Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, 9/4/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025

Location: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Peacock

Odds-Point Spread: Eagles (-7.5)

Total-Over-Under: 47.5

The Philadelphia Eagles (14-3 last year) are hosting the Dallas Cowboys (7-10 last season) at Lincoln Financial Field on Thursday. Dallas opens this game as 7.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 47.5.

The Dallas Cowboys finished the year having earned a 7-10 record. In their last contest, the Cowboys played the Washington Commanders and went home with a loss by a final score of 23-19. Trey Lance went 20-34 with 244 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 81 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Jalen Tolbert left with an average of 24.5 yds per catch by earning 98 yds on 4 catches. Rico Dowdle led the offense in rushing for the Cowboys with 22 carries for 72 yards (3.3 yds per attempt). Once the final whistle blew, they ran 73 plays for 378 yards. The Dallas Cowboys ran the rock 39 different times and recorded 150 yards, which came out to an average of 3.8 yards per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Cowboys gave up 113 yards on 18 attempts, which is an average of 6.3 yds per run allowed. Dallas allowed 21 completions on 31 attempts for 156 yds, and a completion rate of 67.7%.

The Cowboys totaled 5,567 total yards for the prior season. Dallas compiled 192 1st downs, and they were called for 128 infractions for 922 yards. Dallas totaled 23 passing TD's and 6 TD's via the ground game. They surrendered the ball 28 times (14 picks and 14 lost fumbles). Collectively, they maintained an average of 100.3 running yards, which had them ranking 27th in professional football. Regarding getting in the endzone, the squad repping Dallas averaged 20.6 PPG.

The Cowboys sat 31st in football concerning the other team scoring points, conceding 27.5 points per game. They allowed teams to run for an average of 4.8 yards per rushing attempt and 137.1 rushing yds per game over the course of last season. On the whole, they surrendered 2,331 yards via the running game in 17 matchups in the previous season. Concerning passing yds, the Cowboys conceded 3,708 yards which ranked them at 17th in football. They surrendered 218.1 yds per game through the air, and surrendered a completion% 68.2%. In total, they conceded 355.2 per contest, which was 28th in professional football. They surrendered 28 TD's through the air, as well as 25 to runners.

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The Eagles finished the season having earned a 14-3 record. When they last took the field, the Eagles walked away with a victory by a final of 40-22 when they faced the Kansas City Chiefs. Jalen Hurts (2 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 221 yards on 17-22 through the air while his quarterback rating was 119.7. He tossed 1 pick and his average yds per pass attempt was 10.0 yards. DeVonta Smith was one of the featured targets for the Eagles, hauling in 4 passes for 69 yards (17.3 yards per catch). Jalen Hurts ran the football 11 times for 72 yds, finishing the game with 6.5 yards per carry for Philadelphia. The Eagles finished the contest with 345 yards while running 68 plays (5.1 yds per play). Philadelphia rushed the ball for 3.0 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 135 yards on 45 carries. Philadelphia relinquished 11 rushing attempts for 49 yds (4.5 yds per rush). The Eagles pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 65.6%, surrendering 226 yds on 21 for 32 through the air.

In terms of how much they score, the Eagles were 7th in professional football, scoring 27.2 points per game. In the previous season, the Eagles threw for a total of 3,194 passing yds and were averaging 187.9 passing yds per game, which ranked them at 29th in football. They averaged 179.3 rush yards per game, and toted the ball for 3,048 yds. The Philadelphia Eagles had an average of 367.2 yds per contest, which had them sitting 8th in pro football. The Philadelphia offense conceded 793 yards on 103 penalties, which had them ranking 22nd in the NFL regarding helping out the opposition.

The Eagles surrendered 17.8 PPG, putting them 2nd in the NFL. They surrendered 22 touchdowns through the air in addition to 174.2 yards via the pass per game, ranking them 1st in professional football. Philadelphia conceded a total of 1,771 running yards (104.2 yards per contest), plus 9 touchdowns by way of the ground game in the previous season. The Eagles defense participated in 999 plays from scrimmage, which was 1st in professional football. Their defense had a total of 26 takeaways (13 fumbles forced and 13 interceptions) over the course of last season.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys-Eagles NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cowboys +7.5

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