2021 Maryland Terrapins Football Predictions: Season Win Total Picks
2020 Record: 2-3
2021 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 6.0
2021 Season Win Total Picks NCAA Football: ‘Under’
Maryland’s 2020 season kind of summed it up as a microcosm of the Big Ten last year.
The Terps pulled two of the biggest upsets in college football last year in back-to-back weeks. First they beat Minnesota in overtime, 45-44, as a 21-point underdog. Then they followed that up the following Saturday with a 35-19 win over Penn State in Happy Valley as a 27-point underdog.
The other three games Maryland played? They lost 43-3, 27-11 and 27-24 at home to Rutgers. Not great.
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I think that Mike Locksley is in over his head as a head coach. He is 6-17 at Maryland and a pathetic 8-43 in his college career. I mean, if you are 8-43, you are garbage and you can’t coach. So this season looks like another waste of time for the 12 people that are invested in Maryland football.
The Terps offense moved the ball a little bit last year, ranking No. 2 in the Big Ten (and No. 35 in the country) in passing offense. Taulia Tagovailoa showed some signs as a runner and a thrower and at least gives this group some hope heading into the campaign. They only turned 409 total yards per game into 23.6 points, though, and the Terps need to improve taking care of the ball.
Maryland’s defense was a wreck, getting run over for 230 rushing yards per game (No. 115). So this is one of those situations where having nine starters back isn’t really the benefit it normally would be. The Terps are still slated to start seven freshmen and sophomores on D. Even with the free COVID season, this group isn’t as seasoned as some of the others in the league.
The Terps open with a stiff test at home against West Virginia. Their opening month actually features four home games, including Friday night feature games at Illinois (Sept. 17) and hosting Iowa (Oct. 1). They will need to stockpile as many wins as they can in that stretch, because they may not win a game after their bye week of Oct. 16.
Home games against Howard and Kent State are the easiest on the slate. But Kent State is no pushover. Beyond that, road games at Illinois, Michigan State and Rutgers offer Maryland’s best opportunity to find some W’s. They would need to sweep all three of those games, which they won’t do, and then pull an upset over someone, which they likely will do, just to get to six wins.
I have an extraordinarily difficult time envisioning any scenario in which Maryland wins seven or eight games. Frankly, I think their ceiling is five. This is one of the easiest calls in the country for me. Take the ‘under’.
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