2015 Record: 7-6
2016 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 7.5*
2016 Season Win Total Picks NCAA Football: 'Over'
Tommy Tuberville looks to continue his destruction of one of the most underrated and undervalued football programs in the country. Cincinnati is a team that, prior to Tuberville's hiring in 2013, had gone 65-26 over a seven-year stretch while serving as a springboard for Mark Dantonio, Br ian Kelly and Butch Jones.
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But Tuberville, as he did at Mississippi, Auburn and Texas Tech, seems hell-bent on dragging Cincinnati football into a bog of perpetual underachievement and mediocrity.
Cincinnati flopped its way to a 7-6 record in 2015. That included blowout losses to South Florida (by 38) and San Diego State (by 35) in two of their last three games. Granted, Cincinnati did have some injury issues to deal with, specifically regarding quarterback Gunner Kiel. And three other losses were by just one score. But Cincinnati routinely lost games in which they outgained and outplayed their opponents while also playing down to weak competition like Miami, OH and East Carolina.
There are a lot of factors pointing toward a rebound year for the Bearcats, who are once again flying way below the betting radar. They outgained their opponents by nearly 170 yards per game last season, tops in the AAC, and both their starts lost to injury and their turnover differential suggest this team making a major leap forward. Kiel is back - although they did lose their top rusher and top six receivers - and the Bearcats have eight starters back on a defense that has to improve. The schedule is also very favorable.
But Tuberville is a reason to be wary. Since the start of the 2008 season at Auburn he's gone just 50-38 at three different schools while failing to place a team inside the Top 25. The guy is a goof, and he can't be trusted.
That said, with seven home games (Cincinnati is 26-5 in its last 31 games at Nippert Stadium) and winnable road games at Purdue, Connecticut, Central Florida and Tulsa, I think that the Bearcats will underachieve compared to what they are capable of but still surpass their season win total. I see an 8-4 campaign.
2016 Cincinnati Bearcats Schedule
DATE OPPONENT TIME (ET) Location
Sat, Sep 10th, 2016 at Purdue 12:00 PM Ross-Ade Stadium
Thu, Sep 15th, 2016 Houston 07:30 PM Nippert Stadium
Sat, Sep 24th, 2016 Miami Ohio 12:00 PM Nippert Stadium
Sat, Oct 1st, 2016 South Florida 12:00 PM Nippert Stadium
Sat, Oct 8th, 2016 at Connecticut 11:30 AM Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Sat, Oct 22nd, 2016 East Carolina 12:00 PM Nippert Stadium
Sat, Oct 29th, 2016 at Temple 12:00 PM Lincoln Financial Field
Sat, Nov 5th, 2016 BYU 12:00 PM Nippert Stadium
Sat, Nov 12th, 2016 at UCF 12:00 PM Bright House Networks Stadium
Fri, Nov 18th, 2016 Memphis 08:00 PM Nippert Stadium
Fri, Nov 25th, 2016 at Tulsa 01:00 PM Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman
*Season Win Total Odds from 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Robert Ferringo has been the top football handicapper in the country the past five years, earning nearly $13,000 in total football profit with four of six winning seasons. Robert tallied over $20,000 in football profit between 2011 and 2015, including his amazing 2013 NFL season in which he hit 62.1 percent (95-58). Robert has produced 14 of 22 winning football months and an amazing 37 of 57 winning football months over the past decade. Robert has eight of nine winning NFL preseasons and he is at nearly 60 percent winners over his last 750 totals picks. Also, Robert's proprietary KING College Football Betting System has posted two of three winning seasons and is 122-92 over the last three years (57.0 percent).
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