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Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 11/25/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets and Tips Week 12

by Tony Sink - 11/22/2021

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Game: Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Date: Thursday, November 25, 2021

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Lions (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Detroit Lions (0-9-1) will go up against the Chicago Bears (3-7) at Ford Field on Thursday. Chicago opens this game as 3.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 49.5.

The Chicago Bears come into this game with a record of 3-7 for this year. In their last game, the Bears played against the Ravens and took a loss by a final of 16-13. Andy Dalton finished 11/23 with 201 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 107.3 and walked away from the game without throwing a pick. Darnell Mooney held an average of 24.2 yds per reception by accumulating 121 yds on 5 receptions. David Montgomery was the leader on the ground for the Bears with 14 totes for 58 yards (4.1 yds per carry). When all was said and done, they ran 57 plays which gave them a total of 353 yds. The Chicago Bears ended up running the ball 20 different times and accrued 92 yds, which had them averaging 4.6 yds per attempt. Against the run, the Bears gave up 123 yards on 34 attempts, which is an average of 3.6 yards per rush surrendered. Chicago surrendered 26 pass completions on 36 tries for 176 yds, and a completion percentage of 72.2%.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Chicago Bears have an average of 16.3 PPG. Offensively they hold an average of 132.1 yards on the ground which ranks them 6th in the league. The Bears have racked up 2,879 total yards for the season. Chicago has accrued 87 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 64 penalties for 569 yds. They have turned the ball over 14 times (9 picks and 5 fumbles lost). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Chicago has earned 7 touchdowns through the air and 9 rushing touchdowns.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Bears have conceded 2,211 yards which ranks them 7th in the league. They have allowed 221.1 yards per game via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 65.5%. During the season, they have given up 343.9 yards per contest which ranks them 11th in the National Football League. They have surrendered 16 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per rush and 122.8 rushing yards per contest this year. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 1,228 yards on the ground through 10 contests. The Bears are ranked 22nd in the NFL concerning team defense, giving up 24.0 points per game.

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The Lions come into this matchup with a record of 0-9-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Lions took a loss by a final score of 13-10 against the Browns. Tim Boyle finished the contest with 77 yds on 15/23 passing while his QB rate was 34.1. He had 2 picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 3.35 yds. T.J. Hockenson was one of the featured targets for the Lions, catching 6 passes for 51 yds (8.5 yards per catch). D'Andre Swift ran the football 14 times for 136 yds, ending the game with 9.7 yds per carry for Detroit. The Lions finished the contest with 245 yards on 46 plays (5.3 yds per play). Detroit ran the ball for 7.3 yards per attempt, totaling 168 yards on 23 carries. Detroit relinquished 36 run attempts for 184 yards (5.1 yds per rush). The Lions secondary conceded a completion rate of 51.7%, surrendering 165 yards on 15 out of 29 through the air.

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Concerning their ability to score points, the Lions are sitting 30th in the NFL maintaining an average of 16.0 points per contest. Over the course of the season thus far, the Lions have racked up 1,978 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 197.8 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 30th in the league. They have an average of 114.2 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,142 yards in total. The Detroit Lions average 312.0 yards per outing which has them sitting 27th out of all teams in the league. The Detroit offense has 569 penalty yds on 68 violations, which is good for 16th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 8 picks while conceding 5 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 113 first downs.

Detroit has allowed a total of 1,405 yards rushing (140.5 yards per game) as well as 11 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have allowed the opposition 17 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 236.2 yards/contest, which has them ranked 13th in the league. Their defense has totaled 12 takeaways (5 fumbles and 7 interceptions) for the year. In total, they have given up 273 points in total. The Lions defense has been on the field for 632 plays, which is 10th in the league. The Lions are giving up 27.3 points per contest, which puts them in 30th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Lions NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bears -3.5

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