Patrick Mahomes Best Prop Bets Today vs Jacksonville Jaguars 10/6/2025
Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Pass Yards Prop: 253 - Over (-120) Under (-110)
Completions Prop: 23 - Over (-125) Under (-105)
Pass Attempts Prop: 34 - Over (+105) Under (-135)
The Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes are featured on ABC on Monday, October 6, 2025 where they will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars. Player prop bets open at 23 completions, 34 pass attempts, and 253 passing yards for Mahomes.
Patrick Mahomes Season Stats
As well as collecting 142 passing attempts, he averages 61.3% with reference to getting a completion. Patrick Mahomes averages 21.8 passing completions per outing and has tallied 7 passing TD's this year. Patrick Mahomes has been mid-tier when you look at ability to use his feet, with an average of 5.5 rushing attempts and 1.8 passing TD's per outing. When you look at getting yards through the air, he has tallied 939 passing yds. Patrick Mahomes has accumulated 130 yards in the run game so far this season and averages 234.8 yards through the air per game. Mahomes has been mid-tier if you examine touchdown passes, holding a ranking of 23rd in pro football with a 4.9% touchdown percentage. Having a rank of 7th in football, Patrick has an average of 35.5 attempted passes per outing.

Patrick Mahomes Last 5 Games
Mahomes averages 21.6 passing completions per outing if you examine being accurate with the ball and has earned 174 pass attempts. Patrick has tallied 71 1st downs via the pass in his last 5 matchups. Patrick Mahomes has an average of 239.2 yards through the air per outing. He has notched 10 touchdowns through the air and has an average of 0.6 INTs per game. In his last 5 matchups, Patrick is throwing an INT on 1.7% of his throws while holding an average of 14.3 passing 1st downs per contest.
Opponent | Pass Yards | Completions | Pass Attempts |
---|---|---|---|
BAL | 270 | 25 | 37 |
NYG | 224 | 22 | 37 |
PHI | 187 | 16 | 29 |
LAC | 258 | 24 | 39 |
PHI | 257 | 21 | 32 |
Patrick Mahomes Last 10 Games
Patrick Mahomes has been pretty good concerning throwing completions, holding an average of 63.7%. If you examine capability to throw touchdowns, Patrick has been mid-tier, maintaining an average of 1.8 touchdowns through the air and 235.7 yards through the air per game. Patrick Mahomes has an average of 21.8 pass completions per game. Patrick has earned 18 touchdowns through the air if you examine capability to score through the air and collected 140 1st downs via the pass. Mahomes has tallied 218 passing completions. Concerning ability to complete passes, Patrick Mahomes has been outstanding, throwing a pick on 0.9% of his throws while earning an average of 5.6% for sack percentage.
Patrick Mahomes Career Stats
Mahomes has compiled 4,313 pass attempts and amassed 75 interceptions. When it comes to throwing completions, Patrick Mahomes is getting a completion on 66.4% of his attempted passes while having earned an average of 5.8% on touchdown throws. When it comes to getting yards through the air, Patrick Mahomes has been solid, holding an average of 287.0 pass yards per contest. Patrick is averaging 1.7% when talking about getting picked off. The quarterback has tallied 16 running touchdowns if you examine ability to run the football.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense
The Chiefs are around league average concerning converting passes into touchdowns, with a ranking of 16th in the league with a 4.9% touchdown percentage. The group who competes in GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium average 35.5 attempted passes (8th in professional football) and 332.3 total team yards per outing. The team who plays in Kansas City are sitting at 221.8 yards through the air per game (12th in the NFL). If you examine offense as a whole, the Chiefs are doing mid-tier, totaling 1,329 total team yards. The Chiefs have an average of 110.5 rush yds per outing, are completing 61.3% of their pass attempts, and have tallied 87 passing completions. Having a rank of 31st in football, the Kansas City Chiefs hold an average of 0.7% with reference to INT%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense
The group who play their home contests in EverBank Stadium are 2nd in professional football when talking about INT percentage relinquished with 5.8%. The Jacksonville Jaguars are giving up 1.8 passing TD's per contest. On top of granting 82.8 rushing yds per game, the Jacksonville Jaguars have conceded 7 passing touchdowns. In terms of defending TD's on the ground, the group who play their home contests in EverBank Stadium are doing super, conceding 0.3 TD's on the ground and 21.3 rush attempts per outing. Concerning prohibiting yards through the air, the AFC South squad surrender 233.5 per game and have granted 331 rushing yards. The Jaguars are allowing 59.6% with reference to defending against completion percentage, which has them ranking 27th in football.
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take the Over Pass Attempts (+105)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of this Weeks Free NFL picks
Get all of this Weeks Expert NFL Picks