New York Jets vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 9/27/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: New York Jets vs Detroit Lions

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: FOX

Odds-Point Spread: Lions -7.0

Total-Over-Under: 48

The Detroit Lions (1-1) host the New York Jets (1-1) at Ford Field on Sunday. New York opens this contest as 7-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 48.

The New York Jets step on the gridiron 1-1 on the year. In their last contest, the Jets took the field against the Green Bay Packers and went home with a loss by a final score of 20-17. Geno Smith connected on 27-41 with 247 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 90.2 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Breece Hall was the leader on the ground for the Jets with 16 totes for 29 yds (1.8 yds per carry). Breece Hall averaged 12.6 yards per reception by earning 63 yards on 5 receptions. The New York Jets ran the ball 27 times and accumulated 67 yards, earning them an average of 2.5 yards per carry. On the day, they had 68 plays which converted into 285 yds. New York gave up 16 completions on 29 attempts for 136 yds, and a completion rate of 55.2%. On the ground, the Jets conceded 63 yards on 18 tries, which is an average of 3.5 yards per rush allowed.

The Jets have collected 652 total yards so far this season. New York has a total of 18 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 21 infractions for 204 total yards. If you analyze getting the ball into the endzone, New York has attained 1 passing touchdown and 3 touchdowns on the ground. They have yet to turn the ball over. As a unit, they average 109.5 rush yds which ranks 17th in the NFL. If you look at scoring, the squad who plays in New York have an average of 20.0 points per contest.

When talking about yards through the air, the Jets have granted 263 yards, which is good for 2nd in the league. They have allowed 131.5 total yards per contest through the air, and are surrendering a completion% of 57.4%. Overall, they have given up 131 yards on the ground through 2 games over the course of the season. They have granted 3 touchdowns through the air, but no TD's on the ground. In total, they are giving up 197.0 total yards per contest, giving them a rank of 1st in the NFL. They are allowing 4.1 yards per tote and 65.5 rushing yards per outing so far this season. The Jets currently rank 7th in football when examining opponents scoring, granting 15.0 points per outing.

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The Lions step onto the field with a record of 1-1 over the course of this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Lions took a loss by a score of 41-31 when they faced the Buffalo Bills. Jared Goff (4 TDs) finished the contest with 327 yards on 26-38 through the air while his quarterback rating was 130. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 8.6 yds. Jahmyr Gibbs carried the ball 16 times for 52 yds, ending the game with 3.3 yards per attempt for Detroit. Amon-Ra St. Brown was featured in the passing game for the Lions, bringing in 9 passes for 142 yards (15.8 yds per catch). Detroit rushed for 3.3 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 66 yds on 20 attempts. The Lions finished with 355 yds while running 58 plays (6.1 yds per play). The Lions secondary allowed a completion percentage of 64.5%, surrendering 243 yds on 20 for 31 passing. Detroit gave up 36 rush attempts for 203 yds (5.6 yds per rush).

The Detroit Lions have an average of 362.0 yards per outing, which is 10th in football. They have an average of 115.5 running yards per outing, and have run for 231 yards. They have compiled no picks while giving up 1 fumble, and have obtained 29 1st downs offensively. The Detroit offense has relinquished 119 total yards on 18 penalties, giving them a rank of 6th in the NFL regarding helping out the opposition. For the season, the Lions have thrown for 493 yards via the pass and are sitting at 246.5 yards via the pass per game, ranking this team at 7th in the NFL. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Lions are 6th in the NFL, with 31.0 points per outing.

They have allowed 6 touchdowns through the air in addition to 310.5 yards via the pass per contest, putting them 31st in the league. Detroit has conceded a total of 294 rushing yds (147.0 yards per outing), and 4 touchdowns to rushers for the year. Their defense has a total of 3 turnovers (1 fumble and 2 INTs) so far this year. In total, they have given up 71 points in total. The Lions defense has participated in 155 plays from the line of scrimmage, giving them a rank of 32nd in the NFL. The Lions are yielding 35.5 PPG, which is 31st in football.

Who will win tonight's Jets-Lions NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Lions -7.0

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