Tua Tagovailoa Best Prop Bets Today vs Buffalo Bills 9/18/2025

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Pass Yards Prop: 256 - Over (-113) Under (-113)

Completions Prop: 24 - Over (Even) Under (-128)

Pass Attempts Prop: 35 - Over (-111) Under (-115)

The Miami Dolphins and Tua Tagovailoa are going to be televised on Prime Video on Thursday, September 18, 2025 where they will attempt to defeat the Buffalo Bills. If you're looking to bet on Tagovailoa's player props, they start at 24 pass completions, 256 passing yards, and 35 passing attempts.

Tua Tagovailoa Season Stats

On top of producing 55 pass attempts, he holds an average of 72.7% in terms of completion percentage. He has been great in terms of connecting on passes, with an average of 20.0 passing completions per game, and has notched 3 passing TD's. The signal caller has an average of 0.5 rushing attempts and 1.5 passing touchdowns per game for the season. Holding a ranking of 12th in pro football, Tagovailoa has had a total of 429 pass yds. On top of being taken down in the backfield on 14.5% of his passing attempts, he has notched 7 rush yards and holds an average of 214.5 passing yards per outing. Tua Tagovailoa ranks 16th in pro football if you look at touchdown percentage with 5.5%. When talking about ability to throw, the QB has been around league average, averaging 27.5 passing attempts per outing.

Tua Tagovailoa Last 5 Games

Tua Tagovailoa has an average of 24.8 passing completions per contest if you look at being accurate and has earned 176 pass attempts. When it comes to throwing for 1st downs, Tua Tagovailoa has amassed 72 throwing 1st downs. Tua Tagovailoa has been impressive in terms of getting yards through the air, averaging 234.2 passing yards per outing. He has accumulated 7 passing TD's and is averaging 1.2 INTs per outing. Tua Tagovailoa is throwing an interception on 3.4% of his throwing attempts while averaging 14.4 passing 1st downs per outing, apart from 6 INTs.

Tua Tagovailoa Last 10 Games

In his last ten outings, he holds an average of 74.3% in terms of passing for completions. He has been around league average in terms of capability to throw TD's, with an average of 1.9 passing TD's and 257.9 passing yards per game. Tagovailoa has been outstanding regarding ability to get completions, with an average of 26.3 passing completions per game. In terms of capability to hit a receiver en route to a score, Tua has tallied 19 touchdowns through the air and accrued 145 1st downs by air. In his last ten outings, Tagovailoa has had a total of 263 pass completions. Tagovailoa is throwing an INT on 2.0% of his attempted passes in terms of ability to complete passes, while holding an average of 6.8% for sack rate.

Tua Tagovailoa Career Stats

Along with recording 103 passing TD's, Tua is averaging 2.2% in terms of interception percentage. Tagovailoa has tallied 2,092 attempted passes and accrued 47 interceptions. He is averaging 241.4 passing yds per outing during his NFL career. Regarding ability to run, the QB has notched 6 rushing TD's. He is completing a pass on 68.2% of his pass attempts while having an average of 4.9% on TD passes.

Miami Dolphins Offense

If you look at TD passes, the Dolphins have been playing average, having a rank of 14th in professional football with a 4.8% touchdown rate. So far this season, the Miami Dolphins hold an average of 31.5 pass attempts and 284.5 yards in total per outing. The Dolphins hold an average of 215.0 yards through the air per outing over the course of this year. In terms of aptitude for moving the ball, the Miami Dolphins are doing atrocious, producing 569 yards in total. The Dolphins are averaging 69.5 running yds per outing and have notched 45 passing completions, apart from connecting on 71.4% of their passes. If you look at INT%, the Dolphins average 4.8%.

Buffalo Bills Defense

The Buffalo Bills currently sit 21st in professional football concerning pick rate granted with 0.0% on the season. The group who play their home games in Highmark Stadium are doing solid if you're looking at deterring passing TD's per outing, relinquishing 1.5. The Buffalo Bills have been impressive if you look at stopping passing TD's, conceding 3. The group repping Buffalo surrender 1.5 rushing touchdowns and 25.0 run attempts per contest. The AFC East group give up 124.0 passing yards per game for the season and have relinquished 338 running yards. The Buffalo Bills are conceding 58.5% in terms of neutralizing the opposition from completing passes, as well as allowing 24 pass completions.

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take the Over Pass Attempts (-111)

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