Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, 11/9/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings

Date: Monday, November 9, 2026

Location: U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN

Odds-Point Spread: Bills -3.0

Total-Over-Under: 45.5

The Buffalo Bills (6-1) are hitting the road to U.S. Bank Stadium on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the Minnesota Vikings (6-1). Minnesota is 3-point underdogs. The over-under comes in at 45.5.

The Buffalo Bills head into this game 6-1 over the course of this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Bills faced off with the Baltimore Ravens and notched a win by a score of 36-10. Josh Allen connected on 21-34 with 289 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 96.3 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Khalil Shakir held an average of 12.8 yds per catch by tallying 64 yds on 5 catches. James Cook was the best rusher for the Bills with 21 attempts for 80 yds (3.8 yds per carry). In all, they had 75 plays which converted into 426 yards. The Buffalo Bills ended up running the ball 41 different times and accounted for 146 yards, which came out to an average of 3.6 yards per tote. Against the rush, the Bills conceded 76 yds on 19 tries, which is an average of 4.0 yds per run allowed. Buffalo gave up 12 pass completions on 26 attempts for 68 yds, and a completion rate of 46.2%.

If you look at putting the ball in the endzone, the Buffalo Bills hold an average of 33.3 points per outing. Collectively, they are averaging 148.4 rushing yds which ranks them at 3rd in the league. The Bills have accrued 2,752 yards for this campaign. Buffalo has compiled 79 first downs as a team, and they have committed 61 infractions for 526 yds. They have surrendered the ball 11 times (5 interceptions and 6 fumbles). In terms of getting in the endzone, Buffalo has recorded 11 touchdowns via the pass and 16 TD's on the ground.

Concerning passing yards, the Bills have conceded 1,783 yards, which has them ranked 24th in pro football. They have surrendered 254.7 yards per contest by way of the pass, and are allowing a completion% of 63.1%. In total, they have yielded 682 yards via the running game in 7 outings on the campaign. They have allowed 15 touchdowns via the pass, and 7 touchdowns via the ground game. In total, they are allowing 352.1 yards per outing, which has them ranked 24th in the league. They are giving up 3.9 yards per run and 97.4 running yds per contest for this campaign. The Bills sit 24th in the league if you analyze the opposition scoring, granting 25.9 points per contest.

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The Vikings head into this matchup 6-1 for this campaign. In their last contest, the Vikings took a defeat with a final score of 19-15 when they played the Detroit Lions. Kyler Murray carried the rock 4 times for 35 yds, finishing the game with 8.8 yards per carry for Minnesota. Justin Jefferson was a featured target for the Vikings, bringing in 5 footballs for 33 yards (6.6 yards per catch). Kyler Murray (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 210 yds on 17-29 passing while his QB rating was 89.7. He tossed 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 7.2 yds. Minnesota conceded 39 rushing attempts for 230 yards (5.9 yds per rush). The Vikings pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 72.0%, relinquishing 154 yards on 18 for 25 through the air. The Vikings ended up finishing with 266 yards and they ran 47 plays (5.7 yards per play). Minnesota rushed the football for 4.5 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 81 yds on 18 carries.

When talking about this team's ability to score points, the Vikings are sitting 27th in the league, by tallying 20.0 points per outing. For the year, the Vikings have thrown for a total of 1,159 passing yards and have an average of 165.6 passing yards per game, which ranks them at 31st in the NFL. They average 113.9 rushing yards per contest, and have carried the football for 797 yards. The Minnesota Vikings maintain an average of 279.4 yds per game, which ranks them at 29th in the NFL. The Minnesota offense has conceded 314 yards by way of 39 infractions, which has them ranking 32nd in football when it comes to giving up free yards. They have tossed 3 interceptions while yielding 2 fumbles, and have been able to tally 62 first downs as an offense.

They have yielded 4 touchdowns through the air as well as 154.9 yards via the pass per outing, which has them ranked 1st in the league. Minnesota has relinquished a total of 817 running yds (116.7 yards per contest), and 4 touchdowns to runners for this campaign. The defense has notched 12 turnovers (4 fumbles forced and 8 picks) over the course of this season. In total, they have yielded 93 pts. The Vikings defense has participated in 408 plays from scrimmage, which has them ranked 2nd in professional football. The Vikings are giving up 13.3 PPG, which has them ranked 1st in professional football.

Who will win tonight's Bills-Vikings NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bills -3.0

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