Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Rams Prediction, 9/7/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Rams

Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025

Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Rams (-3)

Total-Over-Under: 44

The Houston Texans (10-7 last season) are headed to SoFi Stadium on Sunday where they will compete against the Los Angeles Rams (10-7 last year). Houston opens this contest as 3-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 44.

The Houston Texans wrapped up their year having a 10-7 record. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Texans faced off with the Kansas City Chiefs and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 23-14. Joe Mixon led the offense in rushing for the Texans with 18 carries for 88 yards (4.9 yards per carry). Nico Collins left with an average of 16.2 yards per catch by accumulating 81 yds on 5 receptions. C.J. Stroud finished 19-28 with 245 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 95.1 and ended the game with no interceptions. When it came to stopping the run, the Texans conceded 50 yds on 22 tries, which is an average of 2.3 yards per rush surrendered. Houston relinquished 16 completions on 25 tries for 162 yds, and a completion percentage of 64.0%. For the game, they ran 57 plays which gave them a total of 336 yds. The Houston Texans ended up rushing 29 different times and totaled 149 yds, which earned them an average of 5.1 yards per carry.

Regarding putting points on the board, the group who plays in Houston were sitting at 21.9 points per game. As a team, they held an average of 112.3 rush yards, which had them sitting 15th in the NFL. The Texans notched 5,435 yds last year. Houston collected 197 first downs as an offense, and they were flagged for 119 infractions for 981 total yards. They gave the ball away 19 times (12 INTs and 7 fumbles lost). Houston recorded 20 passing TD's and 15 rushing touchdowns.

The Texans were sitting 14th in football concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 21.9 PPG. They allowed an average of 4.3 yds per running attempt and 114.0 rushing yds per outing last year. Altogether, they relinquished 1,938 yards via the running game in 17 matchups in the previous season. Concerning pass yds, the Texans relinquished 3,417 yds putting them 6th in football. They surrendered 201.0 yards per game by way of the pass, and conceded a completion% 58.8%. On the whole, they surrendered 315.0 per game, which had them ranked 6th in the NFL. They allowed 31 passing TD's, along with 11 via the rush.

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The Rams finished the season holding a 10-7 record. In their last game, the Rams took a loss by a final score of 28-22 against the Philadelphia Eagles. Matthew Stafford (2 touchdowns) ended the contest with 324 yds on 26-44 through the air while his QB rate was 97.2. He didn't toss any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 7.4 yds. Puka Nacua was one of the featured targets for the Rams, hauling in 6 footballs for 97 yds (16.2 yards per catch). Kyren Williams carried the rock 19 times for 106 yds, ending the game with 5.6 yards per attempt for Los Angeles. The Rams finished the game with 402 yds while running 65 plays (6.2 yds per play). Los Angeles ran for 5.3 yards per attempt, totaling 111 yards on 21 carries. Los Angeles gave up 34 attempts on the ground for 285 yds (8.4 yards per carry). The Rams pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 75.0%, surrendering 65 yards on 15 for 20 through the air.

Concerning the points being put on the board, the Rams were sitting 20th in professional football, with 21.6 points per outing. Over the course of the prior season, the Rams threw for 3,868 pass yards and were sitting at 227.5 pass yards per contest, which had them sitting 10th in the NFL. They were sitting at 103.8 rushing yds per contest, and ran for 1,765 total yards. The Los Angeles Rams held an average of 331.4 yds per game, which had them ranked 15th in the NFL. The Los Angeles offense allowed 798 total yards on 91 infractions, which had them sitting 32nd in pro football if you examine hurting your team.

They relinquished 29 touchdowns via the pass along with 223.1 pass yds per game, putting them 20th in football. Los Angeles surrendered a total of 2,210 rushing yds (130.0 yds per game), along with 13 touchdowns via the ground game in the previous season. The D amassed 20 takeaways (7 forced fumbles and 13 interceptions) last year. The Rams defense took the field for 1,057 plays from the line of scrimmage, which had them sitting 19th in the NFL. The Rams surrendered 22.7 points per contest, which had them ranked 17th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Texans-Rams NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rams -3

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