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Last Release of Expert NFL Picks from our handicappers.
Just so the public knows we are always transparent and honest with our reporting, in this spot we will list all of the previous weeks NFL football picks and analysis.
This page will be updated each Thursday at 5AM Eastern.
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Doc's Sports
1 Unit Play. Take #103 Over 36 in Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens (7p.m., Thursday, August 7 NFLN) The Colts have a quarterback competition and the line has really risen towards their side. Baltimore had a years long winning streak during the exhibition season and thus we expect some points to be scored in this game. All quarterbacks in this game will be given a chance to throw the football and the combined scored should reach the low 40s.1 Unit Play. Take #127 Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 over Arizona Cardinals (8p.m., Saturday, August 10 NFL+) Just like the backup quarterbacks better for Kansas City compared to that of Arizona. Gardner Minshew is better than Jacoby Brisset and Bailey Zappe is better than Clayton Tune. That allow is enough to lay the 2.5 in this game.
1 Unit Play. Take #134 Los Angeles Chargers +1 over New Orleans Saints (4:05p.m., Sunday, August 10 NFLN) The Saints have a new coach, but I just cannot see them doing anything in this game with their quarterbacks. They are vying for worst team this decade and I see them in contention to get the No. 1 overall pick come April (Maybe Arch Manning?). Los Angeles has a game under their belt and I see them winning this game at home behind Jim Harbaugh. The Bolts won just one preseason game the last two years but I see them passing that win total in 2025 on Sunday.
Robert Ferringo
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 32.5 Cleveland at Carolina (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 8)I know that Carolina’s focus will be on the defensive side of the ball after a historically bad effort last year. I still just don’t think they have a ton of talent on that side of the ball. The Panthers have 14 rookies on their second-, third- and fourth-string defense. That is a lot of rookies out there in their first preseason games! That should make for some lapses and breakdowns. Cleveland is only bringing two quarterbacks for this one. That means extensive time for rookie Shedeur Sanders and veteran preseason All-Star Tyler Huntley. Whether Sanders throws for two touchdowns or two interceptions, I think he will equal points. Also, Carolina head coach Dave Canales is an offensive guy. The Panthers have some weapons and I think that they can put some points on the board as well. I like the Browns to win and I like one of these teams to hit 20+ points in this game.
1-Unit Play. Take #111 Detroit (-3.5) over Atlanta (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 8)
The Lions were an embarrassment in the Hall of Fame Game. I have to think that they are going to come out a little fired up to make up for all the mistakes they made against the Chargers. The Falcons are just kind of the Falcons. And they aren’t bringing nearly the motivation level into this game as you would expect the Lions to have.
1-Unit Play. Take #116 Buffalo (Pk) over N.Y. Giants (1 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 9)
The teams on Hard Knocks typically do well in the NFL preseason. They know they are under a bigger microscope, and historically these teams have performed well ATS during exhibition season. I also just don’t think the Giants should be favored over anyone, especially on the road. Buffalo has a great home crowd and they will show up. The Bills also have competent vets on the back end of their quarterback rotation. Josh Allen likely won’t play. But Mitch Trubisky, Mike White and Shane Buechele have all had their share of preseason action. The Bills have some real good talent and experience on their third string. That should give them an edge.
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 38.0 Houston at Minnesota (4 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 9)
This is an awfully high number for two teams with weak quarterback rotations. Minnesota will give J.J. McCarthy some time. But I doubt he will play a ton and in the second half we will see Brett Rypien and Max Bosmer. Houston will turn the second half over to Graham Mertz and Kedon Slovis. DeMeco Ryans is a defensive guy that is working in a new offensive coordinator. I think the defense will be ahead of the offense for the Texans. I don’t see the Vikings going buck wild in this one either and I think we’ll see somewhere in the mid-30’s int this game.
1-Unit Play. Take #119 Pittsburgh (+4.5) over Jacksonville (7 p.m.)
Maybe it is just a habit, but any time I see the Steelers as an underdog my first reaction is to jump on them. Liam Coen is a rookie head coach, so I am a little hesitant to go against a guy that will probably take this game way too seriously. However, Mike Tomlin is a guy that is streaky as hell in the preseason. He started his career 19-6 in his first 25. Then he went 3-14 in his next 17. Since then he is 18-7, with an 0-3 last year. I think Tomlin is feeling a little heat and will have his guys ready. The Steelers only have 10 rookies on their third- and fourth-string while the Jaguars have 13 rookies on offense alone, including quarterback Seth Hanigan. The Jags have 26 rookies on their third- and fourth-string! This is an incredibly young team with an incredibly inexperienced coach and two incredibly young coordinators going into this game. The Steelers are men. They only have 15 rookies on the entire TEAM (and just 11 on the third- and fourth-strings). The Steelers also have veteran quarterbacks that can all run and who have all had success in the preseason
3-Unit Play. Take #132 Chicago (-3) over Miami (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 10)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 32.5 Miami at Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 10)
This is my NFL Preseason Game of the Year.
All we’ve heard out of Bears camp has been negatives. Caleb Williams isn’t playing well enough. The offense hasn’t been sharp. Etc. Well, I think that this is a chance for the Bears to show out for their demanding new head coach. First-year coach Ben Johnson wants to prove that he was the right man for the job. And he has been running a tough, exacting camp. That should mean the Bears will be well prepared for this home game. Miami has had all kinds of issues over the past two years. Basically, no one respects head coach Mike McDaniel and leadership and discipline have been major problems. Will it be any better now? Tyreke Hill has been a distraction for this team and I just don’t think they care about this trip or this game.
Miami has a whopping 44 new players on this roster! That is a crazy amount of turnover. They also have 14 rookies on their third- and fourth-string depth charts. The Bears only have nine rookies on their third- and fourth-string, including just three on offense. That is a big experience edge in the second half. The Bears also have the better quarterback rotation. Miami likely isn’t going to play Tua because they can’t risk him getting hurt. That means a lot of time for Zach Wilson and rookie Quinn Ewers. The Bears will likely give Caleb Williams some snaps to work on the new system. And the backups of Tyson Bagent, Case Keenum and Austin Reed are all veterans that have all had extensive preseason experience.
The Bears need something good to happen. They have a rookie coach that will take this more seriously than Miami and they have better quarterbacks. All the motivation is on Chicago’s side and the line movement in this game – going toward the Bears despite majority action on the Dolphins – has me convinced that this is a good play against public expectations.
1-Unit Play. Take #134 L.A. Chargers (+1) over New Orleans Saints (4 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 10)
I have to admit: the Chargers looked real solid in their preseason opener. Trey Lance looks like he is born again. And his ability to run and throw is really perfect for the preseason, when plays can break down. The Saints are another team that has a new coach who will want to win this game. But New Orleans is another team that has a ton of rookie on the back end of their roster that will be playing a lot in the second half. The Chargers have the edge at quarterback and they have the advantage of getting those first game jitters out. I’ll play the home dog.
Carpe diem. Good luck.
Craig Trapp
1-Unit Play. Take #107 Vegas (-4.5) Over Seattle (10 p.m., Thursday, August 7)Coach Pete Carroll hasn’t forgotten about being fired and Geno hasn’t forgot about how it ended for him either. Think the Raiders play for these two and get revenge tonight. Take Vegas to win and cover the spread.
2-Unit Play. Take #121 Dallas (-2) Over Seattle (7 p.m., Saturday, August 9)
The drama around Dallas is even more than normal, and think that means new Coach Schotenheimer will want to play 1st few units more to try and get win and calm the fans noise. Love what I hear about backup QB Milton for Dallas and think he has big game. Take Dallas to win and cover the spread.
Craig
Scott Rickenbach had no picks
Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
2-Unit Play. #103. Take Indianapolis Colts -6 over Baltimore Ravens (Thursday @ 7pm est)Yes, this is a big line and we get it. And, we also get that the Ravens usually do very well in the preseason and this game seems crazy for that reasons. But, the Colts have a lot to prove here. You have Anthony Richardson that has to legimiately look over his shoulder with Daniel Jones. From recent reports, the Colts are giving Richardson about a half of action and Daniel Jones the other half of action. The Ravens according to most reports are sitting out Lamar Jackson of course and most of their starters. The Colts coaching staff is on the hot seat, they have new ownership with a female owner to boot who wants to make a splash and prove a point, for all these reasons and how good the Colts have looked in pre-season reps, makes sense to back the Colts here.
2-Unit Play. #107. Take Vegas -4.5 over Seattle Seahawks (Thursday @ 10mp est)
Ah, return of Pete and Geno to Seattle. With the 73 year old trying to prove a point and Geno being passed over here and Vegas according to most reports playing their starters a decent amount here, this game means a lot more to the brand new coach trying to prove a point back in his old stomping grounds than it does for Seattle. Let's back the Raiders here. Remember, Pete Carroll said "Everyone is ready to go". He'll play quite a bit of starters today.
2-Unit Play. #110. Take Carolina -6 over Cleveland Browns (Friday @ 7pm est)
Carolina will be playing Bryce today and McMillan, along with Shadeur being an absolute mess during practices no matter how much his social media team tries to promote him otherwise as the Browns have no option but to start him today and with the young defensive core of Carolina with a coaching staff looking to take a sophomore leap here, the Panthers make a lot of sense here.
2-Unit Play. #114. Take New England Patriots -6.5 over Washington Commanders (Friday @ 7:30pm est)
Mike Vrabel got bloodied up in the practice and if that is a sign of things to come, look for a competitive New England team today. The fanbase is desperate for the former player/savior to come in and show anything that remotely looks like a more competitve and winning team and with Washington not even flying several of their starters to this game including Jayden Daniels, look for New England to have a far more sense of urgency today.
2-Unit Play. #123. Take Tennessee Titans ML (-175) over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Saturday @ 7pm est)
New Coaching staff wants to show something here with their stud quarterback and I think as they hit the road today. Tennessee has a very youthful lineup who is very hungry to show a new chapter has become and Tampa Bay is filled with veterans who will be taking it a bit easy today and we love the Titans to surprise a bit here.
2-Unit Play. #128. Take Arizona Cardinals +2.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (Saturday @ 7:30pm est)
Arizona needs a big season and I think they get a sharp effort today as Arizona closed the last season very strong but fell short late in a few games, but they played extremely hard and with the addition of Harrison and other key position players, they will be even more competitive this year. Will it translate into raw wins, it's hard to say, it all depends on Kyler, but in the preseason when this team with Gannon as their coach wants to show progress with the perennial powerhouse Chiefs coming into town who could care less, with an older team that just wants to leave healthy, good spot to take these Cardinals here.
2-Unit Play. #133. Take New Orleans Saints ML (-115) over Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday @ 1pm est)
The Saints have Rattler who is the leader of the pack right now in the QB department and with a very competitive QB race, we like all the QB's to have some success today for the Chargers to have a bit of a let down here as they have already proved their point by destryoing the Lions in the Hall of Fame game. Dennis Allen took over in 2022 and the team is looking to improve and so is the ownership and this is an important opener for Coach Allen.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)
NFL PRESEASON WEEK #11 Unit Play. Take #104 Baltimore +6.5 over Indianapolis (7:00p.m., Thursday August 7 NFL Network)
1 Unit Play. Take #134 Los Angeles Chargers +1 over New Orleans (4:05p.m., Sunday August 10 NFL Network)
Tony George
NFLXThursday 8/7/25
1 Unit
#107 Las Vegas (-5) over Seattle *10 EST
Like the Pete Carroll angle here. Always a good preseason coach and he is playing is old employer tonight with a better QB rotation and I can guarantee you he will have his team motivated to get a win for him. O’Connell will see a lot of snaps tonight. A former starter for the Raiders and no doubt he will perform well. Pete was 22-10 ATS as a head coach for Seattle in the preseason. Milroe from Bama, a rookie, will see time against Vegas here and I do not think he will be ready for primetime yet and Vegas takes advantage and win this by a TD at days end. Drew Lock will see some time at QB for Seattle as well. Nothing special.
Saturday NFLX
8/9/25
1 Unit
#127 Kansas City (-2.5) over Arizona *8 EST
I like KC’s QB rotation of Gardner Minshew and Baily Zappe at QB in this game, both have NFL starter experience. KC is a deeper team and will be looking at WR depth and I expect Reid to call some vertical downfield plays. Not sold on Zona’s depth at QB outside of Brissett and Clayton Tune will not be effective. Better coaches and coordinators too for KC. I will lay the number here.
Vernon Croy
2-Unit Play - #105 Cincinnati -6.5-110 over Philadelphia (Thursday, August 7, 2025, 7:30pm ET)Take Cincinnati ATS as my top NFL pick for Thursday night. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I expect a dominant victory from Cincinnati in this meaningless game. Obviously knocking off the defending Super Bowl team means something even if it's just preseason. I do like Cincinnati's backups better than I do Philadelphia especially at key positions. Cincinnati still remembers their home loss by 20 points against this Philadelphia team last season so they do have motivation coming into this game. Play Cincinnati ATS.
Scott Spreitzer
1-Unit Play: Take 107 Raiders -5.5 over Seahawks (10 p.m., Thursday, Aug. 7)We have a preseason game that feels a little old school, if you will. Back in the day coaches would tell you what they wanted to accomplish and who they wanted to see on the field in preseason action. Some would say if they’re keeping score, they’re coaching to win, while some couldn’t care less about the final score. New Raiders HC Pete Carroll coached to win, especially in the early years in each locale. Carroll has said he expects his new team to win at least 10 games this season and wants to develop a culture of winning right out of the blocks. Pete Carroll’s preseason numbers: 3-1 ATS in his lone season with the NY Jets. 3-1 ATS in his first season with the Patriots. And 22-10 ATS in his first six seasons with the Seahawks. I’m betting Carroll wants to get his troops used to winning right out of the blocks. I’m backing the Raiders on Thursday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
August Young
THANK YOU FOR SIGNING UP FOR AUGUST YOUNG'S FOOTBALL SEASON. AUGUST DO NOT HAVE ANY PLAYS TONIGHT FOR THE HALL OF FAME GAME. AUGUST RARELY BETS ON PRE-SEASON AS HE SPENDS THIS TIME PREPARING FOR ANOTHER SUCCESSFUL REGULAR SEASON. BEST OF LUCK!Strike Point Sports
1-Unit Play. Take #124 Tampa Bay (+3.5) over Tennessee (7:30 p.m., Saturday, August 9)I get it, Cam Ward, I really do, but he isn't covering this line, or to be honest winning this game. Ward has a ton of moxy about him, and he does give Titans fans a reason to be excited, but he isn't playing this whole game, and the Titans offensive line is a mess. He is going to be forcd into making quick decisions, and when the Titans bring in their seond/third/fourth groups the Bucs defense is going to tee off. This should be a lower scoring affair as neither team will play many of their top guys, and the offenses are currenlty a step behind their defenses. There is not a chance I am laying more than a field goal on a road team here. It's going to be hot and humid, and the Bucs are more suited to withstand this type of weather. Tampa Bay is more suited to control both sides of the ball here and the wrong team is favored. Take the home favorite.
Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports
Jason Sharpe
NFL-Thursday August 7th 2025-
1 Unit Play Take #104 Baltimore +6.5 over Indianapolis (7:00pm est):
This line is over inflated as the feeling from most is that the Indianapolis Colts will be opening up things offensively as they have a QB battle going on. It's hard to disagree with that narrative but it also feels like that's be overly factored in this contest tonight. On the other side of things no head coach in NFL history has had more success in preseason action than Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh. The Harbaugh brothers are known to be overly competitive in everything they do and that seems to show out year in and year out in the NFL preseason especially for John as he's went an almost hard to believe 15-2 straight-up in preseason week one games and overall is an eye popping 45-16 in all preseason contests. The Ravens are also a deep team that's built to excel this time of the season with so many backups playing.
Take Baltimore plus the points.
Friday August 8th 2025-
1 Unit Play Take #111 Detroit -4 over Atlanta (7:00pm est):
You could see and hear the frustration from Detroit head coach Dan Campbell after how poorly his team played last week in the NFL Hall of Fame game as the Lions were extremely sloppy in a 34-7 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers. The Lions weren't as bad as the final score though as the real story behind the loss was their five turnovers (and -5 TO margin) in the game. On the other side of things the Atlanta Falcons didn't play last week so this is their first game of the preseason and I think that can be a big advantage for Detroit in this contest. Keep in mind the Falcons just got to camp a little over a week ago which was nearly two weeks AFTER the Lions reported so they're obviously way behind the Detroit at this time.
One thing I like to look for this time of the year also is hearing a head coach talk about wanting to play well and win and Campbell made a point to say this in his press conference right after the loss to the Chargers by stating "I expect us to play much better next week." Add in the fact I think the Lions offense will get a bit of a bump as this week they will start quarterback Hendon Hooker. There's some pressure on the Lions coaching staff to make Hooker look like a legit backup quarterback as the former 3rd rounder enters his crucial year number three. I think the Detroit staff will try and play more to Hooker 's strengths as it was obvious last week they did little to no game planning with him being versus the Chargers.
Take Detroit minus the points.
Saturday August 9th 2025-
2 Unit Play Take #120 Jacksonville -4.5 over Pittsburgh (7:00pm est):
Money has poured in here on Jacksonville and I agree with the move. The Jaguars fit the exact type of team I like to back during the preseason, a team with a new head coach, coming off a bad season last year, trying to change the culture and playing so in front of their home fans. I also like all that I have read so far from coming out of Jacksonville and the way the Jags are building their franchise around a highly competitive group. The word coming out of camp this week is they are expecting to play their starters and many of their top guys actually asked head coach Liam Coen to play in this contest.
On the other side of things Pittsburgh is a veteran team that's led by a veteran head coach and they've stated they don't plan on playing a majority of their starters in this one. The Steelers went 0-3 last year during the preseason yet they started out the year winning 8 of their first 10 games during the regular season so I don't think they place much emphasis again on this time of the year.
Take Jacksonville minus the points.
Sunday August 10th 2025-
1 Unit Play Take #132 Chicago -3 over Miami (1:00pm est):
Chicago is another team that fits the new coach, new culture and at home type of team/game that I am looking to back in the preseason. There also seems to be quite a bit of bad press coming out of Chicago the last few days from the media with how things are going under new head coach Ben Johnson. I think Johnson wants to quiet down the negativity and also get his young team some confidence and the best way to do that is to play well in this preseason opener.
Take Chicago minus the points. The baseball season is rolling along and MLB action has been my #1 sport over the years with 25k in profits won since 2021 overall. Join me in the winning today!
Thank you and good luck,
Jason Sharpe
Griffin Murphy
Passing for This Weekend (Waiting for Next Week) Too many 2nd and 3rd strings this weekend!Nick Menken
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