NFL Handicapping Articles

NFL Betting Advice: Potential Bad ATS Teams
by Trevor Whenham - 9/7/2015

We are sitting at the start of a long NFL season. Optimism about most teams will never be higher than it is now. For some teams that means that the betting public gets excited - probably more excited than they should given the circumstances. What we are looking at today is teams that the public seems to have high hopes for this year that might not be in a position to deliver on those expectations quite like the betting public hopes they will.

NFL Handicapping: ATS Results for Home Teams in Week 1
by George Monroy - 9/7/2015

The idea of home-field advantage gets a huge amount of attention is sports, and rightfully so. Playing at home gives one team the comfort of sleeping in their own beds, practicing in their own facility and getting cheered on by their own fans. On the other side of that coin, the road team must deal with travel, late-night arrivals, sleeping in hotels and working in an unfamiliar facility. The real question is how much those variables actually play a factor during football games.

First NFL Coach to be Fired Expert Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 9/7/2015

The season hasn't even started yet, and already we are hearing all sorts of discussion about NFL coaches who could be on the hot seat. What a rough way to making a living being a coach must be. Instead of feeling sorry for them, though, our focus here is to understand how hot seats can have a betting impact. Before we look at six guys commonly thought to be on the edge of unemployment, let's look at four factors to consider when figuring out how significant these situations are to bettors:

NFL Football Predictions: Week 1 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/4/2015

Hello friends, it has been about nine months since I have written a weekly NFL opening line report. Man it feels good to be back! So ready for some football, even though my team is going to "rhymes with luck." But, I also don't bet on my team because sometimes I think with my heart and not my head. I am that way in every sport. Usually doesn't end well.

NFL Betting: Odds and Predictions for Player Prop Matchups
by Trevor Whenham - 9/3/2015

BetOnline has a wide range of player matchup props listed. Most deal with quarterbacks, and for good reason - those are always the most interesting to discuss and dissect. As I went through the long list of options, there were seven that stood out for the most important of reasons - they offer value. Let's take a look:

NFL Odds: Updated Numbers with Tom Brady Suspension Overturned
by Alan Matthews - 9/3/2015

On Thursday morning in Manhattan (why did this have to overshadow the opening day of college football?), Judge Richard M. Berman of Federal District Court somewhat surprisingly overturned NFL commissioner Roger Goodell's four-game suspension of Patriots quarterback Tom Brady for his alleged role in the "Deflategate" silliness in the AFC Championship Game in January against the Indianapolis Colts.

NFL Wagering Picks: Quarterback Passing Props Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 9/3/2015

There are few things we love more as football fans than passing. We want yards in bulk. In the NFL right now we are in a golden era for passing. Never have we seen so many guys so good at passing playing in systems that suit their talents so well. Given that, choosing which player is likely to lead the league in passing yards is a tough challenge - but a very fun one. Here's a look at how the prop bet breaks down (Odds are from BetOnline):

NFL Parlays: A Sucker Bet or a Sharp and Expert Wager?
by George Monroy - 9/3/2015

If you have been a sports bettor for any length of time, you've probably already heard that parlays are "suckers bets". The payouts aren't correct, the odds too long, and the wager doesn't win on a consistent basis. The bet, however, is so darn enticing that most sports gamblers love to throw down an eight-team parlay a few times throughout the football season with the hopes of scoring a huge payday with less risk.

NFL Week 1 Upsets: Which Underdogs Have the Best Betting Value?
by George Monroy - 9/2/2015

Picking an upset might be the best feeling in all of sports. When we put in the work as bettors and find a spot where we can get in with value, it almost validates all the hard work and handicapping you put in. Week 1 of the upcoming NFL season has a few spots where the underdog has a solid chance to cover and win the game outright. Let's take a closer look at the matchups and figure out where the best value lies for picking an underdog during the opening week of the season.

Free NFL Betting Picks: Odds and Predictions for Football Player Props
by Dave Schwab - 9/2/2015

Just in time for the start of a new season of NFL games, BetOnline has ramped up its team and player prop betting odds for a number of different categories. While you can bet on which NFL quarterback you think will throw for the most yards in the regular season, it has recently added the moneyline betting odds for the "over/under" on their total passing yards and/or touchdown throws for 2015.

NFL ATS Betting: Potential Studs and Duds for 2015
by George Monroy - 9/1/2015

ATS, or against the spread, wins and losses should be the major concern of all sports bettors. We can breakdown all the stats that we want, but if a team is not covering the spread, they are not important to us in this industry. In sports, a squad can have the perception of being a winning and popular team, but as bettors we need to look beyond the media representation to see if they are actually covering bets.

2015 Seattle Seahawks Predictions: Season Win Totals Odds and Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/27/2015

The biggest obstacle facing the 2015 Seahawks is the mental baggage of their Super Bowl choke job. Seattle was one measly yard away from back-to-back titles and immortality. But instead have to settle for being infamous thanks to Pete Carroll's baffling call to end last season.

2015 Detroit Lions Predictions: Season Win Totals Odds and Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/27/2015

I think that the Lions are becoming the new Bengals. And I mean that in a positive way. These two franchises spent the 1990s and most of the 2000s as the laughingstocks of the NFL. However, through savvy personnel moves and stability at the head of their organizations these two teams have become two of the most talented rosters in the NFL.

2015 Carolina Panthers Predictions: Season Win Totals Odds and Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/27/2015

Carolina became the first team in NFC South history to win back-to-back division titles last year. So that was positive. But when you consider the fact that they earned a playoff spot despite winning just seven games, you get an idea of just how pathetic this division was last year. The Panthers didn't improve their station this offseason, however, suffering one of the most crippling injuries of the preseason so far in 2015. And that has them behind the eight-ball heading into the regular season.

2015 Green Bay Packers Predictions: Season Win Totals Odds and Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/27/2015

Jordy Nelson's injury has certainly slowed down some of the hype surrounding the Packers heading into the 2015 season. But Green Bay remains one of the favorites to win Super Bowl 50 and has the look of a team hell-bent on avenging last year's epic NFC Championship Game collapse this time around.

2015 Dallas Cowboys Predictions: Season Win Totals Odds and Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/27/2015

I was as wrong about the 2014 Dallas Cowboys as I have ever been about a team, predicting a total collapse for this overrated franchise heading into the season. But Dallas inexplicably banded together behind a suddenly solid coaching staff and turned in one of the best performances in the league last year. Dallas retained all its key pieces and added some more top-end talent in the offseason, and now they enter 2015 on the short list of teams favored to win the NFC.

2015 New York Giants Predictions: Season Win Totals Odds and Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/27/2015

Were it not for a couple of relatively fluky Super Bowl titles in the past 10 years I think that people would mostly overlook this Giants franchise. After all, they've made just one postseason appearance in the last six seasons and have largely been a non-factor while going 22-26 the past three campaigns. This has the look of a last hurrah for long-time coach Tom Coughlin, and I think that things could get ugly as his time finally winds down with the Giants.

2015 Arizona Cardinals Predictions: Season Win Totals Odds and Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/27/2015

Bruce Arians proved once again in 2014 that he is on the short list of the best coaches in football, coaxing an 11-win season out of a team that played four different guys at quarterback after losing starter Carson Palmer just six games into the year. Arians has now won double-digit games in three straight years with two different franchises and is a force to be reckoned with.

2015 St. Louis Rams Predictions: Season Win Totals Odds and Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/27/2015

The Rams haven't had a winning season since 2003 and have averaged 4.4 wins per season the last eight years. They are one of the worst organizations in the NFL and now have the negative karma of a potential move to Los Angeles hanging over their heads this season. Throw in an ultra-competitive NFC West schedule, and for the life of me I can't see anything but failure for this group in 2015.

2015 Washington Redskins Predictions: Season Win Totals Odds and Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/27/2015

Look, it is not as if I didn't predict that Robert Griffin III had major bust potential before he was even drafted. But his spectacular flame out in Washington continues to be one of the best comedic elements of the No Fun League. Griffin is a certified loser. And as long as he is at the controls this racist franchise will continue to receive its just desserts.