Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Pick, Odds, Week 12 Prediction 11/21/2019

Game: Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Date: Thursday, November 21, 2019

Week 12

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Houston -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

Jacoby Brissett and the Indianapolis Colts go to NRG Stadium on Thursday where they'll meet the Houston Texans. Indianapolis opens this matchup as 5.5-point dogs. The over/under opens at 46.5. The Colts are 6-4-0 ATS and 6-4-0 when betting on the total. The Texans are 4-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 6-4-0 against the spread.

In their last contest, the Indianapolis Colts went up against the Jacksonville Jaguars and ended up getting the victory by a score of 33-13. Jonathan Williams led the team in rushing for the game. He tore off a long run of 48 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for 116 yards on 13 carries which means he ran for an average of 8.9 yards per carry. Marcus Johnson led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 38 yards on 4 catches. He had an average of 9.5 yards per reception for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Colts was Jacoby Brissett who went 15/24 with 148 yards passing and tossed 1 TD. He threw 1 interception during the game. The Indianapolis Colts ran the ball 36 times and generated 264 yards earning them an average of 7.3 yards per carry. In the game, the Colts got 23 first downs and they had 3 penalties for 20 yards. In all, they finished with a total of 63 plays for 389 yards. When discussing the defense, Indianapolis allowed 33 catches on 47 throws for a total of 279 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.0%. On the day, they conceded a total of 308 yards and forced 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Colts allowed 29 yards on 9 attempts which gave them an average of 3.2 yards per run allowed. Another matchup you may want to look into is the pick from Guy Bruhn on the Buccaneers vs Falcons game.

Colts Improve Their Record to 6-4 After Win

The Colts come into this game with a record of 6-4 for this season. This team is one of the more average teams in terms of scoring in the division and I wouldn't expect it to change too much in this matchup. For total yardage, they currently sit at 9th in the conference and 21st in the league with 3,438 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, the Colts have compiled a total of 19 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing TDs. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the league with an average of 23 points per contest, ranking them 16th in the league. As a team, they are averaging 141 rushing yards per game which is 2nd among AFC teams.

The Colts have one of the best defenses in the league, giving up 20.6 points per contest which has them at 8th in the conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Colts have conceded 2,288 yards. Opponents are completing 68.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.2 yards per try. They have allowed 14 passing touchdowns and 6 rushing TDs. In regard to yards rushing, Indianapolis is giving up 96.8 yards per contest which has them at 1st in the division and 9th in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per rush which has them at 7th among AFC teams and 17th among NFL teams overall. In total, they have allowed 1,411 rushing yards through 10 contests.

In their last game, the Houston Texans played the Baltimore Ravens and lost 41-7. Leading the way at QB for the Texans was Deshaun Watson who went 18/29 with 169 yards through the air but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He threw 1 interception during the game. Carlos Hyde led the team on the ground in the game. He tore off a long run of 41 yards and he tallied 1 touchdown for the contest. He scurried for 65 yards via 9 carries which meant he was running for 7.2 yards per carry. DeAndre Hopkins was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 80 yards on 7 catches. He averaged 11.4 yards per catch in the game. The Houston Texans ran the football 20 times and racked up 122 yards which earned them an average of 6.1 yards per run. On the day, they totaled 57 plays which added up to 232 yards. For the game, the Texans had a total of 16 1st downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 60 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Houston conceded 20 catches on 27 attempts totaling 228 yards, and a completion percentage of 74.0%. Against the run, the Texans conceded 263 yards on 36 attempts which gave them an average of 7.3 yards per run allowed. For this contest, they allowed 491 yards but didn't force any takeaways. Josh Schonwald has a free pick for the contest between the Broncos and Bills.

Texans are 6-4 After Loss

The Texans step onto the field holding a record of 6-4. Houston has made teams respect their running game by averaging 141 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 5th in the league. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,407 rushing yards through 10 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the league. The Texans average 380 yards per contest overall which has them at 7th in the NFL and 3rd in the conference. In discussing their scoring prowess, the Texans are currently ranked 1st among AFC South teams and 10th out of all the teams in the league averaging 24.5 points per game.

The Texans are allowing 23.2 points per contest ranking them 4th among AFC South teams and 19th in the NFL. When it comes to points allowed, they have allowed 232 total points. In discussing rushing yards, they are conceding 102 yards per contest which puts them at 13th among NFL teams and 2nd among AFC South teams. For 2019, they have allowed 1,021 yards rushing and 4 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the middling units in the NFL. They are allowing 272 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Texans are ranked 16th in the conference. They have conceded 22 passing TDs in 2019.

Who will win tonight's Colts/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Colts +5.5

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