Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, 11/15/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026

Location: Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Browns +4.5

Total-Over-Under: 39.5

The Cleveland Browns (5-4) will try to beat the Houston Texans (3-5) at Huntington Bank Field on Sunday. Cleveland opens this contest as 4.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over-under is set at 39.5.

The Houston Texans come into this game holding a record of 3-5 for this campaign. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Texans played the Los Angeles Chargers and went home with a win by a final score of 44-22. C.J. Stroud went 21-35 with 384 yds passing and 5 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 125.5 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Kayshon Boutte left with an average of 31.3 yds per catch by tallying 125 yards on 4 catches. Woody Marks was the rushing leader for the Texans with 18 attempts for 70 yds (3.9 yds per attempt). At the end of the game, they had 65 plays for 485 yds. The Houston Texans ran the ball 28 different times and tallied 104 yds, which came out to an average of 3.7 yds per carry. On the ground, the Texans conceded 138 yards on 30 tries, which is an average of 4.6 yds per rush allowed. Houston surrendered 15 pass completions on 30 tries for 177 yds, and a completion percentage of 50.0%.

In terms of getting in the endzone, the team representing Houston have an average of 26.1 PPG. Offensively, they are averaging 87.1 rush yds which is good for 29th in the league. The Texans have compiled 2,852 total yards for this campaign. Houston has accumulated 98 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 64 infractions for 544 yards. They have turned the ball over 4 times (2 picks and 2 lost fumbles). When you look at scoring, Houston has racked up 16 passing TD's and 6 rushing touchdowns.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Texans have allowed 1,885 yds, which is good for 15th in the league. They have allowed 235.6 yards per game by way of the pass, and are granting a completion percentage of 64.5%. In total, they have conceded 824 yards on the ground through 8 outings on the season. They have conceded 12 touchdowns through the air, plus 9 touchdowns via the ground game. In total, they are allowing 338.6 yards per game, which has them ranked 19th in football. They are giving up 3.9 yards per rushing attempt and 103.0 rush yds per outing so far this season. The Texans currently rank 18th in football if you examine opponents scoring, granting 24.0 PPG.

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The Browns head into this matchup 5-4 over the course of this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Browns went home defeated by a final of 23-22 when they faced the New Orleans Saints. Quinshon Judkins ran the football 15 times for 43 yards, finishing the contest with 2.9 yards per carry for Cleveland. Denzel Boston had the best day in terms of receiving for the Browns, hauling in 6 passes for 98 yards (16.3 yds per catch). Shedeur Sanders (2 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 297 yds on 19-31 passing while his QB rate was 114.6. He didn't toss any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 9.6 yards. Cleveland conceded 32 attempts on the ground for 160 yards (5.0 yds per rush). The Browns passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 60.0%, relinquishing 236 yds on 21 for 35 through the air. The Browns finished with a total of 355 yards and they ran 65 plays (5.5 yds per play). Cleveland ran the football for 2.8 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 95 yds on 34 carries.

If you examine putting points on the board, the Browns sit 29th in the league, with an average of 17.9 points per game. In this season, the Browns have a total of 1,894 pass yards and are sitting at 210.4 pass yards per game, which has them sitting 20th in the league. They maintain an average of 97.3 rushing yards per contest, and have rushed for 876 total yards. The Cleveland Browns have an average of 307.8 yards per contest, which ranks 24th in football. The Cleveland offense has conceded 563 total yards on 82 infractions, which is 1st in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 3 interceptions while giving up 8 fumbles lost, and have been able to obtain 93 first downs as an offense.

They have conceded 12 touchdowns through the air plus 201.0 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 6th in football. Cleveland has yielded a total of 1,175 rush yds (130.6 yds per outing), as well as 8 touchdowns to rushers so far this season. The defense has earned 12 turnovers (6 forced fumbles and 6 INTs) over the course of this season. On the whole, they have conceded 196 points in total. The Browns defense has taken part in 572 plays, which is good for 26th in the NFL. The Browns are allowing 21.8 PPG, which has them ranked 13th in football.

Who will win tonight's Texans-Browns NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Browns +4.5

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