Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 11/8/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Cowboys -5.5

Total-Over-Under: 51

The Dallas Cowboys (3-5) are hitting the road to Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Indianapolis Colts (2-6). Dallas opens this matchup as 5.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 51.

The Dallas Cowboys step on the gridiron 3-5 for the season. In their last contest, the Cowboys stepped onto the field against the Arizona Cardinals and ended up losing by a score of 33-30. Javonte Williams led the offense in rushing for the Cowboys with 24 carries for 56 yards (2.3 yds per carry). CeeDee Lamb left with an average of 8.3 yards per catch by tallying 58 yards on 7 receptions. Dak Prescott went 19-29 with 195 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 96.2 and ended the game with no picks. On the ground, the Cowboys conceded 202 yards on 27 tries, which is an average of 7.5 yds per run allowed. Dallas relinquished 27 completions on 46 attempts for 265 yards, and a completion rate of 58.7%. Once the final whistle blew, they had 68 plays which totaled 261 yds. The Dallas Cowboys ran the ball a total of 39 different times and compiled 93 yards, which earned them an average of 2.4 yds per attempt.

The Cowboys have accrued 2,736 yards for this campaign. Dallas has produced 108 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 60 penalties for 514 total yards. In terms of getting in the endzone, Dallas has recorded 14 touchdowns via the pass and 10 TD's on the ground. They have coughed up the ball 7 times (5 picks and 2 fumbles lost). As a team, they hold an average of 94.1 rush yds which is good for 25th in the league. In terms of getting in the endzone, the NFC East representatives have an average of 27.4 points per contest.

The Cowboys currently rank 27th in professional football if you analyze their defensive abilities, yielding 26.6 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 5.0 yds per rushing attempt and 152.8 running yards per game so far this season. In terms of passing yards, the Cowboys have granted 1,861 yds, which ranks them at 28th in the NFL. They have surrendered 232.6 yards per contest by way of the pass, and are allowing a completion% of 66.4%. Altogether, they are granting 385.4 yards per contest, which has them ranked 32nd in pro football. They have relinquished 15 touchdowns via the pass, and 10 touchdowns to runners. On the whole, they have surrendered 1,222 rushing yards through 8 matchups for this campaign.

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The Colts head into this matchup 2-6 so far this season. In their last contest, the Colts walked away with a loss by a score of 42-7 when they played the Jacksonville Jaguars. Daniel Jones (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 144 yards on 19-28 passing while his QB rate was 62.2. He threw 2 interceptions and his Y-A was 5.1 yards. DJ Giddens carried the football 6 times for 43 yards, finishing the contest with 7.2 yards per carry for Indianapolis. Keenan Allen was a featured target for the Colts, snagging 7 footballs for 67 yds (9.6 yds per reception). Indianapolis rushed for 4.2 yds per carry, totaling 109 yards on 26 attempts. The Colts finished the contest with a total of 243 yds while they ran 56 plays (4.3 yds per play). The Colts secondary gave up a completion percentage of 64.7%, surrendering 183 yards on 11 out of 17 passing. Indianapolis gave up 33 run attempts for 183 yards (5.5 yds per rush).

The Indianapolis Colts maintain an average of 291.1 yards per game, putting them 26th in the NFL. They have an average of 116.5 rushing yds per contest, and have carried the football for 932 yards. They have compiled 9 interceptions while surrendering 6 fumbles lost, and have earned 79 first downs as a team. The Indianapolis offense has conceded 325 yards on 45 penalties, which has them ranked 30th in pro football concerning making mistakes. This year, the Colts have compiled 1,397 passing yds and are averaging 174.6 passing yds per game, putting them 28th in the NFL. If you're looking at putting points on the board, the Colts currently rank 26th in the league, scoring 20.1 PPG.

They have granted 14 touchdowns via the pass plus 211.8 passing yards per game, which ranks them at 12th in the NFL. Indianapolis has relinquished a total of 1,054 running yards (131.8 yards per game), and 8 touchdowns via the ground game so far this season. Their defense has notched 4 turnovers (2 fumbles forced and 2 interceptions) on the campaign. On the whole, they have allowed 222 total points. The Colts defense has taken the field for 462 plays, which has them ranked 15th in the league. The Colts are granting 27.8 points per outing, which has them ranked 30th in pro football.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys-Colts NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cowboys -5.5

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