Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Prediction, 11/15/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Bills -7.5

Total-Over-Under: 49.5

MetLife Stadium is the site where the New York Jets (2-7) will meet the Buffalo Bills (7-1) on Sunday. Buffalo opens this contest as 7.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under comes in at 49.5.

The Buffalo Bills step on the gridiron 7-1 for this campaign. The last time they took the field, the Bills stepped onto the field against the Minnesota Vikings and went home with a win by a final score of 23-6. Josh Allen connected on 21-31 with 234 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 87.3 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. Dawson Knox left with an average of 9.3 yds per catch by totaling 37 yds on 4 receptions. James Cook was the rushing leader for the Bills with 31 attempts for 107 yds (3.5 yards per attempt). In all, they ran 75 plays which converted into 339 yds. The Buffalo Bills rushed the ball a total of 44 times and totaled 134 yds, which is an average of 3.0 yds per carry. In the running game, the Bills gave up 51 yds on 12 tries, which is 4.3 yds per run allowed. Buffalo surrendered 14 completions on 32 attempts for a total of 127 yards, and a completion rate of 43.8%.

When you look at scoring, the Buffalo Bills average 32.0 points per game. Offensively, they're sitting at 146.6 rushing yards which is 2nd in football. The Bills have produced 3,091 yards over the course of this season. Buffalo has accumulated 93 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 69 penalties for 588 total yards. They have turned the football over 12 times (6 INTs and 6 lost fumbles). If you look at getting the ball into the endzone, Buffalo has earned 12 touchdowns through the air and 17 touchdowns via the ground.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Bills have allowed 1,910 yds, which is good for 17th in the league. They have conceded 238.8 yards per contest through the air, and are allowing a completion% of 61.0%. In total, they have conceded 733 yards on the ground through 8 outings on the season. They have relinquished 15 touchdowns by way of the pass, as well as 7 touchdowns via the ground game. Altogether, they are relinquishing 330.4 total yards per contest, which is good for 16th in the NFL. The opposition is running for an average of 3.9 yards per rush and 91.6 running yards per game so far this year. The Bills currently sit 16th in football in terms of their defensive abilities, surrendering 23.4 points per game.

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The Jets come into this matchup holding a record of 2-7 for this campaign. The last time they took the field, the Jets took a loss by a score of 35-12 against the Kansas City Chiefs. Breece Hall ran the football 15 times for 61 yards, finishing the contest with 4.1 yards per carry for New York. Omar Cooper had the best day in terms of receiving for the Jets, bringing in 8 throws for 58 yds (7.3 yds per catch). Geno Smith ended the game with 165 yds on 18-32 through the air while his QB rating was 70.4. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.2 yds. New York gave up 32 attempts on the ground for 163 yds (5.1 yds per rush). The Jets passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 74.2%, surrendering 228 yds on 23 out of 31 passing. The Jets finished the game with 229 yards and they ran 57 plays (4.0 yds per play). New York ran for 4.2 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 106 yards on 25 carries.

The New York Jets maintain an average of 309.9 yards per game, ranking this team at 23rd in the league. They average 105.2 rush yds per outing, and have run for 947 yds. They have recorded 3 picks while giving up 4 lost fumbles, and have been able to obtain 89 1st downs offensively. The New York offense has conceded 572 total yards on 73 infractions, which is 5th in football in terms of helping out the opposition. For the season, the Jets sit at 1,842 yards via the pass and have an average of 204.7 yards via the pass per game, ranking this team at 22nd in the league. If you examine putting points on the board, the Jets sit 25th in the league, with an average of 20.2 points per game.

The Jets are relinquishing 24.8 points per game, which is good for 20th in the NFL. They have given up 16 touchdowns through the air and 197.8 pass yards per contest, putting them 4th in professional football. New York has granted a total of 1,152 running yards (128.0 yards per game), in addition to 10 touchdowns via the ground game over the course of the season. The Jets defense has taken the field for 574 plays from the line of scrimmage, which has them ranked 27th in football. Their defense has tallied 10 takeaways (9 forced fumbles and 1 interception) over the course of the season. Overall, they have conceded 223 points.

Who will win tonight's Bills-Jets NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bills -7.5

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