 fumbles lost, and have recorded 39 first downs as a team. The New York offense has relinquished 291 total yards by way of 32 violations, putting them 10th in the league when you look at helping out the other team. In this season, the Jets have earned 641 passing yds and hold an average of 160.3 passing yds per outing, which has them ranked 29th in pro football. If you examine the points being put on the board, the Jets currently sit 19th in the NFL, maintaining an average of 22.5 points per outing.

They have allowed 7 touchdowns via the pass plus 199.8 yards through the air per game, which is 14th in football. New York has relinquished a total of 522 rushing yds (130.5 total yards per game), and 4 touchdowns via the ground game on the season. The D has collected 0 turnovers on the campaign. In total, they have relinquished 120 points in total. The Jets defense has taken the field for 245 plays from scrimmage, which is 20th in football. The Jets are relinquishing 30.0 points per contest, which has them ranked 28th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys-Jets NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Cowboys -2.5

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