Docs Website

54 Years Strong! A Trusted Leader In Sports Picks, Best Bets and Predictions Since 1971.

Main Menu

Jacksonville Jaguars Trade with Philadelphia Eagles for DT Jordan Davis: Betting Impact

by Spencer Toth - 11/9/2026

Jaguars and Eagles trade for DT Jordan Davis

The Jacksonville Jaguars have acquired defensive tackle Jordan Davis from the Philadelphia Eagles in exchange for a 2027 first-round pick and a 2029 second-round pick. Jacksonville is looking to capitalize on another hot start to the regular season, and the acquisition of Davis reinforces them as legitimate Super Bowl contenders. 

Jacksonville was already sitting sixth in the league in pressure percentage prior to the arrival of Davis, and his addition will help them improve on their fifth-ranked run defense. Davis was selected 13th overall in the 2022 NFL Draft and has spent the last four and a half years with the Philadelphia Eagles. The interior defensive tackle only has 9.5 career sacks, but his best attribute is stopping the run rather than rushing the quarterback. His enormous size makes it very difficult for opposing running backs to find holes up the middle, and he can absorb double teams on the inside to create favorable matchups for his teammates. He thrives in stopping short-yardage situations, yet still has surprising athleticism for a 330-pound lineman. At 341 pounds, Davis set the 40-yard dash record for players weighing at least 310 pounds when he ran a 4.78 at the 2022 NFL Combine.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

In terms of stats, Davis logged 72 combined tackles with 4.5 sacks last season, both of which were career highs, and has gotten off to a great start to 2026 despite the Eagles’ seven-game losing streak. He has a run-defense grade of 80.5 according to PFF, which has him third among qualified interior linemen. His pass rushing ability is average, but that doesn’t take away from what Davis does in the trenches. 

Looking at the price tag, both teams will be happy with the deal. Philadelphia is in tank mode with a 2-7 record and Jalen Hurts out for the season, and two high draft picks is quite the haul. Davis is still only 26 years old and is only getting better. However, with the Eagles hitting the reset button, they had no choice but to cash in on Davis while they still could. 

For the Jaguars, this may be a bit of an overpay, but they will not care if Davis can help bring the first Super Bowl to Jacksonville. Jeffery Simmons was traded to the Bears for two first round picks last week. And while that was a steeper price than Davis, Simmons is the far superior lineman. This comes after the Jaguars traded for Jessie Bates earlier Monday, sending their 2027 second round pick to Atlanta as part of that deal. This leaves the Jaguars without their first or second round pick for next season, as they are firmly in ‘win now’ mode this season. 

For Jacksonville…

The Jaguars made their big splash in the secondary just hours before acquiring Davis, and now they have also shored up their line with the arrival of the former Eagle. This move was partly out of necessity, as the injury to DaVon Hamilton likely had a big role to play in this deal. Hamilton was arguably the best run defender in Jacksonville this season, and the Jaguars saw their run defense fall apart since he went down with a torn quadriceps in Week 8. He went out during the second quarter of their Week 8 win over the Colts, and his absence was glaringly obvious. The Jaguars have allowed 3.8 yards per play with Hamilton on the field this season prior to Week 9, and 6.9 yards when he was on the sidelines. Davis is the perfect replacement for Hamilton, as his arrival will keep their grasp on the top of the AFC South firm. 

The big upside with Davis is that at 26 years old, he is still improving. The Jaguars overpaid for what they are getting out of Davis this season, but his future development must also be taken into account. He has only gotten better with age during his stint with the Eagles, and Jacksonville will be hoping he not only replaces Hamilton at defensive tackle, but can also blossom into a superstar with the Jaguars. 

For Philadelphia…

This season is over. The Eagles started the year 2-0 and subsequently lost seven straight games and are distant underdogs in the NFC East. Hurts is likely out for the year, DeVonta Smith and Saquon Barkley have both been dealing with injuries, and it was time for the Eagles to clean house on any tradable assets and start preparing for next year. Davis will leave a massive hole in Philadelphia’s defense going forward, but his departure will also allow the Eagles to evaluate new talent at that position. The Eagles have been kicking the “salary cap can’ down the road for the last few seasons, and moving on from Davis’ $78 million owed over the next three seasons will help alleviate that constraint. They will have to eat $15.4 million in dead cap money from the deal, but the move will still save them in the long run. 

Best Bets:
Before we get to the Jaguars, let’s take a look at if there are any reasonable lines to target with the Eagles. Philadelphia is a distant +7500 to win the NFC East and has equally long playoff odds, but there could still be money to be made on their win total. The Eagles have two wins through the first nine weeks and have a win total of 4.5 heading into Week 10. They will almost certainly be underdogs in nearly every matchup from here on out, and have already gone through their easier opponents this year. They have eight games to go and would need to go 3-5 or better to reach over 4.5 wins. Matchups against the 49ers and Seahawks are almost certainly defeats, while games against the Steelers, Texans, Cowboys, and Giants will also be far from easy. That leaves the Eagles needing to beat both the Cardinals and Colts while also picking up an upset along the way, which feels like a lot has to go right for them to climb to 5-12 or better. Once you factor in the Eagles' lack of incentive to win, the possibility of more players being shipped out before the deadline, and the +110 odds, the under is the way to go.

For the Jaguars, the possibilities are endless for this franchise. They have -1000 odds to win the AFC South, as they are three games up on the Texans with the Colts and Titans posing no real threat. Their 6-2 record combined with a soft schedule down the stretch has them with +500 odds to finish the season with the league’s best record, the third-shortest price in the NFL. Their win total is set at 12.5 with the under slightly juiced, meaning they would need to go 7-2 or better down the stretch to cash the over. Looking at the playoffs, Jacksonville has +375 odds to win the AFC, trailing only the Bills, and +850 odds to win the Super Bowl. 

Any time a first-round pick is traded, it will make headlines, but it is important to recognize that the Jaguars didn’t really get better with this move. All they did was replace the injured DaVon Hamilton, and the public is now buzzing with optimism around this team. The acquisition of Jessie Bates III earlier today is arguably the more impactful move in terms of immediate upside. However, either way, the Jaguars defense got better. While I want to sit here and say it is time to buy in Jacksonville, the reality is that there is very little value left to be had. They have significantly shorter playoff odds than the Chiefs, Broncos, and Bengals. And while I would give the edge to Jacksonville, the price feels a bit too steep. If anything, we have to take under 12.5 wins at -120 odds. Jacksonville has nine games to go, but six of them are on the road, including tough matchups against the Giants, Bears, Texans, and Cowboys. Even if they go 2-2 in those games and take care of business against the Titans and Colts, they could still stumble against the Commanders, Steelers, or Titans at home. Jacksonville will win the division for the second straight season, but 13 or more wins is too much to ask. 

Top Pick: Philadelphia Eagles Under 4.5 Wins +110

Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars Under 12.5 Wins -120

Get NFL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.

 

Most Recent NFL Handicapping

One E-mail A Week Is All You Need!
Our weekly newsletter is loaded with exclusive free picks,insight and advice from our expert handicappers