2015 Record: 7-6
2016 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 7.0*
2016 Season Win Total Picks NCAA Football: 'Under'
Kliff Kingsbury has kept Texas Tech somewhat relevant in the Big 12. But to this point the young coach has been more hype than production. Kingsbury's record after three years (19-19 straight up) is actually worse than the man that he replaced, Tommy Tuberville (21-17 SU). But in his fourth season, now with all of Kingsbury's own players, we will see if the Red Raiders are capable of more.
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Texas Tech really wasn't all that close to the top teams in the Big 12 last year, losing to TCU, Baylor, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State by an average of 23.5 points apiece (while going 1-3 against the spread). In fact, since beating No. 24 TCU back in September of 2013, the Red Raiders have gone just 1-12 straight up and 4-9 ATS against teams in the Top 25. The lone win came in the 2013 Holiday Bowl.
Texas Tech has the benefit of having junior three-year starting quarterback Patrick Mahomes back in the saddle. Tech lost its star runner, DeAndre Washington, and stud receiver, Jakeem Grant, but still has a lot of talent and experience at the skill positions. If there is an issue with this offense, which averaged an astronomical 45.1 points per game, it would be along the offensive line, where two redshirt freshmen and one sophomore are set to start.
Defensively, the Red Raiders are a train wreck. They allowed 43.6 points per game, which, even in the defense-optional Big 12, was pathetic. They have four starters back in the secondary. But that wasn't really their problem last season. The Red Raiders allowed an insane 6.2 yards per carry and nearly 300 rushing yards per game last year! And now the bad news: I don't see where they will be any better this season.
Texas Tech has a key nonconference game out at Arizona State on Sept. 10. That is the only thing standing in the way of a 4-0 start. But other than their home game against Kansas, I can't confidently predict any other league wins. Texas Tech has averaged four league wins per season over the past decade and has earned at least two Big 12 victories every season.
With Mahomes under center they should be able to get at least three conference wins. But I don't see them getting to eight wins overall. I think that this is an easy 'under' call.
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Robert Ferringo has been the top football handicapper in the country the past five years, earning nearly $13,000 in total football profit with four of six winning seasons. Robert tallied over $20,000 in football profit between 2011 and 2015, including his amazing 2013 NFL season in which he hit 62.1 percent (95-58). Robert has produced 14 of 22 winning football months and an amazing 37 of 57 winning football months over the past decade. Robert has eight of nine winning NFL preseasons and he is at nearly 60 percent winners over his last 750 totals picks. Also, Robert's proprietary KING College Football Betting System has posted three of four winning seasons and is 122-92 over the last three years (57.0 percent).
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