New York Jets vs New England Patriots Prediction, 10/18/2026 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

Game: New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds-Point Spread: Patriots -7.5

Total-Over-Under: 43.5

The New England Patriots (3-2) will take on the New York Jets (2-3) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday. New England opens as 7.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 43.5.

The New York Jets step on the gridiron 2-3 on the campaign. The last time they took the field, the Jets played the Cleveland Browns and walked away with a win by a score of 17-12. Geno Smith finished 17-30 with 182 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 85.7 and finished the contest with no picks. Garrett Wilson held an average of 14.9 yards per catch by recording 104 yards on 7 catches. Braelon Allen was the leader on the ground for the Jets with 24 carries for 116 yds (4.8 yds per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 62 plays which gave them 276 yds. The New York Jets ended up running the ball 32 different times and had 134 yards, which came out to an average of 4.2 yds per attempt. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Jets conceded 96 yds on 24 attempts, which is an average of 4.0 yds per run surrendered. New York allowed 15 pass completions on 33 attempts for a total of 102 yards, and a completion rate of 45.5%.

With reference to notching touchdowns, the AFC East members are averaging 18.6 points per contest. As a unit, they maintain an average of 94.0 rushing yds which ranks them at 22nd in pro football. The Jets have attained 1,420 yards over the course of this season. New York has compiled 44 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 47 penalties for 412 yds. They have given the ball away 3 times. If you analyze putting the ball in the endzone, New York has compiled 6 touchdowns through the air and 4 running touchdowns.

With reference to pass yards, the Jets have yielded 875 total yards, which ranks 4th in football. They have allowed 175.0 yards per contest via the pass, and are conceding a completion percentage of 62.5%. In total, they have allowed 590 yards on the ground through 5 games on the year. They have relinquished 6 touchdowns through the air, in addition to 4 touchdowns via the ground game. Overall, they are conceding 293.0 yds per game, which ranks them 4th in professional football. The opposition is running for 4.2 yards per tote and 118.0 rushing yds per contest on the year. The Jets sit 6th in pro football when you look at their opponents scoring, relinquishing 19.2 points per contest.

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The Patriots come into this game with a record of 3-2 on the campaign. In their last game, the Patriots walked away with a victory by a final of 45-17 against the Las Vegas Raiders. Rhamondre Stevenson carried the ball 13 times for 64 yds, walking away from the contest with 4.9 yds per carry for New England. Kyle Williams was the top contributor in the passing game for the Patriots, snagging 3 balls for 91 yards (30.3 yards per catch). Drake Maye (4 TDs) walked away from the contest with 374 yards on 26-34 through the air while his QB rating was 150.9. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y-A was 11.0 yds. New England gave up 18 rushing attempts for 38 yds (2.1 yards per carry). The Patriots secondary gave up a completion rate of 69.4%, relinquishing 268 yards on 25 for 36 through the air. The Patriots ended up finishing with 536 yds and they ran 65 plays (8.2 yds per play). New England rushed for 5.3 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 165 yards on 31 attempts.

If you look at their scoring prowess, the Patriots are sitting 19th in the NFL, maintaining an average of 22.0 points per contest. On the campaign, the Patriots sit at 1,226 passing yards and hold an average of 245.2 passing yards per outing, which ranks them at 10th in pro football. They average 127.2 rushing yds per contest, and have carried the football for 636 total yards. The New England Patriots average 372.4 total yards per outing, which has them ranked 8th in the league. The New England offense has relinquished 300 yards by way of 40 violations, which ranks them 12th in the NFL if you analyze giving up free yards. They have tossed 7 interceptions while relinquishing 4 lost fumbles, and have obtained 55 first downs.

The Patriots are giving up 18.8 points per contest, which ranks them 4th in the NFL. They have given up 6 touchdowns via the pass along with 205.4 passing yards per game, which ranks them 10th in professional football. New England has conceded a total of 454 rushing yards (90.8 total yards per game), along with 5 touchdowns on the ground on the season. The Patriots defense has taken part in 286 plays, ranking them 6th in pro football. The D has collected 6 turnovers (3 fumbles forced and 3 INTs) on the campaign. Overall, they have given up 94 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Jets-Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Patriots -7.5

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