Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, 9/28/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys

Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025

Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX

TV: NBC

Odds-Point Spread: Cowboys (+7)

Total-Over-Under: 47.5

The Dallas Cowboys (1-2) will go up against the Green Bay Packers (2-1) at AT&T Stadium on Sunday. Dallas opens this contest as 7-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 47.5.

The Green Bay Packers head into this matchup 2-1 over the course of this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Packers played against the Cleveland Browns and took a loss by a score of 13-10. Jordan Love went 18-25 with 183 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 89.2 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. Josh Jacobs was the rushing leader for the Packers with 16 totes for 30 yards (1.9 yards per attempt). Matthew Golden averaged 13.0 yds per reception by accounting for 52 yds on 4 receptions. The Green Bay Packers ran the ball 31 times and had 81 yards, which had them averaging 2.6 yds per carry. When all was said and done, they ran 56 plays which totaled 230 yards. Green Bay surrendered 21 pass completions on 36 attempts for a total of 125 yds, and a completion rate of 58.3%. On the ground, the Packers conceded 96 yards on 19 attempts, which averages out to 5.1 yards per run allowed.

Regarding scoring, the Green Bay Packers are sitting at 21.3 PPG. As a unit, they're holding an average of 98.0 rushing yds putting them 20th in the NFL. The Packers have collected 900 total yards over the course of this season. Green Bay has accumulated 30 1st downs, and they have been called for 28 penalties for 192 yards. They have turned the ball over 1 time. If you're looking at getting the ball in the endzone, Green Bay has compiled 5 passing TD's and 2 ground TD's.

The Packers are ranked 1st in the NFL concerning their defensive abilities, yielding 14.7 PPG. The opposition is running for 3.2 yds per run and 64.3 rushing yds per game so far this year. If you're looking at yards via the pass, the Packers have conceded 504 yards, which is 7th in the league. They have surrendered 168.0 total yards per game through the air, and are allowing a completion% of 65.0%. All in all, they are yielding 232.3 yards per outing, which is good for 3rd in professional football. They have given up 3 touchdowns by way of the pass, in addition to 1 touchdown by way of the ground game. In total, they have allowed 193 running yards through 3 outings for the season.

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The Cowboys head into this matchup 1-2 on the year. In their last game, the Cowboys took a loss by a score of 31-14 when they faced the Chicago Bears. Dak Prescott (1 touchdown) ended the game with 251 yds on 31-40 through the air while his QB rating was 80.3. He tossed 2 interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 6.3 yds. Javonte Williams carried the rock 10 times for 76 yds, finishing the game with 7.6 yds per attempt for Dallas. Jake Ferguson was one of the featured targets for the Cowboys, catching 13 passes for 82 yards (6.3 yards per catch). Dallas ran the ball for 6.1 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 121 yds on 20 carries. The Cowboys finished the game with a total of 396 yds while running 65 plays (6.1 yards per play). The Cowboys pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 67.9%, relinquishing 298 yds on 19 out of 28 through the air. Dallas relinquished 29 running attempts for 87 yards (3.0 yds per rush).

If you're looking at their ability to score points, the Cowboys are ranking 10th in the league, holding an average of 24.7 PPG. This year, the Cowboys sit at 806 passing yds and are sitting at 268.7 passing yds per game, which ranks them 3rd in football. They have an average of 125.0 rush yards per outing, and have toted the ball for 375 yards. The Dallas Cowboys average 393.7 yards per contest, which is 4th in the league. The Dallas offense has surrendered 173 total yards on 20 violations, which has them sitting 17th in pro football when examining hurting your team. They have tossed 4 picks while yielding 2 lost fumbles, and have been able to obtain 41 first downs as a team.

They have allowed 7 touchdowns through the air and 288.0 yards via the pass per contest, which ranks them at 32nd in football. Dallas has surrendered a total of 329 rush yards (109.7 total yards per contest), as well as 4 touchdowns on the ground for this campaign. The defense has amassed 1 turnover on the year. Overall, they have surrendered 92 total points. The Cowboys defense has been on the field for 184 plays from the line of scrimmage, which is good for 20th in professional football. The Cowboys are giving up 30.7 PPG, which is 27th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Packers-Cowboys NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Cowboys +7

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