Week 10 NFL Power Rankings
by Robert Ferringo - 11/09/2006
November is one of the defining months n the NFL season. Injuries start to creep up on teams, testing depth and resolve. It's also the point where some teams start to build momentum towards a playoff push, while others start looking ahead to vacations with their family and friends in the offseason. Pain and desperation is becoming more of a factor, and all of these dynamics will be at work in an important weekend in the National Football League.
And without further ado here are my Week 10 Power Rankings:
1. Indianapolis (8-0) - It's going to take a serious (see: flawless) effort to beat the Colts. Indianapolis is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five against Buffalo.
2. Denver (6-2) - Six defensive starters are listed as questionable for the Broncos, as are Rod Smith and Tatum Bell. Mike Shanahan is 8-3 SU at Oakland and is 32-11 SU in November since 1995. The offense has managed 26 ppg over the past three games after putting up just 12 ppg in the first five.
3. New England (6-2) - The Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last six against the Jets, but just 2-7 in their last nine at Gillette Stadium. NE has held the Jets to seven or less points in three of the past five meetings.
4. Chicago (7-1) - I expect the Bears to have a much more conservative game plan on the road this week. Bernard Berrian is out 2-4 weeks, and that's a big hit to Chicago's thin receiver corps. The Bears are 12-5-2 ATS against the NFC.
5. Baltimore (6-2) - The Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last seven at Tennessee. Steve McNair has been sacked just 11 times in eight games. Baltimore has been running more slants and quick hitters, getting slot receiver Demetrius Williams involved.
6. New York Giants (6-2) - We know about Strahan, Lavar, Osi and Amani, but Plexico (back), Carlos Emmons (groin), Brandon Short (quad) and Sam Madison (hamstring) are also banged up for the G-Men. NY is 11-5 ATS at home and 10-4-1 ATS against a team with a winning record.
7. New Orleans (6-2) - Every week people expect the Saints to fall on their face, and just about every week they answer the bell. Joe Horn probably won't play, and definitely won't be 100 percent this weekend with an iffy groin.
8. San Diego (6-2) - Two wins, road loss. Two wins, road loss. That's been the Chargers' season. Well, they've won two in a row and now they're going on the road. The Chargers are 14-4-2 ATS in their last 20 road games.
9. Kansas City (5-3) - Including the playoffs, the Chiefs have lost nine of their past 11 games in Miami. Last year, they scored a 30-20 victory but flew in on the day off the game. Herm Edwards said it was too late to make those arrangements for this year.
10. Atlanta (5-3) - Over the course of the past four weeks Atlanta has given up 30.5 ppg. The Falcons are 8-2 SU against the AFC under Mora.
11. Jacksonville (5-3) - 14 players are listed on the injury report for the Jags. Jacksonville has won its past two at home by a total of 78-7, and they are 23-5 SU when they score more than 20 points.
12. Philadelphia (4-4) - Andy Reid is 7-0 SU and 7-2 ATS off a week of rest. The Eagles have topped the Redskins seven of the past nine times.
13. Carolina (4-3) - The up-and-down Panthers have actually held a lead in seven of their eight games. They had a pair of players-only meetings this week and I expect them to be very focused on Monday night. They are 8-3 ATS against Tampa and 4-1 ATS vs. them at home.
14. Dallas (4-4) - Terry Glenn has been the forgotten man since Tony Romo has taken over. He's caught just seven balls for 78 yards. Dallas is 6-1 ATS against the Cardinals, but they generally don't travel well to Arizona.
15. Seattle (5-3) - The Seahawks have won three straight against St. Louis, and are 25-4 in their last 29 home games. Also, the underdog is 7-1 ATS in the STL-Seattle series. The weather may be a factor again this week, as rain is in the forecast.
16. St. Louis (4-4) - Pisa Tinoisamoa will start at MLB for the Rams. He's missed the past two games. The Rams are an amazing 39-1 with a 100-yard rusher since 1995.
17. Cincinnati (4-4) - Three of Cincinnati's losses have come by a total of nine points. The Bengals will have Willie Anderson on the offensive line this week. They are 4-1 SU against the AFC West recently.
18. New York Jets (4-4) - The Jets have gone over in 10 of their last 11 games. New York has to take shots down the field to expose the loss of Rodney Harrison.
19. Pittsburgh (2-6) - Since 2003, Pittsburgh has won 9 of the past 10 against the NFC. Oddsmakers have caught on to the Steelers high-scoring affairs at home. Pitt is 36-17-1 against the total in their last 54 at Heinz Field.
20. Washington (3-5) - The Redskins are 3-0 ATS vs. Philly. Their secondary is now healthy and intact, but they still looked awful against Dallas last week. After this week I expect the Jason Campbell chants to get very loud.
21. Minnesota (4-4) - The Vikings' interior linemen and No. 1 rated rush defense should manhandle an inexperienced Green Bay line.
22. Buffalo (3-5) - When he's upright, JP Losman hasn't been that bad. He's completing 61 percent of his passes and is yet to throw a fourth quarter INT. Buffalo has held Peyton Manning under 200 pass yards in four of six meetings, and hasn't allowed a TD pass in 3-of-6.
23. Detroit (2-6) - The Lions are 2-5-2 ATS against San Francisco. They may get Shaun Cody and James Hall back this week to bolster the defensive line.
24. Cleveland (2-6) - Six of eight teams have topped 100 yards on the Browns, and five have topped 150. Conversely, when Reuben Droughns rushes for more than 100 yards the Browns are 4-1.
25. Green Bay (3-5) - The Packers are 2-9 ATS vs. Minnesota and a putrid 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine against the NFC North.
26. San Francisco (3-5) - The 49ers have won nine of the past 10 against Detroit, and have scored over 20 points in each of the past 14 meetings.
27. Tennessee (2-6) - The underdog is 12-3 ATS in the last fifteen games between Tennessee and Baltimore. The Titans are giving up 5.2 yards per rush over their past five games.
28. Houston (2-6) - Houston has lost 12 straight away from home, with their last road win coming at Jacksonville in 2004. The Texans are 3-1 ATS in their last four at the Jags. Mario Williams has a sack in four of five games.
29. Tampa Bay (2-6) - What a mess that once mighty defense is.
30. Miami (2-6) - The Dolphins are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 home games. This is a schizo team, so I wouldn't put too much stock in their win over Chicago.
31. Oakland (2-6) - The Worst Offensive Line I've Ever Seen just took another hit. Guard Barry Sims won't be available this weekend against Denver. The Raiders are 10-30-1 ATS in their last 41 against the AFC.
32. Arizona (1-7) - Denny Green is 11-2 SU after a bye. So he's got that going for him. The Cardinals have won four in a row over Dallas in Arizona.
Questions or comments for Robert? E-mail him at firstname.lastname@example.org or check out his Insider Page here.