New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 11/8/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026

Location: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Chiefs -10.0

Total-Over-Under: 45.5

The New York Jets (2-6) are traveling to Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday where they will play the Kansas City Chiefs (5-2). New York opens this contest as 10-point underdogs. The total has been set at 45.5.

The New York Jets head into this matchup 2-6 over the course of this season. In their last game, the Jets faced the Las Vegas Raiders and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 38-33. Geno Smith connected on 20-32 with 290 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 99.7 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. Braelon Allen was the best rusher for the Jets with 21 totes for 147 yards (7.0 yds per attempt). Adonai Mitchell had an average of 20.3 yards per reception by accounting for 142 yds on 7 catches. The New York Jets ended up running the ball 27 times and compiled 166 yds, which came out to an average of 6.1 yds per carry. In the game, they tallied 59 plays which converted into 439 yds. New York allowed 19 pass completions on 26 tries for 238 yards, and a completion rate of 73.1%. In the running game, the Jets conceded 95 yds on 33 attempts, which is 2.9 yards per run allowed.

The Jets have tallied 2,560 total yards for the year. New York has produced 80 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 64 penalties for 515 total yards. When you look at scoring points, New York has notched 12 passing TD's and 5 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 6 different times (3 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost). As a team, they hold an average of 105.1 rush yds which is good for 21st in the league. When you look at scoring points, the AFC East representatives hold an average of 21.3 points per game.

The Jets are sitting 16th in the league if you analyze their defensive abilities, granting 23.5 points per outing. They are giving up an average of 4.0 yds per rush on the ground and 123.6 rushing yds per game so far this year. When you look at yards through the air, the Jets have conceded 1,552 yards, which has them ranking 9th in football. They have conceded 194.0 yards per contest by way of the pass, and are surrendering a completion% of 63.2%. In total, they are allowing 317.6 yards per outing, which has them ranked 11th in the league. They have relinquished 14 touchdowns via the pass, along with 7 touchdowns to rushers. Altogether, they have conceded 989 running yards through 8 games over the course of this season.

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The Chiefs head into this matchup 5-2 so far this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Chiefs walked away with a loss by a score of 28-24 when they faced the Denver Broncos. Patrick Mahomes (3 TDs) finished the contest with 321 yds on 30-41 through the air while his QB rating was 120.1. He didn't throw any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 7.8 yards. Kenneth Walker III carried the football 21 times for 69 yards, walking away from the game with 3.3 yds per attempt for Kansas City. Rashee Rice was the top contributor in the passing game for the Chiefs, catching 7 passes for 53 yds (7.6 yds per catch). Kansas City ended up running for 3.8 yards per carry, totaling 90 yards on 24 attempts. The Chiefs finished the game with a total of 399 yds while running 65 plays (6.1 yds per play). The Chiefs pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 62.5%, relinquishing 217 yards on 20 out of 32 passing. Kansas City conceded 23 run attempts for 77 yds (3.3 yds per carry).

When you look at their scoring prowess, the Chiefs are ranked 11th in football, holding an average of 23.9 points per game. In this season, the Chiefs have compiled 1,743 pass yds and average 249.0 pass yds per game, which ranks them 8th in the league. They have an average of 134.1 running yds per contest, and have rushed for 939 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs have an average of 383.1 yards per contest, which has them ranked 5th in pro football. The Kansas City offense has conceded 464 total yards on 52 penalties, which ranks them at 21st in the league if you analyze helping out the other team. They have allowed 4 picks while giving up 1 fumble, and have been able to record 78 1st downs as a team.

The Chiefs are granting 18.7 points per outing, which ranks them 4th in the league. They have relinquished 7 touchdowns via the pass along with 222.9 pass yds per game, which ranks them 18th in the league. Kansas City has relinquished a total of 674 running yards (96.3 yards per game), and 5 touchdowns via the ground game so far this season. The Chiefs defense has participated in 443 plays from scrimmage, which ranks them at 9th in the league. The defense has compiled 10 turnovers (4 forced fumbles and 6 interceptions) so far this year. Altogether, they have conceded 131 total points.

Who will win tonight's Jets-Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Chiefs -10.0

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