NFL Handicapping Articles
NFL Handicapping: Best and Worst Against the Point Spread
by T.O. Whenham - 8/15/2011
As we eagerly await the chance to plunge into yet another NFL season, this is a good chance to look back at last season to see what we can learn in order to improve our NFL handicapping. Here’s a look at the four best and four worst teams against the spread in the league last year. Will they stay where they were, or are their betting fates due for a change?
NFL Handicapping: Tips for Betting the First Preseason Games
by T.O. Whenham - 8/11/2011
If I had to choose I would say that my favorite of the four weeks of NFL Preseason games is the last one. The logic behind that is simple — I really, really hate the preseason, and the last week means we are almost at the regular season. Finally.
NFL Player Props and Picks: Sidney Rice and Matt Hasselbeck
by Alan Matthews - 8/6/2011
In quarterback Matt Hasselbeck’s 10-year career in Seattle, it seemed he rarely had an elite receiver to throw to. Just look at the Seahawks’ top receiving threats the past three seasons, for example: retread Mike Williams in 2010: 65 catches 751 yards, 2 TDs; a past-his-prime T.J. Houshmandzadeh in 2009: 79 catches, 911 yards, 3 TDs; a tight end who isn’t exactly Antonio Gates or Tony Gonzalez in John Carlson in 2008: 55 catches, 627 yards and 5 TDs.
NFL Player Props and Picks: Kevin Kolb and Donovan McNabb
by Alan Matthews - 8/5/2011
Can you blame Kevin Kolb for the apparent downfall of Donovan McNabb’s career? I’m sure McNabb doesn’t, but it was because of Kolb that McNabb was dealt from the Eagles to the Redskins before last season. You may remember that early in the 2009 season, McNabb, a six-time Pro Bowler who had been the Eagles’ starter since 1999, missed Weeks 2 and 3 with an injury and Kolb saw his first real action.
NFL Predictions for Playoff Teams from Last Season
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 8/4/2011
On average, five NFL teams that reached the playoffs one season end up missing the postseason the following year. The reverse of that is that the NFL Playoffs will usually feature five teams who were not postseason-bound the year before. With only 12 total playoff spots, that equates to plenty of turnover.
Overrated NFL Free Agent Pickups
by T.O. Whenham - 8/3/2011
The craziness of this NFL free agency season has led to some serious hype by the media. Bandwagons are being jumped onto and off of at a record pace as the media writes and talks about the high-profile moves with great excitement. Some of the excitement is warranted, but for every move worthy of the hype there are a couple which are quite possibly heading towards disaster. Here are six moves that are getting more attention — and generating more excitement in the betting public — than they should be:
NFL Free Agency Grades
by T.O. Whenham - 8/3/2011
This has been a truly crazy NFL free agency period. The short time frame, the strong free agent class, and the desperate needs of a lot of teams have made for some real fireworks. On top of the free agency there have been a stunning number of trades — and not just trades of bit parts. Some of the moves have been particularly impressive, while others have been ridiculously underwhelming and overpraised (I’m looking at you, Donovan McNabb).
NFL Handicapping: Hardest Teams to Judge
by T.O. Whenham - 8/3/2011
When you are handicapping the NFL before the season starts, there are some teams that you feel like you can confidently predict how their season will go. They may be good or they may be lousy, but you feel reasonably sure that their record will fall within a couple of wins of expectations.
NFL Player Props Odds and Predictions: Chad Ochocinco and Plaxico Burress
by Alan Matthews - 8/3/2011
With Santonio Holmes returning to the New York Jets, Braylon Edwards still unsigned (as of this writing), Terrell Owens drawing no interest from anyone and Randy Moss apparently retiring (no chance he’s gone for good – but that’s a prop story for another day), the two biggest-name receivers to change teams so far this offseason have to be Chad Ochocino and Plaxico Burress. I’m not saying they are the two best receivers to change teams – I’d rather have Sidney Rice and Mike Sims-Walker, for example – but they are the two most “famous.”
NFL Predictions: Offensive Player Props
by David Schwab - 8/2/2011
All 32 NFL teams are back to work in preparation for the start of the 2011 regular season. The future odds have been updated after a flurry of player movement to reflect each team’s chances to win its division, conference, and Super Bowl XLVI, as well as projected NFL season win totals.
NFL Teams Well Positioned To Weather Lockout
by T.O. Whenham - 7/29/2011
One complaint of NFL fans is always that despite the salary cap there are ‘have’ teams and ‘have-not’ teams. Some teams seem to be solid every single year, while others never catch a break and become competitive. Even if the bad teams do manage to have a good year they never seem to manage two in a row. There are lots of reasons for that — coaching staff, management, ownership, talent levels, and so on. One major side effect of the lockout this year, though, is going to be that the gap between these two types of teams is going to be wider now than ever.
Most Interesting NFL Preseason Games
by T.O. Whenham - 7/28/2011
‘Interesting’ and ‘NFL Preseason’ are not two things that belong together. I hate pretty much everything about the NFL Preseason — it’s pretty much a total and utter waste of time. As much as I may dislike it, though, it’s not going anywhere. In the spirit of making the best of things, then, here is my attempt to find 10 Preseason games that are at least a little bit interesting in one way or the other:
NFL Predictions: Teams Hurt by the Lockout
by T.O. Whenham - 7/27/2011
This NFL season is a strange new reality thanks to the chaos of the lockout and the ridiculously condensed offseason we are faced with as a result. Free agent would be almost a distant memory by now in most years, but it’s only just begun this year, and teams have to figure out what their needs are and address them in a very short time.
NFL Odds: Will Steelers’ James Harrison be Fined for Comments?
by Alan Matthews - 7/20/2011
The NFL Lockout appears set to end any day now, with the owners potentially set to vote on approving the new collective bargaining agreement with the NFL Players’ Association at their meetings on Thursday in Atlanta. It will start about a two-week roster movement frenzy that we have never seen in American team sports history.
NFL Betting Impact of the End of the Lockout
by T.O. Whenham - 7/20/2011
I don’t want to jinx anything, but it finally seems like the NFL Lockout madness is coming to an end, and things are going to return pretty much to normal. Ultimately, in the grand scale of things, the impact of this lockout hasn’t been that significant -- no games lost, a mostly normal training camp and preseason, and the draft and free agency still happened. In the short term, though, there is going to be a pretty significant impact for NFL handicappers, and it is going to take a while to sort it all out.
NFL Odds Released for Top Games of the Year
by David Schwab - 7/19/2011
It appears that the 2011 NFL schedule will come off without a hitch as the league owners and the Players Association remain busy putting the final touches on a new CBA (collective bargaining agreement) that should hopefully end the four-month old player lockout and reopen the NFL for business within the next two weeks.
NFL Free Agency Predictions: Top Players On the Board
by T.O. Whenham - 7/19/2011
I hardly want to say it in case I jinx it, but it seems like we are now just a couple of days away from the end of this NFL Lockout madness. It seemed like this day would never come. Soon after the lockout ends we will be plunging into what could be a crazy free agency period — a short time frame, massive team needs, and some very solid players available. I’m obviously no GM, but if I were these are the eight players that stand out as ones that I would like to have on my team if the money made sense.
NFL Predictions: AFC Division Futures Odds
by David Schwab - 7/13/2011
As the NFL owners and the Players Association continue to inch closer to finalizing the details of a new CBA (collective bargaining agreements), both sides remain optimistic that this whole mess can be resolved in enough time to avoid disruption of the start of summer training camps and the preseason NFL schedule.
NFL Odds: NFC Division Futures Betting
by David Schwab - 7/12/2011
There is still no new CBA (collective bargaining agreement) in place between the NFL owners and the Players Association, but optimism runs high that a deal can be worked out in enough time to avoid any disruption of the start of summer training camps and the preseason NFL schedule.
2011 NFL Schedule: Top 10 Divisional Games
by Robert Ferringo - 7/8/2011
To this point, the 2011 NFL schedule is still intact. And if the rumors coming out of the current labor talks are true then the odds of an abbreviated schedule this season are pretty slim. That is great news for fans and NFL bettors alike and it means that we can start to turn our attention from salary floors and wage scales to rivalry games and divisional clashes.
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