Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets Prediction, 9/7/2025 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Jets (+3)

Total-Over-Under: 38

The Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7 last season) are traveling to MetLife Stadium on Sunday where they will try to defeat the New York Jets (5-12 last year). New York opens this matchup as 3-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under is set at 38.

The Pittsburgh Steelers culminated the year having accumulated a 10-7 mark. In their last game, the Steelers played against the Baltimore Ravens and ended up losing by a score of 28-14. Russell Wilson finished 20-29 with 270 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 121.3 and finished the game with no picks. Najee Harris led the offense in rushing for the Steelers with 6 attempts for 17 yds (2.8 yards per carry). George Pickens had an average of 17.4 yds per reception by earning 87 yds on 5 catches. The Pittsburgh Steelers ended up rushing 11 different times and totaled 29 yds, which had them averaging 2.6 yards per tote. In all, they ran 41 plays which totaled 280 yds. Pittsburgh surrendered 16 completions on 21 tries for 165 yds, and a completion rate of 76.2%. In the running game, the Steelers gave up 299 yards on 50 tries, which averages out to 6.0 yards per run surrendered.

If you examine scoring touchdowns, the Pittsburgh Steelers had an average of 22.4 points per contest. As a team, they held an averaged of 127.4 rushing yds, ranking them 11th in football. The Steelers collected 5,430 total yards last season. Pittsburgh collected 158 1st downs as a team, and they were called for 102 infractions for 823 total yards. They surrendered the football 17 times (6 picks and 11 fumbles). Pittsburgh collected 21 touchdowns through the air and 14 touchdowns via the run.

The Steelers were 8th in pro football if you examine their defensive abilities, conceding 20.4 points per contest. They allowed 4.1 yards per tote and 98.7 rush yards per outing over the course of last season. Overall, they allowed 1,678 yards via the running game in 17 games over the course of last season. Concerning pass yds, the Steelers relinquished 3,876 yds putting them 25th in football. They surrendered 228.0 yds per game via the pass, and granted a completion% 65.6%. Overall, they allowed 326.7 per outing, which was 12th in professional football. They relinquished 23 TD's through the air, as well as 14 via the rush.

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The Jets concluded the year having a 5-12 record. In their last game, the Jets went home victorious with a score of 32-20 when they faced the Miami Dolphins. Aaron Rodgers (4 TDs) ended the contest with 274 yards on 23-36 passing while his QB rating was 112.5. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.6 yds. Breece Hall ran the ball 12 times for 57 yds, finishing the game with 4.8 yards per attempt for New York. Davante Adams was one of the featured targets for the Jets, bringing in 6 balls for 88 yds (14.7 yds per catch). New York ran the football for 5.4 yards per tote, totaling 118 yds on 22 carries. The Jets ended up finishing with 375 yds while running 59 plays (6.4 yards per play). The Jets secondary allowed a completion percentage of 61.0%, surrendering 199 yards on 25 out of 41 passing. New York surrendered 23 run attempts for 135 yds (5.9 yds per rush).

If you examine their scoring prowess, the Jets were 25th in professional football, with an average of 19.9 points per outing. For the previous season, the Jets had a previous total of 3,714 pass yards and averaged 218.5 pass yards per outing, which had them ranking 16th in football. They were sitting at 91.8 rushing yds per contest, and ran for 1,561 total yards. The New York Jets were sitting at 310.3 total yards per contest, which ranked them 24th in professional football. The New York offense conceded 1,134 yds by way of 137 infractions, ranking them 1st in football when analyzing helping out the other team.

The Jets allowed 23.8 points per outing, which was 20th in professional football. They allowed 18 touchdowns through the air as well as 192.6 passing yards per outing, which was 4th in professional football. New York allowed a total of 2,059 rush yards (121.1 total yards per outing), as well as 22 touchdowns on the ground over the course of last season. The Jets defense took the field for 1,068 plays from scrimmage, which had them ranked 24th in the NFL. The D recorded 17 takeaways (10 fumbles forced and 7 picks) for the previous season.

Who will win tonight's Steelers-Jets NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jets +3

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