Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 11/15/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts

Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Dolphins +2.5

Total-Over-Under: 40

The Miami Dolphins (1-7) are hitting the road to Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday where they will try to beat the Indianapolis Colts (2-7). Miami opens this game as 2.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 40.

The Miami Dolphins head into this game 1-7 on the season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Dolphins stepped onto the field against the Detroit Lions and ended up losing by a score of 19-9. Ollie Gordon led the offense in rushing for the Dolphins with 16 carries for 55 yards (3.4 yds per attempt). Caleb Douglas had an average of 11.7 yds per catch by earning 70 yds on 6 receptions. Malik Willis went 13-25 with 128 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 50.1 and finished the contest with 1 interception. In the running game, the Dolphins gave up 102 yds on 28 tries, which averages out to 3.6 yards per run surrendered. Miami surrendered 18 completions on 26 attempts for 168 yards, and a completion rate of 69.2%. Once the final whistle blew, they had 47 plays which gave them a total of 228 yards. The Miami Dolphins ended up running the ball 21 times and accrued 77 yards, which earned them an average of 3.7 yards per tote.

If you examine putting the ball in the endzone, the AFC representatives have an average of 15.8 points per game. Offensively, they're averaging 117.5 running yards which has them ranked 13th in football. The Dolphins have amassed 2,258 yards so far this year. Miami has accumulated 64 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 61 penalties for 423 total yards. They have surrendered the football 10 times (6 picks and 4 fumbles). When you look at getting the ball into the endzone, Miami has accumulated 6 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns on the ground.

The Dolphins are sitting 23rd in the league when analyzing their defensive prowess, allowing 25.0 points per outing. They are allowing 3.8 yards per run and 111.8 running yds per contest on the season. In terms of passing yards, the Dolphins have conceded 1,715 yards, which has them ranked 7th in football. They have surrendered 214.4 total yards per outing through the air, and are granting a completion percentage of 76.0%. Altogether, they are relinquishing 326.1 total yards per contest, which is good for 13th in the NFL. They have surrendered 16 touchdowns by way of the pass, along with 6 touchdowns to rushers. Overall, they have conceded 894 yards via the ground game in 8 outings on the season.

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The Colts come into this game with a record of 2-7 for the season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Colts walked away with a loss by a score of 27-23 against the Dallas Cowboys. Daniel Jones (1 TD) finished the game with 180 yds on 20-34 through the air while his quarterback rate was 70.7. He threw 1 interception and his avg yards per attempt was 5.3 yds. Jonathan Taylor ran the ball 13 times for 46 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.5 yards per attempt for Indianapolis. Jonathan Taylor had the best day in terms of receiving for the Colts, hauling in 5 passes for 18 yds (3.6 yds per catch). Indianapolis rushed the ball for 4.6 yards per attempt, finishing with 105 yds on 23 carries. The Colts finished the contest with a total of 271 yards while they ran 57 plays (4.8 yards per play). The Colts secondary allowed a completion rate of 61.8%, surrendering 329 yds on 21 for 34 passing. Indianapolis conceded 34 run attempts for 179 yds (5.3 yards per rush).

When you look at how much they score, the Colts currently sit 24th in football, by tallying 20.4 points per game. On the season, the Colts sit at 1,563 pass yards and are sitting at 173.7 pass yards per contest, putting them 27th in professional football. They maintain an average of 115.2 running yards per game, and have carried the football for 1,037 yards. The Indianapolis Colts have an average of 288.9 total yards per contest, which is good for 27th in professional football. The Indianapolis offense has granted 392 yards on 54 violations, which has them sitting 27th in the league when examining hurting your team. They have allowed 10 INTs while allowing 7 fumbles lost, and have earned 86 1st downs as an offense.

They have conceded 16 touchdowns by way of the pass in addition to 224.8 pass yards per game, which has them sitting 17th in the league. Indianapolis has conceded a total of 1,233 rushing yards (137.0 total yards per game), along with 9 touchdowns to rushers for this campaign. The D has accumulated 6 takeaways (4 forced fumbles and 2 picks) on the season. Overall, they have conceded 249 points. The Colts defense has taken the field for 533 plays from scrimmage, which ranks 20th in football. The Colts are relinquishing 27.7 points per game, which is good for 30th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins-Colts NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Dolphins +2.5

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