New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Prediction, 10/22/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 7

Game: New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears

Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026

Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Prime Video

Odds-Point Spread: Patriots +3.0

Total-Over-Under: 50

Soldier Field is where the Chicago Bears (4-2) will take on the New England Patriots (4-2) on Thursday. New England opens as 3-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over-under has been set at 50.

The New England Patriots step on the gridiron holding a record of 4-2 so far this season. In their last game, the Patriots stepped onto the field against the New York Jets and notched a win by a score of 26-19. Drake Maye connected on 18-32 with 235 yds passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 110.8 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Corey Kiner was the leader on the ground for the Patriots with 11 carries for 57 yards (5.2 yds per carry). DeMario Douglas had an average of 12.3 yards per catch by accounting for 86 yds on 7 catches. The New England Patriots ran the football 36 times and totaled 148 yds, which had them averaging 4.1 yards per attempt. On the day, they tallied 68 plays which totaled 383 yards. New England gave up 20 completions on 30 tries for a total of 227 yds, and a completion rate of 66.7%. In the running game, the Patriots gave up 97 yards on 27 attempts, which is 3.6 yards per run allowed.

If you examine scoring points, the AFC East representatives are averaging 22.7 points per contest. Collectively, they maintain an average of 130.7 running yards which has them ranked 6th in football. The Patriots currently have 2,245 yards for the year. New England has produced 67 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 45 penalties for 357 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 13 different times (7 INTs and 6 fumbles). When you look at putting points on the board, New England has accumulated 11 touchdowns via the pass and 4 TD's on the ground.

When talking about passing yards, the Patriots have surrendered 1,254 yds, which has them ranked 15th in football. They have allowed 209.0 yds per contest by way of the pass, and are conceding a completion rate of 66.1%. Overall, they have allowed 551 running yards through 6 outings over the course of the season. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns through the air, and 5 touchdowns by way of the ground game. In total, they are granting 300.8 yds per contest, which ranks 6th in pro football. They are giving up 3.9 yds per rush and 91.8 running yards per game for this campaign. The Patriots rank 5th in the NFL when analyzing opponents scoring, allowing 18.8 points per outing.

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The Bears step on the gridiron with a record of 4-2 over the course of the season. In their last contest, the Bears went home victorious with a score of 31-23 when they faced the Atlanta Falcons. Caleb Williams (1 TD) ended the game with 305 yards on 30-36 passing while his quarterback rate was 111.2. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y-A was 8.5 yards. Roschon Johnson carried the football 13 times for 51 yds, ending the game with 3.9 yards per attempt for Chicago. Luther Burden was one of the featured targets for the Bears, snagging 8 passes for 95 yards (11.9 yds per catch). Chicago ran the ball for 3.0 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 98 yds on 33 attempts. The Bears finished the game with 368 yards while running 69 plays (5.3 yds per play). The Bears secondary gave up a completion rate of 57.6%, surrendering 194 yards on 19 for 33 passing. Chicago surrendered 12 rushing attempts for 63 yards (5.3 yds per rush).

If you examine how much they score, the Bears currently rank 12th in pro football, by scoring 25.0 PPG. Over the course of this season, the Bears have a total of 1,366 pass yards and average 227.7 pass yards per contest, putting them 15th in pro football. They hold an average of 160.7 rushing yards per contest, and have carried the football for 964 total yards. The Chicago Bears maintain an average of 388.3 yds per game, which has them ranked 5th in football. The Chicago offense has conceded 342 yards on 44 violations, which has them ranking 17th in the NFL when analyzing making mistakes. They have compiled 5 INTs while giving up 6 fumbles, and have tallied 71 1st downs as an offense.

They have allowed 9 touchdowns by way of the pass and 211.8 passing yds per contest, ranking them 14th in football. Chicago has allowed a total of 543 rush yards (90.5 yds per contest), along with 5 touchdowns via the rush on the season. The D has attained 9 turnovers (6 fumbles forced and 3 INTs) so far this season. Altogether, they have allowed 119 pts. The Bears defense has been on the field for 301 plays, putting them 3rd in pro football. The Bears are surrendering 19.8 points per contest, which has them ranked 6th in football.

Who will win tonight's Patriots-Bears NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots +3.0

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