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Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, 9/29/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

by Tony Sink - 9/27/2022

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Game: Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

Date: Thursday, September 29, 2022

Location: Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Bengals (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Cincinnati Bengals (1-2) are welcoming the Miami Dolphins (3-0) at Paul Brown Stadium on Thursday. Miami opens this game as 2-point dogs from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 48.5.

The Miami Dolphins come into this game with a record of 3-0 for this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Dolphins played the Bills and notched a win by a score of 21-19. Chase Edmonds was the rushing leader for the Dolphins with 6 carries for 21 yds (3.5 yds per attempt). Jaylen Waddle averaged 25.5 yds per catch by notching 102 yards on 4 catches. Tua Tagovailoa connected on 13/18 with 186 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 123.8 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Against the run, the Dolphins conceded 115 yards on 23 attempts, which is an average of 5.0 yards per run allowed. Miami surrendered 42 pass completions on 63 attempts for a total of 382 yards, and a completion rate of 66.7%. On the day, they tallied 39 plays which gave them a total of 212 yds. The Miami Dolphins ended up rushing 17 times and accumulated 41 yards, which earned them an average of 2.4 yards per attempt.

When it comes to scoring points, the Miami Dolphins have an average of 27.7 points per contest. Offensively they're holding an average of 64.0 yards rushing giving them a rank of 31st in the NFL. The Dolphins have earned 1,066 total yards over the course of this year. Miami has accumulated 43 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 16 infractions for 91 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 2 times (2 interceptions and 0 fumbles). With reference to scoring touchdowns, Miami has totaled 8 touchdowns via the pass and 2 rushing touchdowns.

The Dolphins rank 16th in the NFL in relation to the opposition scoring, conceding 21.3 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.0 yards per run and 116.0 rushing yards per game for the season. Overall, they have conceded 348 rushing yards through 3 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Dolphins have given up 893 yards which has them ranked 31st in football. They have conceded 297.7 yards per contest via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 68.9%. During the season, they have given up 413.7 yards per game ranking them 31st in the National Football League. They have conceded 6 touchdowns through the air and 1 touchdown on the ground.

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The Bengals step onto the field holding a record of 1-2 this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Bengals walked away with a victory by a final of 27-12 against the Jets. Samaje Perine ran the ball 9 times for 47 yds, walking away from the contest with 5.2 yards per carry for Cincinnati. Tyler Boyd was one of the featured targets for the Bengals, hauling in 4 passes for 105 yds (26.3 yds per reception). Joe Burrow (3 touchdowns) ended the game with 275 yds on 23/36 passing while his QB rate was 114.9. He didn't toss any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 7.6 yards. Cincinnati relinquished 20 run attempts for 76 yds (3.8 yards per rush). The Bengals secondary conceded a completion percentage of 53.8%, surrendering 252 yds on 28 for 52 through the air. The Bengals finished the contest with 330 yards and they ran 66 plays (5.0 yards per play). Cincinnati rushed for 2.5 yards per carry, finishing the game with 69 yards on 28 carries.

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The Cincinnati Bengals have an average of 338.7 yards/outing ranking them 20th in football. They average 97.0 run yards per game and have run for 291 yards for the season. The Cincinnati offense has accrued 92 yards of penalties on 16 violations, which is good for 19th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 4 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have recorded 47 1st downs. During this campaign thus far, the Bengals have thrown for 725 passing yards as well as holding an average of 241.7 throwing yards per game, ranking them 14th out of all NFL teams. When discussing the points being put on the board, the Bengals rank 10th in the league averaging 21.3 PPG.

They have surrendered 2 touchdowns through the air and 224.7 yards/outing, which has them ranked 14th in the NFL. Cincinnati has surrendered a total of 258 yards on the ground (86.0 yards per outing) in addition to 1 touchdown via the rush for the season. They have totaled 5 turnovers (3 fumbles and 2 interceptions) for the year. The Bengals defense has participated in 196 plays, ranking them 22nd in football. In total, they have surrendered 55 points in total. The Bengals are relinquishing 18.3 points per game, which has them sitting 10th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Bengals NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Dolphins +2

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