2025 Super Bowl Predictions
The Super Bowl wrapped up the 2023-24 NFL season, and it’s never too early to look ahead to next year’s big game. The offseason is always full of impactful moves, and locking in the best price at this early stage could put a few extra dollars in your pocket. While it’s not advisable to lock up part of your betting bankroll for 12 months, it is always fun to look at the numbers and there are a couple odds worthy of a small wager.
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San Francisco 49ers: +500
The 49ers have opened up as the Super Bowl favorites, despite falling to the Chiefs in overtime in last year’s Super Bowl. The 49ers weren’t dominated by any means, but a few costly mistakes and key injuries were enough to tilt the scales in Kansas City’s favor. The 49ers will be confident they can win the NFC for the second straight season, and this time take it a step further and win the franchise’s first Super Bowl since 1994. Their defense was one of the best units in the league last year, but with Pro-Bowl linebacker Dre Greenlaw tearing his achilles on the sideline in their Super Bowl loss, their defensive unit could be short handed heading into next season. On offense, Brock Purdy may not be turning many heads, but the plethora of weapons at his disposal has kept them among the best units in the league. San Francisco is dominant on both sides of the ball, but I just can’t get behind them at a +500 price for over a year. This price is likely to only get better before the season kicks off, and even if it doesn’t the 49ers still have plenty to prove before they can be rightful Super Bowl favorites. They struggled in the postseason, barely beating the Packers and Lions before falling to the Chiefs. I expect them to have another solid regular season, and probably win the NFC West once again, but at +500 odds, they are an easy fade.
Kansas City Chiefs: +700
If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. The Chiefs became the first team in 20 years to win back-to-back Super Bowls, and they have a solid chance at becoming the first franchise to win 3 straight Super Bowls this season. Patrick Mahomes continues to dominate the league, and he’s proven it doesn’t really matter who he has at receiver, he will usually find a way to get them the ball. Travis Kelce stole the spotlight after a monster second half at the Super Bowl, and while retirement talks are lingering, he’s made it clear he wants to stay in the league for at least another season. The difference with this year's Chiefs team is the defense. This was easily the best defensive unit Mahomes has played with in his career, and when you give the best quarterback of this generation a fantastic defensive unit, a Super Bowl trophy is usually the end result. Heading into this season, there is no doubt there will be targets on the Chiefs back. They won the AFC for the 4th time in 5 years, leaving dominant teams like the Bills and Ravens without a Super Bowl appearance in more than a decade. There is no doubt the Chiefs have what it takes to win another Super Bowl, but the question is whether or not the +700 price tag is worth sitting on for the better part of a year. I think so. There is no stopping the Chiefs, especially with a solid defensive unit. This price will not be getting any longer as long as Mahomes stays healthy, and despite the fact they find themselves in a top-heavy AFC, Kansas City remains the team to beat heading into this season.
Baltimore Ravens +900
The Ravens were AFC favorites for the second half of the season, and they will be distraught that MVP Lamar Jackson was unable to guide the team to their first Super Bowl since 2013. The Ravens once again marched out a fantastic defensive unit, and it was a flat offense that cost them in the AFC Championship game. Of course, Jackson can’t be purely to blame, but as the signal caller of the team, who made several mistakes, he has to take some of the heat. The Ravens were once again unable to take the next step, and heading into 2024-25, they have plenty to prove. Despite winning the MVP award, Jackson hasn’t done enough to warrant optimism in the postseason. The Ravens are starting to become similar to the Cowboys, who have been solid in the postseason, before crumbling in January. If the Ravens were available at +900 odds to have the best regular season record, I’d jump on board. However, Jackson and the Ravens cannot be trusted in the postseason at this price, and they are an easy fade in a competitive AFC. Their strong defense will win them several games, but when they come up against equally dominant defensive units, I don’t have enough trust in the offense to warrant a wager.
Buffalo Bills +1000
Bills Mafia was forced to watch another lost decade go by, making it 30 years since they appeared in the Super Bowl. Josh Allen led a solid offensive unit to another AFC East title, despite starting the season 6-6 before rattling off 5 straight wins. A missed kick in the Divisional round saw the Bills fall to the Chiefs once again, but there is plenty of rightful optimism in Buffalo this offseason. Their defense was decimated by injuries in the second half of the year, and it was impressive they made the postseason at all. Micah Hyde, Matt Milano, and Tre’Davious White all missed significant time with injuries, and if the Bills can stay healthy this season, they will have a great shot at the Super Bowl. Their defense isn’t an issue, but there are plenty of question marks hanging over the offense. The Bills will always be competitive with Josh Allen under center, but his targets may be leaving Buffalo this offseason. Gabe Davis is a free agent, and the Bills lack the cap space to bring him back. Stefon Diggs has been in the rumor mill for a majority of the season, and plenty of insiders believe he has already played his last game in a Bills uniform. Despite all this, I’ll happily grab them at +1000 odds. Buffalo has been the pre-season Super Bowl favorites in back-to-back years, and it’s nice that their price is finally playable this year. A strong, hopefully healthy defense will do their job, and a maturing Allen is the perfect man to battle Mahomes at the top of the AFC. We’re setting ourselves up for the annual heartbreak Bills fans endure, but at this price, we have no choice but to take a shot.
Sleeper pick:
Atlanta Falcons +4000
The Falcons have the benefit of being in a very weak NFC South, and once they get a solid quarterback, they have what it takes to make a Super Bowl run. Russell Wilson is rumored to be heading to the Falcons, and whether it’s Wilson or someone else, any upgrade for Atlanta will see them fly up the weak NFC power rankings. They have a well-rounded offense that feels poised to take off, as Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts, and Drake London have all shown promise, but they’ve been underutilized without a competent quarterback to deliver them service. On defense, Atlanta still has a few key holes to fill, mainly in the secondary, but their towering defensive line ensures opposing quarterbacks have very little time in the pocket. A lot will have to go right for the Falcons to still be playing meaningful January football this year, but at +4000 odds, they are worth a shot. The implied upside a potential quarterback move would give them is enough to warrant a yearlong bet, as any significant move will see the Falcons odds plummet into the +2000 range.
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